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Lazio vs Fiorentina prediction 07.01.2026 | Serie A

Lazio

Lazio

2 - 2

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 0 - 0

Full time: 2 - 2

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Date:

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

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  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: 7th January 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico

Lazio will try to stop a three-game winless run on Wednesday night as Fiorentina come to Rome. The table says there is daylight between them. Twelve points, to be exact. The Eagles sit ninth, while the Violets are stuck in the bottom three. Still, this fixture does not feel straightforward. The odds suggest as much, with neither side convincing enough to inspire real confidence. That uncertainty, honestly, is the interesting part.

Lazio vs Fiorentina Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lazio

    1 : 2

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  2. Fiorentina

    2 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

  3. Fiorentina

    2 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

  4. Lazio

    1 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  5. Lazio

    1 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  6. Fiorentina

    0 : 4

    Lazio

    Serie A

Since 2021, Lazio and Fiorentina have faced each other ten times in Serie A. The Eagles hold a slight edge with five wins and four clean sheets. Fiorentina have taken four victories, though notably the last three meetings all went their way. One match ended level. Goals have come at a steady pace, around 2.5 per game on average, which sounds lively but often hides fairly cagey spells.

Lazio

Lazio team overview

Lazio have not quite matched the standards set during that surprise second-place finish in 2022–23. Since then, the Eagles have settled into seventh twice, and this season has dipped further. Ninth place feels about right for how uneven the performances have been.

Maurizio Sarri’s side are winless in five, which looks bad at first glance. However, three draws in that run soften the picture slightly. More encouraging is their recent form at the Olimpico. Seven defeats avoided in the last eight matches across all competitions suggests visiting teams are not finding it easy.

In attack, Mattia Zaccagni and Matteo Cancellieri lead the way with three league goals each. Modest numbers, admittedly, but both are expected to line up again up front.

There are problems elsewhere. Adam Marušić and Tijjani Noslin are suspended after seeing red against Napoli, so both are ruled out. Samuel Gigot and Patric remain injured, while Matías Vecino is sidelined with a fever. Squad depth will be tested.

Last matches of Lazio

  1. Lazio

    0 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

  2. Udinese

    1 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

  3. Lazio

    0 : 0

    Cremonese

    Serie A

  4. Parma

    0 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

  5. Lazio

    1 : 1

    Bologna

    Serie A

Lazio lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 94

    Ivan Provedel

Defenders

  • 29

    Manuel Lazzari

  • 34

    Mario Gila

  • 13

    Alessio Romagnoli

  • 3

    Luca Pellegrini

Midfielders

  • 8

    Mattéo Guendouzi

  • 32

    Danilo Cataldi

  • 26

    Toma Bašić

Forwards

  • 22

    Matteo Cancellieri

  • 18

    Gustav Isaksen

  • 10

    Mattia Zaccagni

Fiorentina

Fiorentina team overview

Fiorentina’s slide has been hard to ignore. The Violets finished in the top half in each of the last four seasons and ended last year in sixth. That version of the team feels distant now.

Paolo Vanoli’s side sit 12th with just 12 points from 18 matches. Only two league wins all season tells its own story. Still, there is a flicker of momentum. Both victories came in the last three games. Away from home, though, it has been grim. Four straight defeats on the road is not something you brush off easily.

Moise Kean is one bright spot. His goal off the bench last time out took him to five league goals, and he will be pushing hard for a start. Jacopo Fazzini remains unavailable after missing eight matches with a muscle injury. On the plus side, the Violets arrive with no suspensions to juggle.

Last matches of Fiorentina

  1. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Cremonese

    Serie A

  2. Parma

    1 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  3. Fiorentina

    5 : 1

    Udinese

    Serie A

  4. Lausanne Sport

    1 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

  5. Fiorentina

    1 : 2

    Hellas Verona

    Serie A

Fiorentina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 43

    David de Gea

Defenders

  • 5

    Marin Pongračić

  • 15

    Pietro Comuzzo

  • 6

    Luca Ranieri

Midfielders

  • 2

    Dodô

  • 8

    Rolando Mandragora

  • 44

    Nicolò Fagioli

  • 65

    Cher Ndour

Forwards

  • 20

    Moise Kean

  • 91

    Roberto Piccoli

Prediction

I lean toward a narrow Lazio win. The Eagles are unbeaten in seven of their last eight at the Olimpico, and none of their last 13 matches have gone over two goals. Fiorentina arrive after four straight away defeats and average barely a goal per game. That profile points to a controlled, tense 1-0. Home patience decides nights like this.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Three of the last four meetings between Lazio and Fiorentina at the Olimpico stayed under 2.5 goals.
  2. None of Lazio’s last 13 matches produced more than two goals.
  3. Three of Fiorentina’s last four games ended with just a single goal.

Main prediction Lazio - Fiorentina

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Lazio vs Fiorentina standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89 - 35 +54 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58 - 36 +22 76
3 Roma 38 23 4 11 59 - 31 +28 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65 - 29 +36 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53 - 35 +18 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61 - 34 +27 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51 - 36 +15 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49 - 46 +3 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41 - 40 +1 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45 - 48 -3 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46 - 50 -4 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44 - 63 -19 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28 - 46 -18 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40 - 53 -13 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41 - 50 -9 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41 - 51 -10 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28 - 50 -22 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32 - 57 -25 34
19 Hellas Verona 38 3 12 23 25 - 61 -36 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26 - 71 -45 18

Lazio vs Fiorentina – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Wednesday’s Serie A contest⁠ between Lazio and Fiorentina.

? What⁠ is Fiorentina’s average number⁠ of corners in away league matches this season?

4.17

? What is Lazio’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their home Serie A games this season?

2.11