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HJK vs VPS prediction 08.10.2026 | Veikkausliiga

HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki

Kick off:

Date:

VPS Vaasa

VPS Vaasa

1

1.60

X

3.80

2

4.75

  • Competition: Veikkausliiga
  • Date: Thursday, 8th October 2026
  • Kickoff: 16:00 UK / 17:00 CEST
  • Venue: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

On Thursday afternoon, HJK will welcome VPS in another intriguing Veikkausliiga tie. Both teams are part of the Champions group and are fighting for the best positions in the competition. Can HJK take all three points and stay in the title race? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

HJK Helsinki vs VPS Vaasa Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. HJK Helsinki

    2 : 1

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  2. VPS Vaasa

    2 : 1

    HJK Helsinki

    Veikkausliiga

  3. VPS Vaasa

    0 : 2

    HJK Helsinki

    Veikkausliiga

  4. HJK Helsinki

    3 : 1

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  5. VPS Vaasa

    1 : 1

    HJK Helsinki

    Veikkausliiga

  6. VPS Vaasa

    1 : 3

    HJK Helsinki

    Veikkausliiga

HJK have won three of the last four H2H matches against their next opponent, while VPS triumphed only once. This year, the teams met twice, and both sides won 2-1 as hosts. Also, it is worth mentioning that seven of the previous nine H2H games have gone over 2.5 goals. 

HJK Helsinki

HJK team overview

Although HJK won most of the Veikkausliiga titles in the previous decade, they could, in their third year in a row, remain without the most important trophy in domestic football. HJK trail KuPS and Inter Turku by six points and will need their best form in the rest of the season to sneak to a 34th Finnish championship title. Joonas Rantanen's team didn't play well in matches before the international break, with only one victory in the previous four matches. In the previous game, they played 1-1 on the road against Gnistan. The visitors dominated possession, but Rantanen's team failed to turn that superiority into more goals. 

HJK have some problems with missing players. Amara Nallo, David Ezeh, and Eemil Toivonen are out for Thursday, while Lucas Lingman and Mustafa Ameen are questionable. Also, Pyry Mentu, Kaius Simojoki, and Liam Moller were with Finland U21 in recent weeks, and since they have a game in Kosovo on Tuesday, it is unclear whether they will be back in time to play against VPS. 

Last matches of HJK Helsinki

  1. Gnistan

    1 : 1

    HJK Helsinki

    Veikkausliiga

  2. KuPS

    0 : 0

    HJK Helsinki

    Veikkausliiga

  3. HJK Helsinki

    2 : 1

    Inter Turku

    Veikkausliiga

  4. Inter Turku

    1 : 0

    HJK Helsinki

    Finland Cup

  5. FC Ilves

    1 : 2

    HJK Helsinki

    Veikkausliiga

HJK Helsinki lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jesse Ost

Defenders

  • 17

    Nikolai Ahlo

  • 6

    Ville Tikkanen

  • 3

    Till Cissokho

  • 14

    Leonel Montano

Midfielders

  • 4

    Alexander Ring

  • 11

    Martin Kirilov

  • 32

    Mouhamed Gueye

Forwards

  • 26

    Lassi Lappalainen

  • 20

    Teemu Pukki

  • 7

    Alfie Cicale

VPS Vaasa

VPS team overview

VPS have made improvements compared to last season. This year, they are in the championship group and even have a chance to reach the Conference League places if things go their way in the final rounds. However, VPS didn't play well in recent matches, losing three of their previous four games. In the most recent outing, Jussi Nuorela's team lost 2-0 at home against KuPS. The hosts surely deserved more that time, as they finished with xG of 1.59, while the visitors had 0.41. 

VPS are playing well with Jussi Nuorela in charge, so it is no wonder the head coach signed a new contract during the international break. After extending the agreement, Nuorela said that he sees a lot of potential in the team and believes they could develop even better.

VPS have an almost full squad for the trip to Helsinki. They will be without Jonathan Muzinga and Vilmer Ronnberg. 

Last matches of VPS Vaasa

  1. VPS Vaasa

    0 : 2

    KuPS

    Veikkausliiga

  2. Inter Turku

    1 : 0

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  3. VPS Vaasa

    1 : 0

    AC Oulu

    Veikkausliiga

  4. VPS Vaasa

    0 : 1

    FC Lahti

    Veikkausliiga

  5. FC Ilves

    0 : 1

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

VPS Vaasa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 41

    Mamadou Jalloh

Defenders

  • 19

    Martti Haukioja

  • 3

    Razak Simpson

  • 6

    Emmanuel Okereke

Midfielders

  • 23

    Miika Niemi

  • 8

    Paulo Lima

  • 2

    Lassana Mane

  • 24

    Yassin Daoussi

Forwards

  • 27

    Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan

  • 13

    Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi

  • 14

    Simon Lindholm

Prediction

Both teams have problems scoring goals. HJK scored three goals in the last four matches. On the other hand, VPS scored only once in their previous four games. Although some recent meetings between the two sides were high-scoring, we are not likely to see more than two goals in the upcoming tie. 

4 Reasons why we are not likely to see more than two goals in this match

  1. HJK scored three goals in the last four matches
  2. Three of the previous four HJK games have gone under 2.5 goals
  3. VPS scored one goal in the last four matches
  4. The previous five VPS games have gone under 2.5 goals

Main prediction HJK Helsinki - VPS Vaasa

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

2.15

Bet here

HJK Helsinki vs VPS Vaasa standings in Veikkausliiga

Championship Round P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter Turku 3 2 0 1 3 - 2 +1 6
2 KuPS 3 1 2 0 3 - 1 +2 5
3 Gnistan 3 1 2 0 4 - 3 +1 5
4 HJK 3 1 2 0 3 - 2 +1 5
5 VPS 3 1 0 2 1 - 3 -2 3
6 Oulu 3 0 0 3 1 - 4 -3 0

HJK vs VPS – FAQ

? How much is the average xG for HK this season?

The average xG for HJK in Veikkausliiga this season is 1.56.

? How much is the average xG for VPS this season?

The average xG for VPS in Veikkausliiga this season is 1.45.