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Hajduk Split vs Pafos Prediction 23.07.2026 | UEFA Europa League

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  • Competition: UEFA Europa League Qualifying - Second Round 1st leg
  • Date: Thursday, 23rd, July 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21.00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadion Poljud (Split)

The 2026–27 UEFA Europa League qualification phase shifts into high gear on Thursday evening as Croatian heavyweights Hajduk Split welcome Cypriot outfit Pafos FC to Dalmatia for a highly anticipated second qualifying round first-leg battle.

The hosts enter the tie looking to build an ironclad cushion inside their atmospheric fortress, while the ambitious visitors arrive in Split desperate to establish a foothold ahead of next week's return leg in Limassol.

Hajduk Split team overview

Hajduk Split safely negotiated the opening hurdle of their 2026-27 European campaign by edging past Slovak outfit Zilina 3-2 on aggregate. Gonzalo Garcia's side laid the foundations for qualification with a clear 2-0 victory at Stadion Poljud before absorbing a 2-1 defeat in the return leg, doing enough to secure their place in the next round.

Speaking after the tie, Garcia praised his players' composure and resilience across both legs, while also stressing the importance of turning Poljud into a fortress throughout the season. Off the pitch, the club has undergone changes behind the scenes following Ivan Rakitic's departure from his role as technical director, although the squad's full attention remains firmly fixed on their European ambitions.

Backed by another passionate Poljud crowd, Hajduk will be eager to dictate proceedings from the opening whistle and make the most of the momentum built through competitive action over recent weeks. With several meaningful matches already under their belt, the Croatian side should also benefit from a sharper competitive edge than opponents who are still easing into the new campaign.

Garcia is expected to have an almost fully fit squad at his disposal, giving him the luxury of selecting from close to his strongest lineup. While several summer arrivals could be introduced from the bench, Alec Van Hoorenbeeck and Dalisson de Almeida are both in line to retain their places in the starting XI.

Last matches of

  1. MŠK Žilina

    2 : 1

    Hajduk Split

    Europa League

  2. Hajduk Split

    2 : 0

    MŠK Žilina

    Europa League

  3. Celje

    0 : 1

    Hajduk Split

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. LNZ Cherkasy

    0 : 1

    Hajduk Split

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Skendija 79

    0 : 4

    Hajduk Split

    Club Friendlies 3

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 33

    Toni Silic

Defenders

  • 32

    Simun Hrgovic

  • 5

    Alec Van Hoorenbeeck

  • 15

    Dario Maresic

  • 22

    Mathieu Acapandié

Midfielders

  • 21

    Rokas Pukstas

  • 4

    Adrion Pajaziti

  • 17

    Dario Melnjak

  • 9

    Dalisson de Almeida

  • 28

    Roko Brajkovic

Forwards

  • 11

    Michele Sego

Pafos team overview

Pafos will make their first official appearance of the 2026-27 campaign when they step onto the pitch on Thursday. They secured their place in UEFA’s second-tier competition by lifting the domestic cup last term, following an impressive debut Champions League adventure a year earlier, where they collected nine points from eight matches and narrowly missed out on reaching the knockout rounds.

Since taking charge in April, experienced Portuguese coach Ricardo Sa Pinto has been tasked with building on that progress while adapting the squad to a new chapter. The former midfielder, who has extensive experience across the demanding Balkan football scene, used the summer preparation period to work on defensive organisation after a major overhaul at the back.

Pafos strengthened their squad with several notable additions, including goalkeeper Radoslaw Majecki and Moroccan centre-back Samy Mmaee, both expected to play key roles immediately. However, the lack of competitive minutes in official fixtures and the challenge of integrating new arrivals under the intense atmosphere of Poljud Stadium could represent a major obstacle in Split.

Sa Pinto is likely to hand starting roles to Majecki and Mmaee from the opening whistle, with their presence considered crucial as Pafos look to remain solid defensively and secure a positive result away from home. Nevertheless, adapting quickly to the pressure of European football will be their biggest test.

Last matches of

  1. Slovan Bratislava

    3 : 2

    Pafos

    Club Friendlies 3

  2. Jagiellonia Białystok

    1 : 0

    Pafos

    Club Friendlies 3

  3. Jablonec

    0 : 0

    Pafos

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Pafos

    2 : 1

    Cracovia Krakow

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Apollon

    0 : 2

    Pafos

    Cyprus Cup

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Radoslaw Majecki

Defenders

  • 12

    Ken Sema

  • 5

    David Goldar

  • 3

    Samy Mmaee

  • 7

    Bruno

Midfielders

  • 26

    Ivan Šunjić

  • 88

    Pêpê

  • 17

    Biel

  • 8

    Domingos Quina

  • 11

    Jajá

Forwards

  • 33

    Anderson Silva

Prediction

This match at Poljud will be a classic European thriller played with a high degree of caution. In the previous round against Zilina, Hajduk was dominant and aggressive in front of their home fans, but also incomprehensibly vulnerable away under pressure. Gonzalo Garcia is aware that Pafos possesses a far more experienced squad than the Slovaks and that Cyprus will be a true ordeal if an advantage is not secured in Split.

Pafos arrives with the clear intention to deaden the game, set up a dense defensive block, and minimize risk. Hajduk has individual quality in Marko Livaja, who can settle the match with a single move, but a lack of competitive fluidity at the start of the season means we will not see flowing football with many goals. The tradition of Poljud and the imperative to react after the defeat in Zilina will drive the hosts to a minimal, hard-fought victory.

Three Reasons we expect Hajduk Split to Win

  1. Hajduk Split have achieved five victories in their last six outings in all competitions.
  2. Hajduk Split have kept their net untouched in four of their previous five matches.
  3. Pafos came out on top in just one of their four friendly matches this summer, suffering two defeats during that period.

Main prediction -

to win

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

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2.22

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Hajduk Split vs Pafos – FAQ

? Who is Hajduk Split's player to watch?

Roko Brajkovic was the main reason behind Hajduk Split’s progress to the second qualifying round of the Europa League, scoring one goal and providing one assist across the two legs against Zilina.

? Who is Pafos' player to watch?

Joao Correia was Pafos’ most productive player last season.