Gremio vs Vasco da Gama prediction 20.11.2025 | Serie A
Gremio
2 - 0
Elapsed: FT
Half time: 0 - 0
Full time: 2 - 0
Kick off:
Date:
Vasco da Gama
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Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: Thursday, 20th November 2025
- Kickoff: 00:30 UK / 01:30 CET
- Venue: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)
There are only five more rounds left in the Brazilian Serie A and every match could be decisive. Gremio and Vasco da Gama still didn't secure staying in the league, and the upcoming clash in Porto Alegre could propel both teams further into the safe mid-table. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option.
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Vasco da Gama
2 : 1
Gremio
Serie A
-
Gremio
1 : 0
Vasco da Gama
Serie A
-
Vasco da Gama
1 : 0
Gremio
Serie A
-
Gremio
2 : 1
Vasco da Gama
Serie B
-
Vasco da Gama
0 : 0
Gremio
Serie B
-
Gremio
4 : 0
Vasco da Gama
Serie A
Gremio are usually better than Vasco da Gama as they have won seven of the last 12 H2H matches. The team from Rio de Janeiro came out victorious in two games in the same span, while three encounters ended in draws. Also, it is worth noting that four of the previous five H2H matches ended with two or fewer goals, including the game from July, when it was 1-1.
Gremio team overview
After finishing only three points above the relegation zone last season, Gremio surely hoped for a less stressful year. With five games left, the team from Porto Alegre is five points above the relegation zone and needs a few more points to secure another season in the top flight of Brazilian football.
Gremio didn't play well recently, as they won only one of the last five matches. In the previous game, Gremio played 2-2 on the road against Fortaleza. The guests ended with xG of 2.06, while the home side had only 1.28, so obviously Gremio missed a good opportunity to secure all three points.
Gremio's Edenilson received another yellow card in the previous league round and will not play against Vasco da Gama. He will join already unavailable Fabian Balbuena, Martin Braithwaite, Joao Pedro, Cristian Olivera, Rodrigo Ely, Mathias Villasanti, and Willian. Also, Carlos Vinicius and Marcos Rocha are questionable and their status will be clearer closer to the kickoff.
Last matches of Gremio
-
Corinthians
2 : 0
Gremio
Serie A
-
Gremio
3 : 1
Juventude
Serie A
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1 : 0
Gremio
Serie A
-
Santos FC
1 : 1
Gremio
Serie A
-
Gremio
3 : 1
Vitória
Serie A
Gremio lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Tiago Volpi
Defenders
-
2
Joao Lucas
-
19
Erick Noriega
-
4
Walter Kannemann
-
23
Marlon
Midfielders
-
29
Arthur Melo
-
6
Gustavo Cuellar
-
17
Dodi
Forwards
-
47
Alysson
-
95
Carlos Vinicius
-
9
Francis Amuzu
Vasco da Gama team overview
With two points more than Gremio, Vasco da Gama are in a better position than their next opponent. However, Fernando Diniz's team has been terrible lately and urgently needs to start picking up points. Vasco da Gama lost the last three matches with a 1:8 goal difference. In the most recent outing, they lost 3-1 at home against Juventude. The home side had 74% ball possession and numerous opportunities to score, but their defense once again failed them.
According to the reports from media that follow Vasco da Gama closely, the head coach, Fernando Diniz, acknowledged the mistakes he made in recent games. He is confident that the team will play better in the final stretch of the season.
Vasco's Paulo Henrique got a red card late in the previous round and will skip the trip to Porto Alegre. Also, Adson and Jair are injured, while Benjamin Garre is questionable.
Last matches of Vasco da Gama
-
Vasco da Gama
1 : 3
Juventude
Serie A
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0 : 3
Vasco da Gama
Serie A
-
Fortaleza
0 : 2
Vasco da Gama
Serie A
-
Vasco da Gama
4 : 3
Vitória
Serie A
-
Palmeiras
3 : 0
Vasco da Gama
Serie A
Vasco da Gama lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Leo Jardim
Defenders
-
2
Jose Luis Rodriguez
-
46
Carlos Cuesta
-
30
Robert Renan
-
6
Lucas Piton
Midfielders
-
25
Hugo Moura
-
10
Philippe Coutinho
-
88
Cauan Barros
Forwards
-
11
Andres Gomez
-
77
Rayan
-
17
Nuno Moreira
Prediction
Both these teams have had some problems with scoring lately. Gremio scored two goals in the last three matches, while Vasco da Gama scored only one goal in the same span. Also, four of the previous five games between these two teams ended with two or fewer goals. With both teams struggling to score, it is unlikely that we will see more than two goals in the upcoming clash.
4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match
- Gremio scored two goals in the last three matches
- There were two or fewer goals in two of the previous three Gremio games
- Vasco da Gama scored only one goal in the last three matches
- Gremio and Vasco da Gama went under 2.5 goals in four of the previous five H2H games
Main prediction Gremio - Vasco da Gama
Under 2.5 goals
Gremio vs Vasco da Gama standings in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78 - 27 | +51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66 - 33 | +33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55 - 31 | +24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63 - 39 | +24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50 - 39 | +11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58 - 38 | +20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50 - 46 | +4 | 60 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43 - 47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Grêmio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 - 50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45 - 57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atlético Mineiro | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43 - 44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45 - 50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42 - 47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55 - 60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitória | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35 - 52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 - 57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceará | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34 - 40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 - 58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35 - 69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28 - 75 | -47 | 17 |