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Gremio vs Vasco da Gama prediction 20.11.2025 | Serie A

Gremio

Gremio

2 - 0

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 0 - 0

Full time: 2 - 0

Kick off:

Date:

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

match ended

The match has ended, you can view today's football predictions and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Thursday, 20th November 2025
  • Kickoff: 00:30 UK / 01:30 CET
  • Venue: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

There are only five more rounds left in the Brazilian Serie A and every match could be decisive. Gremio and Vasco da Gama still didn't secure staying in the league, and the upcoming clash in Porto Alegre could propel both teams further into the safe mid-table. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Gremio vs Vasco da Gama Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Vasco da Gama

    2 : 1

    Gremio

    Serie A

  2. Gremio

    1 : 0

    Vasco da Gama

    Serie A

  3. Vasco da Gama

    1 : 0

    Gremio

    Serie A

  4. Gremio

    2 : 1

    Vasco da Gama

    Serie B

  5. Vasco da Gama

    0 : 0

    Gremio

    Serie B

  6. Gremio

    4 : 0

    Vasco da Gama

    Serie A

Gremio are usually better than Vasco da Gama as they have won seven of the last 12 H2H matches. The team from Rio de Janeiro came out victorious in two games in the same span, while three encounters ended in draws. Also, it is worth noting that four of the previous five H2H matches ended with two or fewer goals, including the game from July, when it was 1-1. 

Gremio

Gremio team overview

After finishing only three points above the relegation zone last season, Gremio surely hoped for a less stressful year. With five games left, the team from Porto Alegre is five points above the relegation zone and needs a few more points to secure another season in the top flight of Brazilian football. 

Gremio didn't play well recently, as they won only one of the last five matches. In the previous game, Gremio played 2-2 on the road against Fortaleza. The guests ended with xG of 2.06, while the home side had only 1.28, so obviously Gremio missed a good opportunity to secure all three points. 

Gremio's Edenilson received another yellow card in the previous league round and will not play against Vasco da Gama. He will join already unavailable Fabian Balbuena, Martin Braithwaite, Joao Pedro, Cristian Olivera, Rodrigo Ely, Mathias Villasanti, and Willian. Also, Carlos Vinicius and Marcos Rocha are questionable and their status will be clearer closer to the kickoff. 

Last matches of Gremio

  1. Corinthians

    2 : 0

    Gremio

    Serie A

  2. Gremio

    3 : 1

    Juventude

    Serie A

  3. Red Bull Bragantino

    1 : 0

    Gremio

    Serie A

  4. Santos FC

    1 : 1

    Gremio

    Serie A

  5. Gremio

    3 : 1

    Vitória

    Serie A

Gremio lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Tiago Volpi

Defenders

  • 2

    Joao Lucas

  • 19

    Erick Noriega

  • 4

    Walter Kannemann

  • 23

    Marlon

Midfielders

  • 29

    Arthur Melo

  • 6

    Gustavo Cuellar

  • 17

    Dodi

Forwards

  • 47

    Alysson

  • 95

    Carlos Vinicius

  • 9

    Francis Amuzu

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama team overview

With two points more than Gremio, Vasco da Gama are in a better position than their next opponent. However, Fernando Diniz's team has been terrible lately and urgently needs to start picking up points. Vasco da Gama lost the last three matches with a 1:8 goal difference. In the most recent outing, they lost 3-1 at home against Juventude. The home side had 74% ball possession and numerous opportunities to score, but their defense once again failed them. 

According to the reports from media that follow Vasco da Gama closely, the head coach, Fernando Diniz, acknowledged the mistakes he made in recent games. He is confident that the team will play better in the final stretch of the season. 

Vasco's Paulo Henrique got a red card late in the previous round and will skip the trip to Porto Alegre. Also, Adson and Jair are injured, while Benjamin Garre is questionable. 

Last matches of Vasco da Gama

  1. Vasco da Gama

    1 : 3

    Juventude

    Serie A

  2. Red Bull Bragantino

    0 : 3

    Vasco da Gama

    Serie A

  3. Fortaleza

    0 : 2

    Vasco da Gama

    Serie A

  4. Vasco da Gama

    4 : 3

    Vitória

    Serie A

  5. Palmeiras

    3 : 0

    Vasco da Gama

    Serie A

Vasco da Gama lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Leo Jardim

Defenders

  • 2

    Jose Luis Rodriguez

  • 46

    Carlos Cuesta

  • 30

    Robert Renan

  • 6

    Lucas Piton

Midfielders

  • 25

    Hugo Moura

  • 10

    Philippe Coutinho

  • 88

    Cauan Barros

Forwards

  • 11

    Andres Gomez

  • 77

    Rayan

  • 17

    Nuno Moreira

Prediction

Both these teams have had some problems with scoring lately. Gremio scored two goals in the last three matches, while Vasco da Gama scored only one goal in the same span. Also, four of the previous five games between these two teams ended with two or fewer goals. With both teams struggling to score, it is unlikely that we will see more than two goals in the upcoming clash. 

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Gremio scored two goals in the last three matches
  2. There were two or fewer goals in two of the previous three Gremio games
  3. Vasco da Gama scored only one goal in the last three matches
  4. Gremio and Vasco da Gama went under 2.5 goals in four of the previous five H2H games

Main prediction Gremio - Vasco da Gama

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

52% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Gremio vs Vasco da Gama standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Flamengo 38 23 10 5 78 - 27 +51 79
2 Palmeiras 38 23 7 8 66 - 33 +33 76
3 Cruzeiro 38 19 13 6 55 - 31 +24 70
4 Mirassol 38 18 13 7 63 - 39 +24 67
5 Fluminense 38 19 7 12 50 - 39 +11 64
6 Botafogo 38 17 12 9 58 - 38 +20 63
7 Bahia 38 17 9 12 50 - 46 +4 60
8 São Paulo 38 14 9 15 43 - 47 -4 51
9 Grêmio 38 13 10 15 47 - 50 -3 49
10 Bragantino 38 14 6 18 45 - 57 -12 48
11 Atlético Mineiro 38 12 12 14 43 - 44 -1 48
12 Santos 38 12 11 15 45 - 50 -5 47
13 Corinthians 38 12 11 15 42 - 47 -5 47
14 Vasco da Gama 38 13 6 19 55 - 60 -5 45
15 Vitória 38 11 12 15 35 - 52 -17 45
16 Internacional 38 11 11 16 44 - 57 -13 44
17 Ceará 38 11 10 17 34 - 40 -6 43
18 Fortaleza 38 11 10 17 43 - 58 -15 43
19 Juventude 38 9 8 21 35 - 69 -34 35
20 Sport Recife 38 2 11 25 28 - 75 -47 17

Gremio vs Vasco da Gama – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the TV Globo channel.

? How much is the average xG for Gremio this season?

The average xG for Gremio in Serie A this season is 1.25.

? How much is the average xG for Vasco da Gama this season?

The average xG for Vasco da Gama in Serie A this season is 1.46.