Fiorentina vs Roma prediction 05.10.2025 | Serie A
Kick off:
Date:
1
3.08
X
3.21
2
2.46
Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: 5th October, 2025
- Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CEST
- Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi
The Stadio Artemio Franchi sets the stage for a high-profile Serie A clash on Sunday as Fiorentina host Roma in what promises to be one of the weekend’s standout fixtures. Both clubs have ambitions of finishing in the European spots this season, with Roma targeting a return to the Champions League and Fiorentina looking to solidify themselves as a consistent top-six contender.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Fiorentina
5 : 1
AS Roma
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
2 : 2
AS Roma
Serie A
-
AS Roma
1 : 1
Fiorentina
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
2 : 1
AS Roma
Serie A
-
AS Roma
2 : 0
Fiorentina
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
2 : 0
AS Roma
Serie A
Historically, Roma have had the upper hand in this fixture. Across their last 10 Serie A meetings, the Giallorossi have won five times, while Fiorentina claimed three victories, with two matches ending level. Moreover, Fiorentina have been unable to assert their dominance at the Stadio Artemio Franchi either - they have only registered one win in their last four home matches against Roma.
Fiorentina team overview
Fiorentina have endured a bleak start to their Serie A 2025/26 campaign. La Viola remain, somewhat unexpectedly, one of only five teams yet to record a win this season, having lost twice and drawn three times in their opening five matches. Scoring goals has been their most glaring weakness, with just three goals registered so far, and two matches where they failed to find the net altogether. Defensively, they have not been disastrous, but stronger attacking sides such as Napoli and Como managed to expose their vulnerabilities, inflicting 3-1 and 2-1 defeats respectively.
Injury wise, Tariq Lamptey is the only absentee for the Viola heading into this game.
Last matches of
-
Fiorentina
2 : 0
Sigma Olomouc
Europa Conference League
-
Pisa
0 : 0
Fiorentina
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Como
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
1 : 3
Napoli
Serie A
-
Torino
0 : 0
Fiorentina
Serie A
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
43
David De Gea
Defenders
-
5
Marin Pongračić
-
18
Pablo Marí
-
6
Luca Ranieri
-
2
Dodô
-
21
Robin Gosens
Midfielders
-
8
Rolando Mandragora
-
22
Jacopo Fazzini
-
14
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
Forwards
-
10
Albert Guðmundsson
-
20
Moise Kean
Roma team overview
Roma, by contrast, have enjoyed an almost perfect start to their Serie A campaign, with just one setback so far. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side sit level on points with Milan and Napoli - all three clubs having collected 12 points from five matches - but trail them on goal difference. Their only defeat came against Torino in a tightly contested match, reflecting a broader trend in their season: four of their five league fixtures have produced under 2.5 goals. Three of Roma’s four victories were narrow 1-0 wins, underlining their reputation as one of the most resilient and stubborn teams in the league at this stage.
The visitors will have to deal without the injured duo of Paulo Dybala and Edoardo Bove.
Last matches of
-
AS Roma
0 : 1
Lille
Europa League
-
AS Roma
2 : 0
Hellas Verona
Serie A
-
OGC Nice
1 : 2
AS Roma
Europa League
-
Lazio
0 : 1
AS Roma
Serie A
-
AS Roma
0 : 1
Torino
Serie A
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
99
Mile Svilar
Defenders
-
22
Mario Hermoso
-
23
Gianluca Mancini
-
5
Evan Ndicka
-
3
Angeliño
-
43
Wesley
Midfielders
-
4
Bryan Cristante
-
17
Manu Koné
-
18
Matías Soulé
-
7
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Forwards
-
9
Artem Dovbyk
Prediction
With Fiorentina struggling badly in front of goal and Roma boasting the best defensive record in Serie A - just one goal conceded - this fixture has the makings of a tightly contested encounter with few chances. Both of Roma’s away victories have ended 1-0, while three of Fiorentina’s five league matches have also produced under 2.5 goals. Roma’s 1-0 defeat to Lille in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday may also affect them mentally, and coupled with their limited attacking firepower, an under 2.5 goals prediction looks well supported.
Three reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals
- Two of Roma’s six matches across all competitions this season have finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Three of Fiorentina’s five Serie A fixtures have also produced under 2.5 goals.
- All five of Roma’s away games in Serie A this season have ended with under 2.5 goals.
Main prediction -
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.83
vs standings in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 - 3 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 - 8 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 - 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 4 | Napoli | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 - 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 - 5 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 - 5 | +6 | 10 |
| 7 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 - 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 - 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 - 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 - 7 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 - 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Bologna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 - 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 - 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 - 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 - 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Torino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 - 13 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 - 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 - 9 | -7 | 3 |
| 19 | Pisa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 - 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 - 7 | -5 | 2 |