FC Porto vs Benfica prediction 05.10.2025 | Liga Portugal
Kick off:
Date:
1
1.95
X
3.30
2
3.80
Contents
- Competition: Liga Portugal
- Date: 5th October 2025
- Kick-off: 21:15 UK / 22:15 CEST
- Venue: Estádio do Dragão
In a huge clash in the battle for the Portuguese top-flight title, FC Porto will play host to Benfica this weekend. Hosts Porto are three points clear at the top of the standings, while Benfica are in third place with 17 points from seven games. Sunday’s game will be the eighth league match of the season for both teams and their second H2H meeting of 2025. Read our Porto vs. Benfica preview for the latest team news and our predictions.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Porto
1 : 4
Benfica
Liga Portugal
-
Benfica
4 : 1
Porto
Liga Portugal
-
Porto
5 : 0
Benfica
Liga Portugal
-
Benfica
1 : 0
Porto
Liga Portugal
-
Benfica
2 : 0
Porto
Super Cup
-
Benfica
1 : 2
Porto
Liga Portugal
The two sides have faced each other eight times since 2022 with all but one of those encounters being in the Primeira Liga. Benfica dominated this period, winning five games, while Porto won three. The average number of goals scored per game during this period was 2.88.
FC Porto team overview
Porto went to the FIFA Club World Cup in the US back in June and returned without winning any of their three group stage matches, but that seems a long time ago now. The Blue and Whites are the only team with a 100% record in the Portuguese top flight this season, having won all seven of their games.
The 30-time Liga Portugal champions have conceded just one league goal so far this season, which further demonstrates the excellent work of Francesco Farioli. However, the fact that Porto lost their last two meetings with Benfica 8:2 on aggregate will be a concern for fans.
Nehuén Pérez has missed the last four games due to a muscle injury and will be unavailable on Sunday against Benfica.
Last matches of
-
Porto
2 : 1
Crvena Zvezda
Europa League
-
Arouca
0 : 4
Porto
Liga Portugal
-
Red Bull Salzburg
0 : 1
Porto
Europa League
-
Rio Ave
0 : 3
Porto
Liga Portugal
-
Porto
1 : 0
CD Nacional
Liga Portugal
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
99
Diogo Costa
Defenders
-
52
Martim Fernandes
-
5
Jan Bednarek
-
21
Dominik Prpić
-
12
Zaidu Sanusi
Midfielders
-
6
Stephen Eustáquio
-
13
Pablo Rosario
-
86
Rodrigo Mora
Forwards
-
7
William Gomes
-
27
Deniz Gül
-
47
Ángel Alarcón Galiot
Benfica team overview
Benfica finished second behind Sporting CP in each of the last two years, including last season when they missed out on the title by just two points.
The Eagles have not lost a league game in the 2025-26 campaign, but draws against Rio Ave and Santa Clara have held them back.
Nevertheless, José Mourinho will be motivated by the fact that his team have won all their away league games this season and also have an excellent record against Porto.
Nicolás Otamendi will receive a one-match ban if he is booked this weekend, while Bruma is ruled out due to an Achilles tendon injury.
Last matches of
-
Chelsea
1 : 0
Benfica
Champions League
-
Benfica
2 : 1
Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
-
Benfica
1 : 1
Rio Ave
Liga Portugal
-
AVS
0 : 3
Benfica
Liga Portugal
-
Benfica
2 : 3
Qarabag FK
Champions League
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Anatoliy Trubin
Defenders
-
26
Samuel Dahl
-
30
Nicolás Otamendi
-
4
António Silva
-
17
Amar Dedić
Midfielders
-
5
Enzo Barrenechea
-
20
Richard Ríos
-
8
Fredrik Aursnes
Forwards
-
9
Franjo Ivanović
-
14
Vangelis Pavlidis
-
10
Heorhiy Sudakov
Prediction
Porto have already beaten the champions, Sporting, this season, but Sunday’s game will be their biggest test yet, as they face a Benfica side to whom they have conceded eight goals in their last two meetings. However, the defensive adjustments made by head coach Francesco Farioli seem to have paid off, so I expect a close game, with the hosts winning 1:0.
Three reasons we expect Porto to win this game
- Porto won three of their last five home meetings with Benfica.
- Benfica failed to win four of their last six games across all competitions.
- Porto have won all their 9 competitive games this season.
Main prediction -
to win
Best Odds:
Paripesa
1.95
vs standings in Liga Portugal
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 - 1 | +18 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 - 4 | +15 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 - 4 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 - 4 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 - 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicão | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 - 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 | Vitória SC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 - 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 - 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 - 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Sporting Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 - 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 - 18 | -9 | 8 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 - 10 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 - 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 - 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 - 13 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 - 13 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 - 11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | AVS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 - 20 | -15 | 1 |