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Everton vs Newcastle United Prediction 29.10.2026 | EFL Cup

Everton

Everton

Kick off:

Date:

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

1

2.31

X

3.42

2

3.17

  • Competition: England - EFL Cup
  • Date: Thursday, 29th, October 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20.45 CET
  • Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

When two Premier League clubs still fighting to unearth their definitive rhythm square off in a knockout competition, the fine margin between monumental success and bitter disappointment is routinely dictated by a solitary moment of individual inspiration or one costly error.

Precisely such a high-stakes challenge awaits Everton and Newcastle, who will lock horns this Thursday evening as they trade blows for a coveted spot among the final eight of the English EFL Cup.

Everton vs Newcastle United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Newcastle United

    1 : 3

    Everton

    Club Friendlies 3

  2. Newcastle United

    2 : 3

    Everton

    Premier League

  3. Everton

    1 : 4

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    0 : 1

    Everton

    Premier League

  5. Everton

    0 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  6. Newcastle United

    1 : 1

    Everton

    Premier League

This Thursday’s highly anticipated showdown will mark the 187th historical meeting between these two traditional institutions, a fixture in which Everton holds a razor-thin psychological advantage after emerging victorious on 77 occasions, while Newcastle United trails closely with just five fewer triumphs, leaving the remaining 38 encounters to conclude all square.

Everton

Everton team overview

Although David Moyes successfully stabilized Everton through an ironclad defensive organization and a perfectly solid introductory league rhythm, back-to-back October collapses at the hands of titans Chelsea and Arsenal—both resulting in narrow 2-0 reverses—ruthlessly exposed a chronic lack of attacking creativity in the blue half of Liverpool.

The Toffees currently find themselves saddled with an uninspiring return of just eight goals scored across as many league rounds, a drought that explicitly demonstrates that the squad, despite its undeniable structural stability at the back, suffers immensely from offensive inefficiency the exact moment the caliber and intensity of the opposition elevate to a higher tier.

Nevertheless, the EFL Cup campaign has offered an entirely different and vastly brighter narrative for Moyes' side this term, considering that a commanding 4-0 routing of Preston North End and a subsequent narrow 1-0 elimination of Wolves with flawless clean sheets hand the squad the perfect foundation to rebuild their bruised confidence.

The absolute catalyst for success in this fierce battle for a quarter-final berth will rest squarely upon the shoulders of robust forward Thierno Barry, who must put on a tactically perfect performance under intense pressure, because without a significantly higher injection of attacking bravery in the final third of the pitch, home-field advantage simply will not suffice to topple the surging Magpies.

Last matches of Everton

  1. Arsenal

    2 : 0

    Everton

    Premier League

  2. Everton

    0 : 2

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  3. Hull City

    2 : 2

    Everton

    Premier League

  4. Everton

    1 : 0

    Ipswich Town

    Premier League

  5. Everton

    1 : 0

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Carabao Cup

Everton lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jordan Pickford

Defenders

  • 4

    Jarrad Branthwaite

  • 5

    Michael Keane

  • 15

    Jake O'Brien

  • 2

    Ainsley Maitland-Niles

Midfielders

  • 37

    James Garner

  • 30

    Hayden Hackney

  • 10

    Jack Grealish

  • 8

    Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall

  • 20

    Tyler Dibling

Forwards

  • 11

    Thierno Barry

Newcastle United

Newcastle United team overview

In sharp contrast to the hosts, Newcastle United entered the new campaign burdened by monumental external expectations, but painful domestic oscillations and heavy defensive beatings against Leeds United (4-1) and Coventry City (4-1) clearly proved that Matthias Jaissle’s men are still searching desperately for consistent competitive continuity.

Nonetheless, last week's clinical 2-0 triumph on a highly demanding road trip to Crystal Palace successfully injected much-needed tranquility into the Magpies' camp, and the encouraging reality that their backline finally recorded a pristine clean sheet represents a monumental step in the right direction ahead of the trip to face Everton.

Tactical preparation for the clash is, however, slightly disrupted for Jaissle due to a highly volatile personnel situation, given that structural injuries have left Tino Livramento, Lewis Miley, and Matias Fernandez-Pardo shrouded in heavy matchday doubt, while teenage goalkeeper Ewen Jaouen remains completely ruled out of action.

In a high-intensity matchup where vacant space will likely be at a premium, Newcastle will lean heavily on the defensive discipline showcased in London and their prior cup blueprint that yielded a tight 1-0 victory over Millwall, fully aware that another defensively flawless performance would comfortably secure a quarter-final ticket while perfectly setting the stage for a rapid league replay of this exact fixture next week.

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Crystal Palace

    0 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    0 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  3. Coventry City

    4 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    2 : 1

    Hull City

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    4 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 21

    Lukas Hornicek

Defenders

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

  • 4

    Sven Botman

  • 5

    Fabian Schär

  • 37

    Amar Dedic

Midfielders

  • 41

    Jacob Ramsey

  • 6

    Nico González

  • 11

    Harvey Barnes

  • 28

    Joe Willock

  • 23

    Jacob Murphy

Forwards

  • 9

    Yoane Wissa

Prediction

Traditionally, knockout ties in the EFL Cup yield a vast reservoir of unpredictability and offer a prime platform for clubs outside the immediate elite circle to forge a path toward silverware, yet the current form and conservative tactical approaches of both camps practically guarantee a brutal trench war inside the Hill Dickinson Stadium.

Everton is desperately hunting for immediate redemption in front of their home fans following back-to-back shutout defeats, but the reality that they have successfully kept their net completely unbreached across both prior EFL Cup outings strongly suggests that David Moyes will prioritize a tightly organized rearguard before everything else.

Standing in direct opposition to them, Matthias Jaissle and his traveling contingent arrive heavily encouraged by the defensive resilience displayed in the capital during their 2-0 silencing of Crystal Palace, a structural solidity that aligned flawlessly with their minimal 1-0 cup triumph over Millwall to prove that the visitors possess the necessary maturity to patiently play for a low-scoring result.

In the tactical chess match that will inevitably unfold under the floodlights, the defining battle will be waged in the center of the park where Newcastle’s robust midfield unit will systematically look to suffocate the tempo of the contest and consciously limit open spaces, calculating that mounting frustration will engulf the hosts as the minutes tick away without clear-cut opportunities.

Consequently, when factoring in the Toffees’ chronic lack of composure in the final third paired with Jaissle’s newly unearthed defensive stability, it is highly realistic to anticipate an exceptionally closed, cagey affair in which a solitary, precise finishing blow in the dying stages could easily dictate who progresses into the quarter-finals of the EFL Cup.

Three Reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals

  1. Demonstrating a remarkably low-scoring trend, only one of Everton’s last six competitive matches across all competitions has produced over 2.5 total goals.
  2. Firing blanks in the final third recently, Everton has gone consecutive fixtures scoreless following identical 2-0 league defeats to Chelsea and Arsenal.
  3. Newcastle United has established an exceptionally rigid travel blueprint, keeping a clean sheet in an impressive three of their five away assignments this season.

Main prediction Everton - Newcastle United

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

56% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

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2.07

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Everton vs Newcastle United – FAQ

? Who is Everton's player to watch?

Thierno Barry remains the undisputed primary offensive weapon for the hosts, having plundered a fine return of six goals across his 10 competitive appearances so far.

? Who is Newcastle United's player to watch?

Racking up a superb return of four goals and two assists across all fronts, Harvey Barnes firmly stands out as Newcastle United’s most lethal catalyst.