Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction 28.10.2026 | EFL Cup
Kick off:
Date:
1
2.32
X
3.56
2
3.04
Contents
- Competition: EFL Cup
- Date: 28th October 2026
- Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: Vitality Stadium
EFL Cup action returns this Wednesday as Bournemouth host high-flying Aston Villa in a mouth-watering knockout clash. Remember their tense 1-1 league draw down on the coast earlier this year? It was a tactical chess match. Naturally, the Cherries will be desperate to make home advantage count and secure a quarter-final spot. Whether they can actually contain Villa's blistering transition game or withstand Unai Emery's tactical depth remains to be seen. Let's look at the best betting angles.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
AFC Bournemouth
1 : 1
Aston Villa
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
4 : 0
AFC Bournemouth
Premier League
-
AFC Bournemouth
0 : 1
Aston Villa
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
1 : 1
AFC Bournemouth
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
3 : 1
AFC Bournemouth
Premier League
-
AFC Bournemouth
2 : 2
Aston Villa
Premier League
Aston Villa holds the slight edge recently, winning four of their last seven competitive encounters, while three games finished level. Their last battle earlier this year ended in a tense 1-1 draw at the Vitality Stadium. Historically, this competitive fixture promises action, averaging a steady 2.83 goals per game.
Bournemouth team overview
Bournemouth enters this one on the back of a spectacular 3-0 demolition of Manchester United at Old Trafford. The Cherries have truly found their footing under Marco Rose in recent weeks.
They currently boast a win in each of their last four matches, beating Man United and Milan along the way and kept four clean sheets in that spell.
Looking at their home form, the Cherries have turned the Vitality Stadium into an increasingly tough venue, most recently beating Milan 3-0 and have lost only of their last 16 competitive home games.
Evanilson has been their absolute crown jewel, contributing 4 goals and 4 assists across all competitions to heavily drive their creative tempo.
However, Rose will have to manage a few notable absentees as midfielder Alex Scott and right-back Julián Araujo remain sidelined with injuries.
Last matches of
-
Manchester United
0 : 3
AFC Bournemouth
Premier League
-
AFC Bournemouth
3 : 0
AC Milan
Europa League
-
AFC Bournemouth
2 : 0
Sunderland
Premier League
-
AFC Bournemouth
3 : 0
SK Sturm Graz
Europa League
-
Chelsea
5 : 1
AFC Bournemouth
Premier League
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Đorđe Petrović
Defenders
-
15
Adam Smith
-
5
James Hill
-
18
Bafodé Diakité
-
3
Adrien Truffert
Midfielders
-
12
Tyler Adams
-
4
Lewis Cook
-
16
Marcus Tavernier
Forwards
-
19
Justin Kluivert
-
37
Rayan
-
9
Evanilson
Aston Villa team overview
Aston Villa prepares for this one on the back of an excellent run of form, highlighted by a 2-1 win over Manchester City and a perfect start to their Champions League campaign.
The Villans are finding consistent momentum under Unai Emery, shaking off a slow start to sit comfortably in the upper tier of the table. They have won six of their last seven across all competitions.
Their record on the road has been incredibly resolute across all competitions, winning each of their last four away games.
Nicolas Jackson has been the ultimate key name up front, leading their line brilliantly with a superb return of 7 goals in his first 11 appearances for the club.
Injuries to Wan-Bissaka and Ruggeri leave Villa's backline depleted ahead of a heavily congested fixture list.
Last matches of
-
Aston Villa
2 : 1
Manchester City
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
3 : 1
Viking
Champions League
-
Newcastle United
0 : 1
Aston Villa
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
6 : 0
Fenerbahce
Champions League
-
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Brentford
Premier League
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Zion Suzuki
Defenders
-
2
Matty Cash
-
3
Victor Lindelöf
-
14
Pau Torres
-
22
Ian Maatsen
Midfielders
-
8
Boubacar Kamara
-
6
Ross Barkley
-
35
João Gomes
Forwards
-
7
John McGinn
-
11
Nicolas Jackson
-
47
Alysson
Prediction
This one smells like a deadlock. Both backlines have been absolutely imperial lately, so don't expect a wild, high-scoring blowout here. Bournemouth haven't conceded a single goal in four games. Meanwhile, Villa just choked out Man City's attack last weekend. I vividly remember their tense 1-1 battle on the coast earlier this year. I’m leaning towards another tight 1-1 draw.
Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game
- Three of the last four meetings between Bournemouth and Villa at this ground finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Aston Villa kept a clean sheet in two of their last four matches.
- Bournemouth have kept a clean sheet in each of their last four matches.
Main prediction -
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
22bet
2.14
