Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction 30.08.2025 | La Liga
Kick off:
Date:
1
4.86
X
3.74
2
1.84
Contents
- Competition: La Liga
- Date: 30th August 2025
- Kick-off: 16:00 UK / 17:00 CEST
- Venue: Mendizorroza
Atlético Madrid's search for their first win of the 2025–26 Spanish top-flight campaign continues this weekend with an away match against Alavés. This is the third fixture of the campaign for both sides, and the bookies have made Diego Simeone’s side favourites. However, Alavés will be feeling confident after avoiding defeat in each of their last five home games. Read our Alavés vs. Atlético Madrid preview for the latest news and predictions.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1
Alaves
La Liga
-
Alaves
2 : 0
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
-
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1
Alaves
La Liga
-
Atletico Madrid
4 : 1
Alaves
La Liga
-
Alaves
1 : 0
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
-
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0
Alaves
La Liga
The two teams have played each other eleven times in the Spanish Primera División since 2019. Atlético Madrid had the slight edge during this period, winning seven times and keeping a clean sheet on three occasions. Alavés only managed two wins, but they will be encouraged by the fact that both victories were achieved at this stadium. The average number of goals per game was 2.40.
Deportivo Alaves team overview
Alavés proved to be a tough opponent in the closing stages of the 2024–25 campaign, losing only one of their final seven matches (with three wins and three draws).
Fans will have hoped that this form extends into the new season, and Los Albiazules have already delivered a taste of that. They hosted Levante on Match Day 1 and registered a 2–1 victory, thanks to goals from Martínez and Tenaglia.
Although Eduardo Coudet’s team lost their second match, they conceded only one goal and had five shots on target. Alavés have now conceded fewer than one goal in each of their last eleven league matches, losing only three of them.
Having also avoided defeat in each of their last five La Liga home games, they will be feeling confident about getting at least a point from this weekend's fixture.
Last matches of
-
Real Betis
1 : 0
Alaves
La Liga
-
Alaves
2 : 1
Levante
La Liga
-
Alaves
1 : 1
Osasuna
La Liga
-
Alaves
1 : 0
Valencia
La Liga
-
Athletic Bilbao
1 : 0
Alaves
La Liga
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Antonio Sivera
Defenders
-
24
Víctor Parada
-
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
-
2
Facundo Garcés
-
17
Jonny Otto
Midfielders
-
10
Carles Aleñá
-
8
Antonio Blanco
-
19
Pablo Ibáñez
-
7
Carlos Vicente
Forwards
-
11
Toni Martínez
-
18
Jon Guridi
Atletico Madrid team overview
Atlético Madrid once again finished outside the top two in the 2024–25 campaign, but they ended the season in great form, beating Girona and Real Betis 8–1 on aggregate.
Los Colchoneros showed glimpses of that form when they beat Botafogo and Seattle Sounders during the Club World Cup in the United States. That form has since disappeared as they remain winless two games into the new campaign.
José María Giménez missed both the first two games due to a hamstring injury, and Saturday’s game will come too soon for the centre-back.
Last matches of
-
Newcastle United
0 : 2
Atletico Madrid
Club Friendlies 1
-
Porto
1 : 0
Atletico Madrid
Club Friendlies 1
-
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0
Botafogo
FIFA Club World Cup
-
PSG
4 : 0
Atletico Madrid
FIFA Club World Cup
-
Girona
0 : 4
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
13
Jan Oblak
Defenders
-
14
Marcos Llorente
-
24
Robin Le Normand
-
17
Dávid Hancko
-
3
Matteo Ruggeri
Midfielders
-
20
Giuliano Simeone
-
5
Johnny Cardoso
-
8
Pablo Barrios
-
11
Thiago Almada
Forwards
-
9
Alexander Sørloth
-
19
Julián Alvarez
Prediction
Atlético Madrid have a decent record against Alavés, boasting four wins from the last seven meetings between the two sides. However, none of those victories were achieved at this stadium, and Simeone’s team lost two of their last three visits to Alavés. All three games ended with fewer than two goals, and given that the hosts' recent home games have also been unentertaining, I am expecting a close game that could end in a 1–1 draw.
Three reasons we expect Under 2.5 goals in this game
- Four of the last five meetings between Alaves and Atletico Madrid ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Only one of the last four away games of Atletico de Madrid produced more than two goals.
- 14 of the last 15 home La Liga games of Alaves ended with under 2.5 goals.
Main prediction -
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.76
vs standings in La Liga
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 - 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 - 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 - 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 4 | Getafe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 - 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 | Athletic Club | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 - 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 - 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 | Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 - 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 - 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Deportivo Alavés | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 - 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 - 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 - 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Celta de Vigo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 - 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Atlético Madrid | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 - 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 - 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 - 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Levante | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 - 5 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Sevilla | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 - 5 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 - 5 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 | Girona | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 - 8 | -7 | 0 |