Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction 04.10.2025 | Premier League

Chelsea

Chelsea

Kick off:

Date:

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

2.97

X

3.98

2

2.34

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: 4th October, 2025
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CEST
  • Venue:  Stamford Bridge

On 4 October, Stamford Bridge hosts one of English football’s classic rivalries as Chelsea face Liverpool in a high-stakes Premier League fixture. Chelsea are seeking consistency at home, while Liverpool arrive under pressure following two back-to-back defeats against Crystal Palace and Galatasaray. Given both sides’ attacking potential and occasional defensive lapses, this match could very well be decided by small margins and key moments.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Liverpool

    2 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  2. Chelsea

    0 : 1

    Liverpool

    Carabao Cup

  3. Liverpool

    4 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  4. Chelsea

    1 : 1

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  5. Chelsea

    0 : 0

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  6. Liverpool

    0 : 0

    Chelsea

    Premier League

In their last 10 Premier League encounters, Chelsea have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, but more importantly, Liverpool have been unable to win at Stamford Bridge in their last four visits.

Chelsea

Chelsea team overview

Chelsea’s start to the 2025/26 domestic and European campaign has been inconsistent. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins and three defeats, and their home form will be under scrutiny once again as they look to capitalize on Stamford Bridge advantage. The Blues arrive for this clash on the back of a hard-fought 1-0 Champions League victory over Benfica in midweek, a much-needed boost after a disappointing 3-1 defeat to Brighton at the weekend. Domestically, however, Enzo Maresca’s men are struggling: they are currently winless in their last three league matches and have managed just one victory from their opening three home fixtures.

However, injuries are hitting hard. Manager Maresca has confirmed that Cole Palmer will be sidelined for two to three weeks with a groin issue, while defender Tosin Adarabioyo is also out with a calf problem, and Wesley Fofana is still recovering from a concussion.

Last matches of Chelsea

  1. Chelsea

    1 : 0

    Benfica

    Champions League

  2. Chelsea

    1 : 3

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  3. Lincoln City F.C

    1 : 2

    Chelsea

    Carabao Cup

  4. Manchester United

    2 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  5. Bayern Munich

    3 : 1

    Chelsea

    Champions League

Chelsea lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Robert Sánchez

Defenders

  • 24

    Reece James

  • 29

    Wesley Fofana

  • 5

    Benoît Badiashile

  • 3

    Marc Cucurella

Midfielders

  • 25

    Moisés Caicedo

  • 45

    Roméo Lavia

  • 8

    Enzo Fernández

Forwards

  • 41

    Estêvão Willian

  • 7

    Pedro Neto

  • 20

    João Pedro

Liverpool

Liverpool team overview

Liverpool’s recent form has come under scrutiny, as the reigning Premier League champions face their first major setbacks of the 2025/26 campaign. In midweek, they suffered a 1-0 defeat to Galatasaray in the Champions League, raising further doubts about their title-defending credentials. That result marked their second consecutive loss in all competitions, following a weekend defeat to Crystal Palace - their first league loss of the season. Adding to the concern, Liverpool’s recent league record at Stamford Bridge is far from encouraging, as they have failed to win on any of their last four visits to the capital.

Back-to-back defeats have been made even worse by injuries: Liverpool’s goalkeeper Alisson is confirmed to be unavailable for this match due to a knee injury. Meanwhile, Hugo Ekitike left the Galatasaray match injured and is also unlikely to feature.

Last matches of Liverpool

  1. Galatasaray

    1 : 0

    Liverpool

    Champions League

  2. Crystal Palace

    2 : 1

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  3. Liverpool

    2 : 1

    Southampton

    Carabao Cup

  4. Liverpool

    2 : 1

    Everton

    Premier League

  5. Liverpool

    3 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

Liverpool lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Giorgi Mamardashvili

Defenders

  • 30

    Jeremie Frimpong

  • 5

    Ibrahima Konaté

  • 4

    Virgil van Dijk

  • 6

    Miloš Kerkez

Midfielders

  • 10

    Alexis Mac Allister

  • 38

    Ryan Gravenberch

  • 18

    Cody Gakpo

  • 11

    Mohamed Salah

  • 7

    Florian Wirtz

Forwards

  • 9

    Alexander Isak

Prediction

This match is likely to be tightly contested. Liverpool’s overall strength and history give them a theoretical edge, but Chelsea’s home advantage and Liverpool’s defensive instability in the last two defeats could level the balance. Given the injury concerns on both sides, especially in defence, we can expect goals. BTTS is a strong possibility and a reasonable prediction for this game, considering the fact that both Chelsea and Liverpool were able to put the ball into the back of the net in four successive H2H fixtures.

Three reasons we expect BTTS

  1. BTTS occurred in 4 consecutive league fixtures between Chelsea and Liverpool.
  2. Chelsea have scored in 8 successive matches across all competitions.
  3. Liverpool have scored in every game this season so far, except in a 1-0 midweek loss to Galatasaray.

Main prediction Chelsea - Liverpool

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.47

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Chelsea vs Liverpool standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Liverpool 6 5 0 1 12 - 7 +5 15
2 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 12 - 3 +9 13
3 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 0 8 - 3 +5 12
4 Tottenham Hotspur 6 3 2 1 11 - 4 +7 11
5 Sunderland 6 3 2 1 7 - 4 +3 11
6 AFC Bournemouth 6 3 2 1 8 - 7 +1 11
7 Manchester City 6 3 1 2 14 - 6 +8 10
8 Chelsea 6 2 2 2 11 - 8 +3 8
9 Everton 6 2 2 2 7 - 6 +1 8
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 6 2 2 2 9 - 9 0 8
11 Fulham 6 2 2 2 7 - 8 -1 8
12 Leeds United 6 2 2 2 6 - 9 -3 8
13 Brentford 6 2 1 3 9 - 11 -2 7
14 Manchester United 6 2 1 3 7 - 11 -4 7
15 Newcastle United 6 1 3 2 4 - 5 -1 6
16 Aston Villa 6 1 3 2 4 - 6 -2 6
17 Nottingham Forest 6 1 2 3 5 - 10 -5 5
18 Burnley 6 1 1 4 6 - 13 -7 4
19 West Ham United 6 1 1 4 6 - 14 -8 4
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 0 1 5 4 - 13 -9 1

Chelsea vs Liverpool – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Chelsea take on Liverpool on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Chelsea have won in the Premier League 2025/26 season?

6.3

? What is the average number of corners Liverpool have won in the Premier League 2025/26 season?

5.7