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Birmingham vs Southampton prediction 01.09.2026 | Championship

Kick off:

Date:

1

2.50

X

3.35

2

2.68

  • Competition: Championship 
  • Date: Tuesday, 1st September, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

After securing wins in their previous Championship games, Birmingham City and Southampton will face off in the fourth round. Both teams picked up impressive victories in their last league matches, with Birmingham beating Wrexham 2:1 and Southampton cruising past Millwall 5:1. However, earlier in the week, both sides were eliminated from the EFL Cup.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Championship tie.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Birmingham City

    1 : 1

    Southampton

    Championship

  2. Southampton

    3 : 1

    Birmingham City

    Championship

  3. Birmingham City

    3 : 4

    Southampton

    Championship

  4. Southampton

    3 : 1

    Birmingham City

    Championship

  5. Birmingham City

    0 : 0

    Southampton

    Championship

  6. Southampton

    4 : 1

    Birmingham City

    Championship

Last season, these teams met twice. The match in Birmingham ended 1:1, while Southampton won 3:1 at home at St. Mary's Stadium. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, Birmingham won three times, and Southampton won five times. 

When it comes to the number of goals, six out of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in seven of those.

Birmingham team overview

Birmingham returned to the Championship last season and had a very good season, finishing 10th - much closer to the Playoffs than the danger zone. But looking at their squad, that was hardly a surprise, despite being a newly promoted team. This year, their goal is to find themselves in the Playoff battle and, for now, they are doing a solid job. After the first three rounds, they are in 8th place with five points.

Their only bad performance was against Brentford, when they got mauled 6:1 in the EFL Cup. However, Brentford has been amazing this season, and that loss shouldn't worry them too much. 

In the previous game against Wrexham, Demarai Gray suffered an injury and had to leave the field after 45 minutes. Gray scored two goals in the previous two games against Brentford and Bristol City and has just earned a spot in the starting eleven. However, according to credible sources, the injury isn't too serious, and Gray could be ready for the Southampton game. Meanwhile, Taylor Gardner-Hickman, Marc Leonard, and Lee Buchanan should remain sidelined with their injuries.

Last matches of

  1. Wrexham

    1 : 2

    Birmingham City

    Championship

  2. Birmingham City

    1 : 6

    Brentford

    Carabao Cup

  3. Birmingham City

    2 : 2

    Bristol City

    Championship

  4. Sheffield United

    0 : 0

    Birmingham City

    Championship

  5. Swansea City

    0 : 1

    Birmingham City

    Carabao Cup

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    James Beadle

Defenders

  • 26

    Bright Osayi-Samuel

  • 5

    Phil Neumann

  • 4

    Christoph Klarer

  • 20

    Alex Cochrane

Midfielders

  • 24

    Tomoki Iwata

  • 10

    Demarai Gray

  • 14

    Jhon Solís

Forwards

  • 7

    Carlos Vicente

  • 9

    August Priske

  • 28

    Jay Stansfield

Southampton team overview

Southampton's last season was pretty much marked by the Spygate scandal when they were caught illegally filming the rivals' training session. That eventually eliminated them from the Playoffs, despite reaching the Finals. Besides their disqualification last season, the FA also deducted four points from them this season. 

So, despite securing a 2-0-1 W-D-L record, the Saints sit in 18th place with only two points. If it weren't for a point deduction, they would be in 5th place. Similar to Birmingham, Southampton had their worst result of the season in the EFL Cup, when West Ham beat them 4:1 at St Mary's Stadium.

In the previous game against Millwall, Flynn Downes suffered an injury and had to leave the field. However, the coach, Tonda Eckert, said the injury was only a cut above the eyebrow and that he is ready for the upcoming game. On the other hand, Caspar Jander and Taylor Harwood-Bellis should remain sidelined with his injury. 

Last matches of

  1. Southampton

    5 : 1

    Millwall

    Championship

  2. Southampton

    1 : 4

    West Ham United

    Carabao Cup

  3. Southampton

    3 : 1

    Stoke City

    Championship

  4. Watford

    2 : 1

    Southampton

    Championship

  5. Colchester United

    0 : 2

    Southampton

    Carabao Cup

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Daniel Peretz

Defenders

  • 14

    James Bree

  • 15

    Nathan Wood

  • 13

    Keven Schlotterbeck

  • 3

    Ryan Manning

Midfielders

  • 4

    Flynn Downes

  • 10

    Finn Azaz

  • 26

    Cameron Bragg

Forwards

  • 27

    Kuryu Matsuki

  • 9

    Cyle Larin

  • 7

    Léo Scienza

Prediction

The last three Birmingham games ended with both teams scoring. At home, they managed to score a goal against Brentford and twice against Bristol and should be able to score against Southampton. Also, in total, they have scored in four of five games this season across competitions. 

Meanwhile, Southampton are coming to the game after a massive 5:1 win over last season's Playoff participant, Millwall. This season, the Saints have scored in every single game, while averaging 2.4 per game! It is fair to expect at least one goal from them here.

Additionally, the last four H2H games ended with both teams scoring. Considering all the above, we believe that a BTTS - YES bet is the best option for this Championship tie.

4 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Birmingham scored in four out of five games this season across competitions
  2. Both teams scored in Birmingham's last three games
  3. Southampton scored in all five games this season.
  4. Both teams scored in the previous four h2h games

Main prediction -

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.66

Bet here

vs standings in Championship

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Charlton Athletic 3 3 0 0 5 - 2 +3 9
2 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 2 1 0 9 - 4 +5 7
3 Swansea City 3 2 1 0 5 - 1 +4 7
4 Queens Park Rangers 3 2 1 0 5 - 2 +3 7
5 Middlesbrough 3 2 0 1 6 - 4 +2 6
6 Millwall 3 2 0 1 6 - 5 +1 6
7 West Bromwich Albion 3 2 0 1 6 - 5 +1 6
8 Birmingham City 3 1 2 0 4 - 3 +1 5
9 Watford 3 1 2 0 4 - 3 +1 5
10 Blackburn Rovers 3 1 1 1 5 - 5 0 4
11 Bolton Wanderers 3 1 1 1 2 - 2 0 4
12 Bristol City 3 1 1 1 4 - 5 -1 4
13 Cardiff City 3 0 3 0 5 - 5 0 3
14 Sheffield United 3 0 3 0 2 - 2 0 3
15 Norwich City 3 1 0 2 5 - 6 -1 3
16 Portsmouth 3 1 0 2 5 - 6 -1 3
17 Lincoln City 3 1 0 2 3 - 5 -2 3
18 Southampton 3 2 0 1 9 - 4 +5 2
19 West Ham United 3 0 2 1 4 - 5 -1 2
20 Wrexham 3 0 2 1 3 - 4 -1 2
21 Derby County 3 0 1 2 3 - 7 -4 1
22 Burnley 3 0 1 2 4 - 9 -5 1
23 Preston North End 3 0 0 3 2 - 6 -4 0
24 Stoke City 3 0 0 3 3 - 9 -6 0

Birmingham vs Southampton – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Birmingham this season?

The average xG for Birmingham in the Championship this season is 1.12.

? How much is the average xG for Southampton this season?

The average xG for Southampton in the Championship this season is 1.89.