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Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction 25.10.2026 | La Liga

FC Barcelona

FC Barcelona

Kick off:

Date:

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

1.64

X

5.70

2

4.32

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Sunday, 25th October, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Camp Nou (Barcelona)

On Sunday evening, the first El Clásico this season will take place in Barcelona between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid. The hosts have a six-point advantage, and this game matters because a win for the Catalan team could create a massive gap that could be hard to close.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie.

FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. FC Barcelona

    2 : 0

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  2. FC Barcelona

    3 : 2

    Real Madrid

    Super Cup

  3. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  4. FC Barcelona

    4 : 3

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Real Madrid

    2 : 5

    FC Barcelona

    Super Cup

  6. Real Madrid

    0 : 4

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

Last season, these teams met three times, twice in the league and once in the Super Cup. Both teams won their home La Liga games (2:1 Real Madrid and 2:0 Barcelona), while the Catalan team also won the Super Cup 3:2. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, Barcelona won six times, while Real Madrid won three times.

When it comes to the number of goals, nine of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in eight of those games.

FC Barcelona

Barcelona team overview

Barcelona had an amazing season, winning 11 games in a row across competitions - nine in La Liga and two in the Champions League. In La Liga, they are firmly at the top with a seven-point advantage over 2nd-placed Atletico Madrid. The Catalan team looked unstoppable, winning those 11 games with an average goal difference of 3.36! However, that ended in the last game against PSG when they lost 4:2. 

After the game, coach Hansi Flick spoke to the media. He said it was a fantastic match in which PSG showed they are a better team than Barcelona. The coach said they made too many mistakes in possession, losing the ball easily, which PSG exploited. 

When it comes to injuries, Dani Olmo suffered an injury in the previous game and will remain sidelined, alongside Eric Garcia and Roony Bardghji. Moreover, Jules Kounde and Andreas Christensen are listed as questionable. 

Last matches of FC Barcelona

  1. PSG

    4 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    Champions League

  2. Real Betis

    2 : 5

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  3. Galatasaray

    1 : 4

    FC Barcelona

    Champions League

  4. FC Barcelona

    3 : 0

    Getafe

    La Liga

  5. Sevilla

    1 : 3

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

FC Barcelona lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Joan García

Defenders

  • 12

    Xavi Espart

  • 5

    Pau Cubarsí

  • 18

    Gerard Martín

  • 2

    João Cancelo

Midfielders

  • 16

    Rodri

  • 8

    Pedri

  • 7

    Fermín López

Forwards

  • 10

    Lamine Yamal

  • 11

    Raphinha

  • 17

    Anthony Gordon

Real Madrid

Real Madrid team overview

Real Madrid started the new era under coach Mourinho pretty well. They won 10 of 12 games, but both losses came in La Liga, leaving them with a six-point deficit. Los Blancos had flashes of excellence this season, but also had some issues, mostly on the road, where they still haven't had a clean sheet. It will be interesting to see just how Mourinho plans to stop Barcelona's offense. 

Real Madrid will have to take on Barcelona without one of their biggest stars, Vinicius Junior. The 26-year-old winger will serve his suspension for the red card he received in the Villarreal game. Instead of him, we could see Yan Diomande in the starting XI. Moreover, Raul Asencio, Ferland Mendy, and Rodrygo should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Real Madrid

    4 : 1

    RB Leipzig

    Champions League

  2. Real Madrid

    4 : 1

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  3. AS Roma

    3 : 4

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

  4. Real Madrid

    1 : 0

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  5. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Thibaut Courtois

Defenders

  • 8

    Federico Valverde

  • 16

    Ibrahima Konaté

  • 4

    Dean Huijsen

  • 17

    Marc Cucurella

Midfielders

  • 20

    Bernardo Silva

  • 5

    Jude Bellingham

  • 14

    Aurélien Tchouaméni

Forwards

  • 10

    Kylian Mbappé

  • 25

    Yan Diomande

  • 15

    Arda Güler

Prediction

Both teams have had excellent results this season, with Barcelona losing once and Real Madrid twice. However, we believe Barcelona have been a lot more consistent and that 4:2 road loss against PSG isn't something we can really say was a terrible result. At home, Barcelona won all five games, each time by 2+ goal difference. 

Real Madrid, on the other hand, lost two out of five road games and were close to losing the third, as they had a 3:1 deficit against AS Roma in the Champions League. 

Also, in the previous season, both sides won their home game. Considering all the above, we believe Barcelona are closer to winning the upcoming El Clásico. 

3 Reasons why Barcelona should win

  1. Barcelona won all five home games
  2. Real Madrid lost two of their five road games
  3. Barcelona won the previous h2h game at Camp Nou (2:0)

Main prediction FC Barcelona - Real Madrid

FC Barcelona to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 9 9 0 0 39 - 9 +30 27
2 Atlético de Madrid 9 7 1 1 19 - 8 +11 22
3 Real Madrid 9 7 0 2 23 - 9 +14 21
4 Real Betis 9 6 1 2 16 - 14 +2 19
5 Real Sociedad 9 5 1 3 17 - 17 0 16
6 Sevilla 9 4 2 3 14 - 16 -2 14
7 Deportivo Alavés 10 3 3 4 14 - 11 +3 12
8 Celta de Vigo 9 2 5 2 10 - 7 +3 11
9 Deportivo A Coruña 9 2 5 2 13 - 12 +1 11
10 Osasuna 9 3 2 4 10 - 18 -8 11
11 Levante 9 2 4 3 15 - 17 -2 10
12 Villarreal 9 2 3 4 13 - 13 0 9
13 Athletic Club 8 2 3 3 8 - 9 -1 9
14 Rayo Vallecano 8 2 3 3 12 - 17 -5 9
15 Getafe 9 2 3 4 5 - 11 -6 9
16 Espanyol 9 2 2 5 11 - 12 -1 8
17 Racing Santander 9 2 2 5 13 - 25 -12 8
18 Elche 9 1 4 4 11 - 17 -6 7
19 Valencia 9 1 3 5 6 - 15 -9 6
20 Málaga 10 0 5 5 7 - 19 -12 5

Barcelona vs Real Madrid – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Barcelona this season?

The average xG for Barcelona in La Liga this season is 3.73.

? How much is the average xG for Real Madrid this season?

The average xG for Real Madrid in La Liga this season is 2.47.