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Atletico Madrid vs Valencia prediction 13.12.2025 | La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Kick off:

Date:

Valencia

Valencia

1

1.35

X

5.54

2

10.40

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Saturday, 13th December 2025
  • Kickoff: 13:00 UK / 14:00 CET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

On Saturday afternoon in the Spanish capital city, Atletico Madrid will welcome Valencia in another interesting La Liga match. The home side is among the best teams in the competition, and it would be a significant surprise if they failed to win the upcoming clash. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Valencia

    0 : 3

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 0

    Valencia

    La Liga

  3. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 0

    Valencia

    La Liga

  4. Valencia

    3 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 0

    Valencia

    La Liga

  6. Valencia

    0 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

Atletico Madrid usually dominates against Valencia. The team from Metropolitano Stadium has won six of the previous seven H2H matches, while Valencia have won only one. In the most recent encounter in Madrid, the home side won 3-0. Also, it is worth noting that four of the previous five H2H games ended 3-0 for either team. 

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid team overview

Since the 2012/13 season, Atletico Madrid have regularly been one of the top four La Liga teams. Diego Simeone's team does not seem good enough this season to compete for the title, but they are on course for another solid campaign. Atletico Madrid played well in most of the autumn, but their form slipped with two consecutive defeats. Simeone's team returned to the right track with a 3-2 victory on the road in the Champions League against PSV. Both sides had excellent goal-scoring chances, and the game could go either way, but Atletico's better efficiency was enough to take all three points.

After a thrilling victory against PSV, Atletico's head coach, Diego Simeone, was very pleased. He said, "I liked everything. Everything. The match has different moments, but at no point did the team deviate from the plan. We went out to press high, to play in the opposition's half, as we saw, and for that you need to run and for everyone on the pitch to give their all. At no point did the team deviate from the plan."

Atletico Madrid doesn't have big problems with injuries. Marcos Llorente and Jose Maria Gimenez are unavailable for Saturday, while Alex Baena is injured, too, but he still could recover in time.

Last matches of Atletico Madrid

  1. PSV Eindhoven

    2 : 3

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  2. Athletic Bilbao

    1 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  3. FC Barcelona

    3 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 0

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  5. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Champions League

Atletico Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Jan Oblak

Defenders

  • 16

    Nahuel Molina

  • 18

    Marc Pubill

  • 17

    David Hancko

  • 3

    Matteo Ruggeri

Midfielders

  • 20

    Giuliano Simeone

  • 6

    Koke

  • 8

    Pablo Barrios

  • 23

    Nico Gonzalez

Forwards

  • 9

    Alexander Sorloth

  • 19

    Julian Alvarez

Valencia

Valencia team overview

The last few seasons have been tough for Valencia, but they have always managed to avoid relegation. The current campaign doesn't seem much easier, as Valencia are only three points above the relegation zone after 15 La Liga rounds. Carlos Corberan's team played well recently. They have not lost in the last five matches. In the previous game, Valencia played 1-1 at home against Sevilla. Despite producing a significantly higher xG (1.19 to 0.32), Valencia needed a late equalizer to salvage a point.

After a 1-1 against Sevilla, Valencia's Carlos Corberan had mixed feelings. He commented after the game, "We struggled to impose ourselves and create chances. It's true that Sevilla didn't create many opportunities either. We lost our shape at the start of the second half, and they managed to overcome our pressure a couple of times and take the lead. Despite how sluggish the game was, the team didn't give up and fought until the end. In stoppage time, we got the goal, which, although insufficient, is a small reward for the effort the team put in to go for the win."

Valencia's Cesar Tarrega received another yellow card in the previous La Liga round and will not travel to Metropolitano Stadium. Mouctar Diakhaby could start instead of him.

Last matches of Valencia

  1. Valencia

    1 : 1

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  2. FC Cartagena

    0 : 1

    Valencia

    Copa Del Rey

  3. Rayo Vallecano

    1 : 1

    Valencia

    La Liga

  4. Valencia

    1 : 0

    Levante

    La Liga

  5. Valencia

    1 : 1

    Real Betis

    La Liga

Valencia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Julen Agirrezabala

Defenders

  • 12

    Thierry Correia

  • 4

    Mouctar Diakhaby

  • 3

    Jose Copete

  • 14

    Jose Gaya

Midfielders

  • 18

    Pepelu

  • 10

    Andre Almeida

  • 8

    Javi Guerra

Forwards

  • 11

    Luis Rioja

  • 9

    Hugo Duro

  • 7

    Arnaut Danjuma

Prediction

Atletico Madrid are impressive at the home stadium, where they have a 7-1-0 record this season. On the other hand, Valencia are still without a road victory (0-3-4). We should expect Atletico Madrid to win and cover AH -1.5 spread on Saturday afternoon. 

3 Reasons why we should expect Atletico Madrid to win and cover AH -1.5 spread

  1. Atletico Madrid have a 7-1-0 record at the home stadium this season
  2. Valencia have only a 0-3-4 on the road this season
  3. Atletico Madrid have won six of the last seven H2H matches

Main prediction Atletico Madrid - Valencia

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.94

Bet here

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 16 13 1 2 47 - 20 +27 40
2 Real Madrid 16 11 3 2 32 - 15 +17 36
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 - 13 +18 35
4 Atlético Madrid 16 9 4 3 28 - 15 +13 31
5 Espanyol 15 8 3 4 19 - 16 +3 27
6 Real Betis 15 6 6 3 25 - 19 +6 24
7 Athletic Club 16 7 2 7 15 - 20 -5 23
8 Getafe 15 6 2 7 13 - 17 -4 20
9 Elche 15 4 7 4 18 - 17 +1 19
10 Celta de Vigo 15 4 7 4 18 - 19 -1 19
11 Deportivo Alavés 15 5 3 7 13 - 15 -2 18
12 Rayo Vallecano 15 4 5 6 13 - 16 -3 17
13 Sevilla 15 5 2 8 20 - 24 -4 17
14 Real Sociedad 15 4 4 7 19 - 22 -3 16
15 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 14 - 18 -4 15
16 Valencia 15 3 6 6 14 - 23 -9 15
17 Mallorca 15 3 5 7 15 - 22 -7 14
18 Girona 15 2 6 7 13 - 29 -16 12
19 Real Oviedo 15 2 4 9 7 - 22 -15 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 - 28 -12 9

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Atletico Madrid this season?

The average xG for Atletico Madrid in La Liga this season is 1.61.

? How much is the average xG for Valencia this season?

The average xG for Valencia in La Liga this season is 1.16.