Atalanta vs Inter prediction 28.12.2025 | Serie A
Atalanta
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Inter Milan
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Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: 28th December, 2025
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: New Balance Arena
Atalanta and Inter Milan lock horns in Round 17 of the 2025/26 Serie A season, with pivotal implications for European qualification and title ambitions. Inter arrive leading the league with 33 points from 15 matches (11 wins, 4 losses), while Atalanta sit ninth on 22 points from 16 games.
Atalanta vs Inter Milan Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Atalanta
0 : 2
Inter Milan
Serie A
-
Inter Milan
2 : 0
Atalanta
Super Cup
-
Inter Milan
4 : 0
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Inter Milan
4 : 0
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Atalanta
1 : 2
Inter Milan
Serie A
-
Inter Milan
3 : 2
Atalanta
Serie A
Historically, Inter hold the upper hand in this fixture: across 48 competitive meetings, Inter have won 28 times to Atalanta’s 7, with 13 draws. The same dominance has been evident over the last couple of seasons, with Inter winning six successive head-to-head encounters against Atalanta. The last time La Dea avoided defeat dates back to the 2021/22 season, when they managed a goalless draw.
Atalanta team overview
Atalanta’s season has been marked by managerial changes and mixed results, but recent form suggests clear improvement. Currently ninth in the table, La Dea have recorded three successive wins heading into this fixture, averaging approximately two goals per match during that run. This sequence includes a 2-1 Champions League victory over Chelsea and back-to-back Serie A wins against Cagliari and Genoa. Such results point to a side rediscovering attacking fluency at the Gewiss Stadium, although it should be noted that not long ago they endured a difficult spell, suffering four league defeats in five matches during a month-long period between 1 November and 6 December.
Injury and availability issues temper optimism. Central defenders Berat Djimsiti (hamstring) and Raoul Bellanova (hamstring) are sidelined, while forwards Ademola Lookman and Odilon Kossounou are away on international duty. The absence of these players affects both defensive cohesion and attacking output, although Djimsiti has been linked with a potential return around mid-January.
Last matches of Atalanta
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Genoa
0 : 1
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Atalanta
2 : 1
Cagliari
Serie A
-
Atalanta
2 : 1
Chelsea
Champions League
-
Hellas Verona
3 : 1
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Atalanta
4 : 0
Genoa
Coppa Italia
Atalanta lineup
Goalkeeper
-
29
Marco Carnesecchi
Defenders
-
42
Giorgio Scalvini
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4
Isak Hien
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23
Sead Kolašinac
-
77
Davide Zappacosta
-
47
Lorenzo Bernasconi
Midfielders
-
15
Marten de Roon
-
13
Éderson
-
59
Nicola Zalewski
-
17
Charles De Ketelaere
Forwards
-
9
Gianluca Scamacca
Inter team overview
Inter come into this game at the top of the Serie A standings, albeit with several injury concerns of their own. Striker Ange-Yoan Bonny will miss the trip to Bergamo due to a knee sprain, limiting attacking options. In defence, Francesco Acerbi and Matteo Darmian are both unavailable with muscle injuries, while Denzel Dumfries is also sidelined, further reducing options in wide defensive areas.
Despite these setbacks, Inter’s overall form remains strong. They have collected three consecutive Serie A victories, two of which came away from home. However, they may not be in the optimal mental state heading into this fixture following an unfortunate penalty shootout defeat to Bologna in the Super Cup a week ago. Sandwiched in between was a narrow 1-0 Champions League loss to Liverpool a fortnight earlier. Putting non-league matters aside, Cristian Chivu’s men have still recorded six wins from a possible seven league matches since late October, with the only defeat coming in the Derby della Madonnina against arch-rivals AC Milan (0-1).
The Nerazzurri have scored 34 goals in Serie A and boast a strong away record, conceding just 0.67 goals per match across their last three road fixtures. Their goal output has been driven by efficient finishing rather than sheer volume of chances, a trend reflected in a goal difference superior to most of their direct competitors.
Last matches of Inter Milan
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Bologna
3 : 2
Inter Milan
Super Cup
-
Genoa
1 : 2
Inter Milan
Serie A
-
Inter Milan
0 : 1
Liverpool
Champions League
-
Inter Milan
4 : 0
Como
Serie A
-
Inter Milan
5 : 1
Venezia FC
Coppa Italia
Inter Milan lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Yann Sommer
Defenders
-
31
Yann Bisseck
-
25
Manuel Akanji
-
95
Alessandro Bastoni
-
32
Federico Dimarco
-
11
Luís Henrique
Midfielders
-
7
Piotr Zieliński
-
22
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
-
23
Nicolò Barella
Forwards
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10
Lautaro Martínez
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9
Marcus Thuram
Prediction
Statistically and contextually, Inter enter this fixture with a clear advantage. Their league position, scoring rate (2+ goals per match), and historical success against Atalanta suggest they are more likely to take points from Bergamo. Atalanta’s home form and recent scoring uptick could make this a competitive encounter, especially if they leverage their home attacking rhythm. However, Inter’s defensive discipline away and scoring efficiency suggest they may edge a close game and bring a win back to Milan.
Prediction: Inter to Win.
Three reasons we expect Inter to Win
- Inter have collected six league wins from a possible seven since late October.
- Inter have won three successive Serie A games in recent weeks.
- Inter have dominated this fixture in recent seasons - six successive league wins over Atalanta since 2022.
Main prediction Atalanta - Inter Milan
Inter Milan to win
Atalanta vs Inter Milan standings in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 64 - 21 | +43 | 67 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43 - 20 | +23 | 57 |
| 3 | Napoli | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41 - 28 | +13 | 53 |
| 4 | Roma | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 37 - 19 | +18 | 51 |
| 5 | Como | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 - 20 | +24 | 48 |
| 6 | Juventus | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46 - 28 | +18 | 47 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 37 - 24 | +13 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36 - 32 | +4 | 39 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34 - 36 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Udinese | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31 - 39 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Lazio | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 26 - 27 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 | Parma | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 20 - 32 | -12 | 33 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29 - 36 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Torino | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27 - 47 | -20 | 30 |
| 15 | Genoa | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 32 - 39 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Cremonese | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 21 - 38 | -17 | 24 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 - 42 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 18 - 36 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 27 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 20 - 44 | -24 | 15 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 20 - 48 | -28 | 15 |