AC Milan vs Napoli prediction 28.09.2025 | Serie A

AC Milan

AC Milan

Kick off:

Date:

Napoli

Napoli

1

2.01

X

3.52

2

4.28

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Sunday, 28th September 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: San Siro (Milan)

The biggest derby for the weekend in Serie A will be played at San Siro, where AC Milan will welcome the current champions, Napoli. That will also be a duel of probably two of the best head coaches in Italy, Massimiliano Allegri and Antonio Conte. Both teams started the 2025/26 season excellently and will enter the upcoming clash with a lot of confidence. Can Napoli continue their perfect start and win? Let's break down the matchup and find out the best betting options. 

AC Milan vs Napoli Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Napoli

    2 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  2. AC Milan

    0 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Napoli

    Serie A

  4. Napoli

    2 : 2

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    1 : 1

    AC Milan

    Champions League

  6. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Napoli

    Champions League

There is no dominant side in H2H games between AC Milan and Napoli, as both sides won four matches apiece, while two encounters ended with draws. Last season, the two teams met twice and Napoli won both matches, 2-0 at San Siro and 2-1 in Naples. 

AC Milan

AC Milan team overview

Historically, AC Milan are one of the most successful Italian teams, but they have won only three Serie A trophies in the 21st century. After ending eighth in the standings last season, the team from San Siro is determined to return to the right track. Their campaign began shakily with a surprise defeat to Catanzaro, but they quickly bounced back with four straight wins across all competitions. On Wednesday, AC Milan won 3-0 at home in the Cup against Lecce. The guests' Jamil Siebert got a red card early in the game, so the hosts didn't have difficulty progressing to the next phase. 

AC Milan's head coach, Massimiliano Allegri, slightly rotated the starting lineup in the cup tie, so Koni De Winter, Samuele Ricci, Davide Bartesaghi, and Christopher Nkunku got an opportunity to start. We should expect Allegri to revert to the usual starting eleven on Sunday night against Napoli. 

AC Milan have almost a full squad for the upcoming clash, as Ardon Jashari will be the only one unavailable. 

Last matches of AC Milan

  1. AC Milan

    3 : 0

    Lecce

    Coppa Italia

  2. Udinese

    0 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Bologna

    Serie A

  4. Lecce

    0 : 2

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    1 : 2

    Cremonese

    Serie A

AC Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 46

    Matteo Gabbia

  • 23

    Fikayo Tomori

  • 31

    Strahinja Pavlovic

Midfielders

  • 56

    Alexis Saelemaekers

  • 19

    Youssouf Fofana

  • 12

    Adrien Rabiot

  • 14

    Luka Modric

  • 2

    Pedro Estupinan

Forwards

  • 7

    Santiago Gimenez

  • 11

    Christian Pulisic

Napoli

Napoli team overview

The past few years have been among the most successful in Napoli's history, with the club capturing two league titles in the last three seasons. The opening four rounds of the 2025/26 campaign are equally encouraging, as Napoli won all of them and are at the top of the standings with a maximum of 12 points. In the previous game, Napoli won 3-2 at home against Pisa. The visitors delivered an excellent performance, but Antonio Conte's side ultimately prevailed, securing another valuable win.

Napoli's center-back Alessandro Buongiorno suffered an adductor injury against Pisa and will not be available for about a month. Buongiorno replaced Amir Rrahmani after the Kosovo international sustained an injury in the opening Serie A round. Rrahmani was among the substitutes in the game against Pisa, but now we should expect him to return to the starting lineup instead of Buongiorno. Also, Napoli will be without Romelu Lukaku and Nikita Contini on Sunday at San Siro. 

Last matches of Napoli

  1. Napoli

    3 : 2

    Pisa

    Serie A

  2. Manchester City

    2 : 0

    Napoli

    Champions League

  3. Fiorentina

    1 : 3

    Napoli

    Serie A

  4. Napoli

    1 : 0

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  5. Sassuolo

    0 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

Napoli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Alex Meret

Defenders

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 31

    Sam Beukema

  • 13

    Amir Rrahmani

  • 37

    Leonardo Spinazzola

Midfielders

  • 21

    Matteo Politano

  • 11

    Kevin De Bruyne

  • 6

    Billy Gilmour

  • 20

    Eljif Elmas

  • 8

    Scott McTominay

Forwards

  • 19

    Rasmus Hojlund

Prediction

Both teams are in excellent attacking form. AC Milan scored nine goals in the last four matches across all competitions, while Napoli scored nine goals in four Serie A rounds. With both teams playing well, we should expect goals on both sides in the upcoming clash. Our prediction: BTTS - Yes. 

3 Reasons why we should expect both teams to score in this match

  1. AC Milan scored nine goals in the last four matches in all competitions
  2. Napoli scored nine goals in four Serie A rounds
  3. Napoli allowed five goals in the previous three matches in all competitions

Main prediction AC Milan - Napoli

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.91

Bet here

AC Milan vs Napoli standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Napoli 4 4 0 0 9 - 3 +6 12
2 Roma 5 4 0 1 5 - 1 +4 12
3 Juventus 5 3 2 0 9 - 5 +4 11
4 Cremonese 5 2 3 0 6 - 4 +2 9
5 Inter 5 3 0 2 13 - 7 +6 9
6 Atalanta 5 2 3 0 10 - 4 +6 9
7 Milan 4 3 0 1 7 - 2 +5 9
8 Como 5 2 2 1 6 - 4 +2 8
9 Cagliari 5 2 1 2 5 - 5 0 7
10 Bologna 5 2 1 2 5 - 5 0 7
11 Udinese 5 2 1 2 5 - 8 -3 7
12 Sassuolo 5 2 0 3 7 - 8 -1 6
13 Torino 4 1 1 2 1 - 8 -7 4
14 Lazio 4 1 0 3 4 - 4 0 3
15 Fiorentina 5 0 3 2 3 - 6 -3 3
16 Hellas Verona 5 0 3 2 2 - 8 -6 3
17 Genoa 4 0 2 2 2 - 4 -2 2
18 Pisa 5 0 2 3 3 - 6 -3 2
19 Parma 4 0 2 2 1 - 5 -4 2
20 Lecce 5 0 2 3 4 - 10 -6 2

AC Milan vs Napoli – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for AC Milan this season?

The average xG for AC Milan in Serie A this season is 1.75.

? How much is the average xG for Napoli this season?

The average xG for Napoli in Serie A this season is 1.79.