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AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction 18.10.2026 | Serie A

AC Milan

AC Milan

3 - 2

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 2 - 0

Full time: 3 - 2

Kick off:

Date:

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

1.67

X

4.06

2

4.78

match ended

The match has ended, you can view today's football predictions and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Sunday, 18th October, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

After big wins in their European campaigns, AC Milan and Atalanta will face off against each other in the Italian Serie A. AC Milan won the previous Europa League game 4:0 against Salzburg, while Atalanta won 3:1 against Pafos in the Conference League. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Serie A tie.

AC Milan vs Atalanta Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AC Milan

    2 : 3

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  2. Atalanta

    1 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    0 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  4. Atalanta

    2 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    1 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  6. AC Milan

    1 : 2

    Atalanta

    Coppa Italia

Last season, these teams met twice. Atalanta won 3:2 at San Siro, while the game at New Balance Arena finished as a 1:1 draw. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, AC Milan won just twice, while Atalanta won five times.

In terms of goals, four of the last ten h2h games finished with three or more goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in seven of those ten h2h games. 

AC Milan

AC Milan team overview

AC Milan finished last season poorly, which ultimately left them in 5th place and in the Europa League. Rossoneri missed the Champions League only by one point! This season, their primary goal should be to return to the Champions League spots and, for now, they are doing fairly well. After six rounds, they are undefeated with three wins and three draws - four points away from the top spot. There is definitely room for improvement, but they should be satisfied overall thus far.

Central defender Matteo Gabbia suffered an injury in the previous Serie A game and missed the Europa League game against Salzburg. According to credible websites, the 26-year-old could miss the remainder of the 2026 season. Additionally, Alexis Saelemaekers should remain sidelined with his injury. 

Last matches of AC Milan

  1. Red Bull Salzburg

    0 : 4

    AC Milan

    Europa League

  2. Sassuolo

    1 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    3 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  4. AC Milan

    0 : 2

    Benfica

    Europa League

  5. Lazio

    2 : 2

    AC Milan

    Serie A

AC Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 34

    Mario Gila

  • 31

    Strahinja Pavlović

  • 5

    Koni De Winter

  • 2

    Pervis Estupiñán

Midfielders

  • 21

    Samuel Chukwueze

  • 14

    Luka Modric

  • 12

    Adrien Rabiot

  • 22

    Diego Moreira

Forwards

  • 11

    Christian Pulisic

  • 9

    Gonçalo Ramos

Atalanta

Atalanta team overview

Atalanta also came into this season after an underwhelming previous one. However, the start to this season hasn't been impressive. La Dea were inconsistent with three wins and three losses thus far. Their losses came against good teams, suggesting that they are not good enough to compete with the very best Italian teams. 

After a 3:1 win over Pafos, coach Maurizio Sarri spoke to the media. He was satisfied with the match, saying they created plenty of chances. "We gave the opposition practically nothing, except for that ball at the end, so I'm disappointed to have conceded," the coach added.

Unfortunately, Giacomo Raspadori suffered an injury in the previous match against Pafos and had to leave the field after 21 minutes. He will most likely miss the upcoming period, along with several others who already missed the previous match(es): Kamaldeen Sulemana, Giorgio Scalvini, Odilon Kossounou, Franck Kessie, Isak Hien, and Raoul Bellanova. Additionally, Eljif Elmas will serve his suspension. 

Last matches of Atalanta

  1. Atalanta

    3 : 1

    Pafos

    Europa Conference League

  2. Atalanta

    3 : 1

    Venezia FC

    Serie A

  3. Juventus

    2 : 0

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  4. Atalanta

    1 : 2

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  5. AS Roma

    2 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

Atalanta lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 29

    Marco Carnesecchi

Defenders

  • 77

    Davide Zappacosta

  • 31

    Thomas Kristensen

  • 23

    Sead Kolasinac

  • 47

    Lorenzo Bernasconi

Midfielders

  • 10

    Lazar Samardzic

  • 70

    Gianluca Gaetano

  • 13

    Ederson

Forwards

  • 17

    Charles De Ketelaere

  • 9

    Gianluca Scamacca

  • 11

    Jonathan Rowe

Prediction

AC Milan lost only once this season across competitions in eight matches. That was against Benfica, in a match they deserved at least a draw. Moreover, at home, AC Milan won both Serie A games against Lecce and Venezia with a combined goal difference of 5:0.

On the other hand, Atalanta had massive problems away from home, losing both games. Yes, those were against Juventus and AS Roma, but the match against AC Milan will not be much easier.

On top of all, Atalanta could have massive injury problems for the upcoming game, which is also a big factor. Considering all the above, we believe Rossoneri are much closer to winning the upcoming Serie A tie.

3 Reasons why AC Milan should win

  1. AC Milan won both home Serie A games
  2. AC Milan lost once in eight games across competitions
  3. Atalanta lost both road Serie A games

Main prediction AC Milan - Atalanta

AC Milan to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.67

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AC Milan vs Atalanta standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 7 6 1 0 21 - 9 +12 19
2 Lazio 7 6 1 0 14 - 4 +10 19
3 Roma 7 5 2 0 16 - 3 +13 17
4 AC Milan 7 4 3 0 14 - 7 +7 15
5 Como 7 4 2 1 12 - 7 +5 14
6 Frosinone 7 4 1 2 13 - 9 +4 13
7 Cagliari 6 4 1 1 6 - 3 +3 13
8 Juventus 7 3 2 2 9 - 8 +1 11
9 Napoli 7 3 1 3 10 - 7 +3 10
10 Atalanta 7 3 0 4 10 - 11 -1 9
11 Lecce 7 3 0 4 9 - 12 -3 9
12 Sassuolo 7 2 2 3 12 - 14 -2 8
13 Torino 6 2 1 3 7 - 9 -2 7
14 Bologna 7 1 2 4 6 - 10 -4 5
15 Monza 6 1 1 4 9 - 15 -6 4
16 Parma 6 1 1 4 4 - 10 -6 4
17 Udinese 7 1 1 5 9 - 16 -7 4
18 Genoa 7 1 1 5 5 - 13 -8 4
19 Fiorentina 7 1 1 5 8 - 17 -9 4
20 Venezia 7 1 0 6 6 - 16 -10 3

AC Milan vs Atalanta – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for AC Milan this season?

The average xG for AC Milan in Serie A this season is 1.52.

? How much is the average xG for Atalanta this season?

The average xG for Atalanta in Serie A this season is 1.05.