2025 Rolex Paris Masters – Odds, Favourites & Predictions

The 2025 Rolex Paris Masters marks the final ATP 1000 event of the season, taking place from 27 October to 2 November at the La Défense Arena. It's the last stop before the ATP Finals in Turin, meaning form, fitness, and motivation will all play crucial roles as some players chase valuable ranking points. 

Novak Djokovic has withdrawn, but it's Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner as clear favourites once again. At MightyTips, our analysts take a closer look at the leading contenders, describing their late-season form, fatigue levels, and chances of lifting the Paris trophy in this unpredictable indoor showdown.

These are the seven top favourites to win the Paris Masters, according to bookmakers. Alcaraz and Sinner headline the field just as expected, while defending champion Zverev and consistent Taylor Fritz round out the top four.

As always, Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, the two men most likely to battle for glory in Paris, are at the center of the picture. Both enter the final Masters of the year in strong form, chasing momentum ahead of the ATP Finals in Turin. One last thing to mention - the top eight seeds have a bye to the second round.

Janik Sinner

Jannik Sinner heads into Paris still chasing Alcaraz in the tight race for the No.1 ranking. The Italian trails his rival by 840 points, but remains in contention, needing a strong finish in both Paris and Turin to repeat last season's success. After withdrawing from Shanghai due to cramping, Sinner won the Vienna Open last week by beating Alexander Zverev in the final.

Winner of the Australian Open and Wimbledon earlier this year, as well as the finalist at both Roland Garros and the US Open, he's been remarkably consistent across all surfaces. If fully fit, Sinner's precision, improved serve, and composure can lead to his first Rolex Paris Masters title.

Janik Sinner went God mode against Altmaier today winning 6-0 , 6-2

• 95% First Serve Points
• 19 - 7 winners vs unforced errors
• 0 Break Points Faced

All this under an hour ( 58 mins )

His 6th consecutive win in Vienna#Sinner #daviscup pic.twitter.com/gZmA1nHXhK

— RAJ RMCF (@RajRMCF) October 23, 2025

Carlos Alcaraz

The world number one arrives in Paris with a mission to finish 2025 on top of the ATP rankings. Alcaraz already boasts seven Grand Slam titles, including this year's French Open and US Open, both won against Jannik Sinner in the final. His consistency across all surfaces makes him the most complete player of the generation.

In Paris, every match carries ranking significance. A deep run could secure his year-end No.1 status regardless of results in Turin. Physically, Alcaraz appears fresh and fully recovered after managing his post-US Open schedule carefully, aiming to peak again in these final two tournaments. Confident and composed, the Spaniard had a rest last week, and now he looks ready to cap off another brilliant campaign with his first-ever Rolex Paris Masters crown.

First practice in the new venue for Carlos Alcaraz and 2018 champion Karen Khachanov 🦾#RolexParisMasters pic.twitter.com/tXSGE0soMb

— ROLEX PARIS MASTERS (@RolexPMasters) October 24, 2025

Alexander Zverev

The defending Paris Masters champion returns to the French capital looking to end the year on a strong note after a season of ups and downs. Zverev began this year impressively, reaching his first Australian Open final. He briefly reclaimed the world No.2 spot after capturing the Munich title on his birthday. However, inconsistency has crept in since, with a quarter-final exit at Roland Garros and a surprising first-round defeat at Wimbledon to Arthur Rinderknech. Last week, he lost in three sets to Sinner in the Vienna Open final.

Still, the German remains a major threat indoors. His powerful serve and flat backhand suit the fast conditions of La Défense Arena perfectly. If he rediscovers the confidence that carried him to victory here in 2024, Zverev could once again play the spoiler among the top two contenders.

50th win of the season ⏩️@AlexZverev defeats Arnaldi 6-4 6-4 and sends himself into the quarterfinals once again in Vienna ✔️#ErsteBankOpen pic.twitter.com/9fsnGCQ27X

— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) October 23, 2025

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz continues to prove himself as one of the most consistent performers on the ATP Tour, entering Paris after another productive season that featured 50 matches and multiple titles won. The American started 2025 in strong form, helping Team USA win the United Cup before claiming back-to-back grass trophies in Stuttgart and Eastbourne. His steady rise peaked with a first-ever Wimbledon semifinal, followed by strong quarter-final runs at both the US Open and the Japan Open in Tokyo.

However, last week, Fritz, being a top seed, lost his first match at the Swiss Indoors in Basel to a wild card, Valentin Vacherot. Still, Fritz's precise serving and composed style translate perfectly to indoor hard courts. Physically, he appears sharp and confident after managing his autumn schedule wisely. His current form suggests he could be one of the dark horses to challenge the top trio in Paris.

Taylor Fritz has won 34 ATP Tour matches since the start of grass season in June

It's at least 4 more than any other player pic.twitter.com/6MeLeHtiBD

— Mario Boccardi (@boccardi_marioo) October 22, 2025

The 2025 Rolex Paris Masters will most likely become another chapter in the Alcaraz-Sinner rivalry. Both enter in excellent shape and are fighting for the year-end No.1 ranking, which adds an extra layer of drama to the Paris finale. Zverev and Fritz could challenge, but the gap in form and consistency remains clear. Alcaraz looks the stronger pick to lift his first Paris Masters trophy, considering he had a rest last week. The odds of 2.40 don't look great, but we're picking the winner here, don't we?

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