Scotland vs France prediction on the Six Nations match on March 7th

By Klimentijs Konevs | Published: March 6, 2026, 10:00

The 2026 Six Nations heads into its fourth round this weekend, with Scotland set to host France on Saturday. Scotland's campaign got off to an awkward start after a surprise defeat to Italy, but they showed real character by bouncing back with a strong win over England. France, however, have looked dominant throughout the tournament, sweeping aside every opponent and remaining the only nation yet to drop a game this year.

At MightyTips, we break down both teams' performances so far, analyse their form, and suggest valuable betting angles ahead of this encounter.

Scotland's Six Nations campaign didn't start the way they hoped, as they suffered a narrow 18-15 defeat to Italy in Rome. However, Gregor Townsend's side quickly bounced back and produced a brilliant performance to beat England 31-20 at Murrayfield, reclaiming the Calcutta Cup. They followed that up with another hard-fought victory in Round 3, edging Wales 26-23 in Cardiff. After those two important wins, Scotland now head into this clash with strong momentum and belief.

Your Scotland team to take on France this weekend 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇫🇷#AsOne pic.twitter.com/JBa8cKml2C

— Scottish Rugby (@Scotlandteam) March 5, 2026

Scotland injuries & team news

Townsend introduced five changes to the starting XV, including a completely new front row. Pierre Schoeman, George Turner, and D'arcy Rae all come into the starting lineup for this match. Meanwhile, Jack Dempsey returns at No.8 after recovering from a bicep injury he picked up against England earlier in the tournament.

Dempsey's return pushes Matt Fagerson to blindside flanker, while Gregor Brown moves into the second row to complete the reshuffled pack. Scotland want a fresher and more physical forward unit as they prepare to challenge France's powerful pack. “They are the best players in the world at adapting to fractured defences in space. In France you don’t see an attack shape as clearly as other teams. That is sort of pure, instinctive rugby”, said Scotland coach Gregor Townsend.

France have been the dominant team in the tournament so far, winning all three of their opening matches. Les Bleus began the tournament with an impressive 36-14 victory over Ireland in Paris, before delivering a ruthless attacking display to beat Wales 54-12 in Cardiff. They continued their strong run in Round 3 with a 33-8 win over Italy, maintaining their perfect record and moving clear at the top of the standings.

France injuries & team news

France have relatively few injury concerns, giving head coach Fabien Galthié the luxury of naming a largely unchanged lineup. Anthony Jelonch, who missed part of Wednesday's training session, has been declared fit and will start at number eight. The starting XV remains very similar to the side that beat Italy in Round 3.

There are a couple of changes in the forward pack, though. Charles Ollivon and Mickaël Guillard will start in the second row. Because of that, Thibaud Flament and Emmanuel Meafou move to the bench, where they can provide fresh energy later in the match. “Scotland are very aggressive and dynamic up front and, from 10 to 15, they possess the best back-line in the United Kingdom”, said Galthié.

France and Scotland have faced each other 104 times in international rugby. France hold the advantage in the overall head-to-head record with 61 victories, while Scotland have won 40 matches. Recent meetings have also slightly favoured Les Bleus, with France winning six of the last ten encounters between the two sides.

• The total for this match is set at 55.5 points. Only one of the last ten meetings between Scotland and France has gone over this line.
• France remain unbeaten in the 2026 Six Nations, winning all three of their opening matches and leading the championship standings.
• France have won four of the last five Six Nations meetings against Scotland.

Recent meetings between Scotland and France have usually been tight and relatively low-scoring affairs. With both teams boasting strong defensive structures and plenty at stake in the title race, we expect another controlled contest. We predict under 55.5 total points at 1.90.

France have been the most consistent team in the tournament so far and remain the only side with a perfect record after three rounds. With playmakers like Dupont and Jalibert controlling the tempo, Les Bleus will put pressure early. Our pick is France -5.5 in the first half at 1.90.

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