UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs Onama Prediction

The featherweight headliner of UFC Fight Night 263 sees Steve Garcia take on David Onama on November 1, 2025, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Both fighters are known for their knockout power and fearless striking, setting the stage for an explosive showdown. In our Garcia vs Onama prediction, we look at form, momentum, and betting odds ahead of what promises to be an entertaining matchup.

Bookmakers slightly favour Steve Garcia at 1.72, while David Onama enters as the underdog at 2.10. The narrow gap in betting odds highlights just how evenly matched this contest appears on paper.

Garcia holds a slight size advantage at 6'0" with a 75-inch reach, compared to Onama's 5'11" and 72 inches. That extra reach could help Garcia control distance and dictate exchanges, although Onama's compact movement and sharp counters could become a problem.

Garcia has quietly built a solid resume in the UFC's featherweight division. Since 2022, he's racked up six straight victories, most recently earning a decision over Calvin Kattar in July 2025. Before that, Garcia was all about fast finishes, stopping Kyle Nelson, Choi Seung-woo, and Melquizael Costa violently, often within the first round. His mix of boxing pressure, timing, and power makes him a nightmare for opponents who can't handle his pace.

The Albuquerque native loves to press forward, using his long reach and sharp combinations to overwhelm rivals early. That approach, however, can sometimes leave openings for counters or takedowns, where Onama may try to exploit. Still, with momentum firmly on his side and growing confidence after the Kattar win, Garcia looks every bit the favourite to continue his climb toward the division's elite.

Steve Garcia is one of the most underrated knockout artists in the UFC right now. 🥊

Do you think he’ll get the finish on David Onama at #UFCVegas110 ? 👀

📸 via Carmen Mandato pic.twitter.com/ldDF4tz59l

— Verdikt (@VerdiktAI) October 29, 2025

Garcia's last fights

Onama has steadily developed into a dangerous and well-rounded competitor. Known for his explosive striking and crisp jab-uppercut combinations, he also brings solid wrestling and submission skills, with four career wins coming by tap-out. His athletic build and long frame give him an edge in striking exchanges, and he's never been knocked out, which serves as a proof of his durability and composure under pressure.

Cardio remains a concern in extended fights, and while his defensive wrestling is reliable, his offensive grappling still needs refinement. Even so, his showing against Giga Chikadze highlighted major progress, as he dominated the grappling and fought with greater control. With his mix of speed, power, and improving fight IQ, Onama enters this matchup as a dangerous underdog capable of turning the tables.

A fun fighter, but doesn't get the love they deserve:

David Onamapic.twitter.com/SdvCn2YYlM

— MMA On Point (@OnPointMMA) October 10, 2025

Onama's last fights

This matchup has all the makings of a high-paced striking battle. Garcia should have the upper hand thanks to his sharper combinations, superior output, and ability to maintain range with his height and reach advantage. His forward pressure and clean one-two sequences often overwhelm opponents, and his takedown defence should keep the fight standing. Onama is dangerous with his power and improved grappling, but his tendency to fade late could be costly against a consistent striker like Garcia. Besides, he eats way too many shots. Expect Steve to control the exchanges, land the heavier volume, and eventually find a finish in the later rounds. MightyTips experts pick Steve Garcia to win by TKO/KO at 2.00.

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