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England vs Australia prediction: Betting options for the Autumn Nations Series game on November 1

It's that time of the year again, as international rugby union returns for the whole month of November. The teams from the Southern and Northern hemispheres traditionally battle against each other, and England will start with a home game against their old rivals, Australia, at Twickenham Stadium in South West London.

In this article, we'll have a look at the head-to-head stats and check the form of both teams and their squad news before providing a couple of betting options for the game that takes place on November 1.

Pic about England vs Australia prediction

H2H stats

England have a slight advantage over Australia with 28 victories, 27 defeats and one draw. The Brits have won three of the last five encounters, however, the Wallabies were victorious in the latest match, prevailing 42-37 at this very stadium a year ago.

England Form

After losing 27-22 to Ireland on February 1 in their first match of 2025, England have won the next seven, beating France, Scotland, Italy, Wales, Argentina (twice), and the United States. As a result, the Red Roses climbed up to number 5 in the world rankings.

England Injuries & Team News

The biggest news is George Ford being selected ahead of Fin Smith in the competition for England's starting fly-half spot. In another major decision, Guy Pepper has been surprisingly chosen over Tom Curry for a place in the back row. England are set to resume their plan of using Tommy Freeman at outside centre, with the British and Irish Lions winger linking up in midfield alongside Fraser Dingwall.

Freeman's shift to the number 13 role opens up the wings for Immanuel Feyi-Waboso and Tom Roebuck, while teenage prodigy Noah Caluori will have to wait a little longer for his international debut. Last but not least, Luke Cowan-Dickie is poised to make his 50th appearance for England from the bench.

Australia Form

Australia's overall record in 2025 is five victories and six defeats, and the Wallabies were on a 3-match losing streak before defeating Japan 19-15 on October 25 in Tokyo. Australia occupy seventh place in the world rankings, just behind Argentina.

Australia Injuries & Team News

Tighthead prop Taniela Tupou returns to the starting lineup, joining Angus Bell and Billy Pollard in the front row. Nick Frost and Jeremy Williams reunite in the second row. Captain Harry Wilson resumes his role at number 8, leading the team and combining with Rob Valetini and Fraser McReight in a well-established back-row trio.

In the halves, Jake Gordon and Tane Edmed are set to start together for the third straight game, with Hunter Paisami and Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii linking up in midfield. On the wings, Harry Potter and Max Jorgensen get the nod, and Andrew Kellaway retains his spot at fullback.

Allan Alaalatoa is in line for his 86th cap as the replacement tighthead prop. Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, now fit again after a rib injury, is named as cover in the second row, while Nick Champion de Crespingy, captain for the game in Japan, takes the back-row reserve role.

England vs Australia key betting facts

  • England won 12 out of the last 15 matches against Australia.
  • The line for this game is 52.5 points. In the last 10 tests between the sides, over 52.5 points were scored six times.
  • The Wallabies eye back-to-back Twickenham wins for the first time since 2009.
  • Both sides are in the elite company of four teams that managed to win the World Cup. Australia became champions in 1991 and 1999, while England triumphed in 2003.

England vs Australia Predictions

England are clearly on a roll nowadays and will be eager to make amends for the loss in Twickenham last year. Steve Borthwick's lads are clear favourites, and they should prevail on Saturday. However, there's no value in betting England to win at 1.30. We suggest thinking about backing the Red Roses to beat Australia by 6.5 points at 1.72.

Another option is to bet on the under, as this game should be a very tense one with plenty of mistakes made. While this is one of the biggest rivalries in rugby, we believe that both teams will defend much better than attack. Hence, betting under 53.5 points at 1.80 looks a very reasonable option.

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Kate Richardson

Kate Richardson

Review Author

Kate Richardson

Kate Richardson

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.