Jake Paul vs Gervonta Davis Odds and Prediction

Jake Paul and Gervonta "Tank" Davis are set to collide in one of the most talked-about boxing events of the year. The exhibition bout takes place on November 14, 2025, at the Kaseya Centre in Miami, streamed live worldwide on Netflix. It will be contested at a catchweight of 195 pounds, scheduled for 10 three-minute rounds, with both fighters wearing 12-ounce gloves.

This matchup is a fascinating clash of opposites, where a YouTuber-turned-fighter known for beating up washed MMA stars is facing one of boxing's most gifted champions in his prime. Davis, a three-division world titleholder, steps up several weight classes to test himself against Paul, who famously lost his first fight against a real boxer, Tommy Fury. Unsurprisingly, Davis vs Paul odds have become a hot betting topic.

Bookmakers slightly favour the smaller man, with odds on Davis winning set at 1.52, while odds on Jake Paul to win stand at 2.40. The detailed fight outcome and total rounds markets are outlined in the tables below.

Jake Paul's jab has improved notably, proving effective against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr., who struggled to counter it. His size, reach, and strength could allow him to control distance early. However, Paul's weaknesses are equally clear. His footwork remains stiff, his combinations are predictable, and his cardio in the later rounds is questionable. Against an elite technician like Davis, those flaws could be fatal. For Paul to win, he must use his body effectively, clinch smartly, and rely on one big shot rather than volume or finesse.

JAKE “EL GALLO” PAUL VS. GERVONTA “TANK” DAVIS

You haven’t seen a fight like this before. Friday November 14. LIVE, only on Netflix. pic.twitter.com/u6oxBzeY4g

— Netflix (@netflix) September 22, 2025

Unlike the much bigger Paul, Tank Davis comes into this exhibition with an unbeaten 30-0-1 record and 28 knockouts, built on patience, timing, and devastating accuracy. He applies pressure without throwing too many punches, studying his opponent until he finds a flaw to exploit. When that moment comes, one counter can end the fight instantly. The size gap is huge, but Davis isn't lacking confidence, even agreeing to a $2 million bet offered by Jake. Still, his low output and tendency to wait too long could cost him rounds if Paul stays disciplined behind the jab and uses his reach effectively.

🗣️ Jake Paul: “This is a top 10 pound-for-pound fighter that I’m going to out-box.”

🗣️ Gervonta Davis: “He said he’s gonna out-box me? Whoop-de-doo.” 😭 #JakeTank pic.twitter.com/DTC0dq2sCV

— Championship Rounds (@ChampRDS) September 22, 2025

Many still accuse Jake of staging rigged fights, pointing to his early career of wins over retired MMA fighters and influencers. But while Paul has undeniably improved, his recent bouts against lesser-known pros haven't truly tested him. Davis, on the other hand, represents a completely different level. He's a world-class boxer with elite timing, power, and ring IQ. During press conferences, Davis looked calm, composed, and determined to prove a point. Considering it’s an exhibition, he might not push himself too hard, while Jake will be the one trying to prove he truly belongs in boxing. The size difference could also make it difficult for Tank to score a knockout, which is why we predict Gervonta Davis to win by decision.

We post daily betting tips on major sports in our Telegram channel. Join us to stay informed and never miss our latest predictions!