2025 EuroBasket Betting Preview – Odds, Favourites & Predictions

EuroBasket 2025, starting on August 27, is the 42nd edition of the ​​European Basketball Championships. Cyprus, Finland, Latvia, and Poland are hosting the event, with one group to be played in each country. Xiaomi Arena in Riga is the place for all playoff matches, starting from September 6, with the deciding game taking place on September 14.

In this article, MightyTips' pundits check the odds on the top favourites and talk about the leading contenders and their chances to lift the trophy, while also selecting a couple of potential dark horses. We'll also give a winner prediction and offer some other options for long-term bets with potential value.

The table below lists the top 10 contenders and their EuroBasket title odds, but we've also got the odds for each of these teams to reach the final. Serbia and their star center Nikola Jokić are the clear favourites, followed by the current world champions Germany. Curiously, the defending European champions, Spain, are only fifth in the list.

The EuroBasket odds are valid as of August 25, 2025.

🔝 EuroBasket 2025 Favourites

Serbia are the team to beat in 2025, according to the bookmakers, experts, media, and the fans. Olympic bronze medalists in 2024 and the only team in Paris to give a real battle to the mighty United States, Serbia have a fantastic squad and a highly experienced coach in Svetislav Pešić. Let's look at them closely, as well as other teams that should go deep into the tournament.

🇷🇸 Serbia

Serbia followed the World Cup final appearance in 2023 and Olympic bronze in 2024 with a flawless qualification campaign. Moreover, they were 7-0 in the pre-tournament friendlies, and it's hard to see them not winning Group A in Riga. The team's backbone is Denver Nuggets superstar Nikola Jokić, supported by sharpshooter Bogdan Bogdanović and forward Nikola Jović. Serbia lost key contributors Alen Smailagić and Uroš Trifunović to injuries during the final roster selection process. A heart-touching omission was Boriša Simanić, who expressed public disappointment after not being selected despite significant personal sacrifice. Nevertheless, Serbia's depth, elite leadership, and firepower across all positions make them almost an unstoppable contender heading into the tournament.

Can anyone stop this Serbian 🇷🇸 roster from going all the way? 🏆#EuroBasket pic.twitter.com/pvwPn9t2Wf

— FIBA EuroBasket (@EuroBasket) August 23, 2025

🇩🇪 Germany

The Germans arrive in top form and full of confidence. Their leader is Dennis Schröder, a seasoned guard coming off his FIBA World Cup MVP performance. He is supported by rising stars Franz Wagner and Tristan da Silva from the Orlando Magic. Germany are 5-1 in their EuroBasket build-up, including thrilling victories over Türkiye and Spain. They have some losses too, though: Isaiah Hartenstein is sidelined with an Achilles injury, while Moritz Wagner continues his recovery following a torn ACL. This is the first tournament for the Germans under Álex Mumbrú, who is a relatively inexperienced coach. Still, Germany's clear roles, NBA talent, and cohesive structure make them serious medal contenders, just as they were in the last three major international events.

🇫🇷 France

France approach EuroBasket with cautious optimism. Despite being ranked among the top contenders, the squad is notably depleted. Rudy Gobert, Victor Wembanyama, and Evan Fournier are all absent: Gobert citing personal reasons, Wembanyama due to health recovery, and Fournier still nursing an ankle injury. Additionally, Vincent Poirier is also out because of a knee injury. Guerschon Yabusele, named as the captain, will play a key role now, leading young NBA stars Zaccharie Risacher, Alexandre Sarr, and Bilal Coulibaly, as well as experienced European contributors. France won all five friendlies ahead of the tournament, notably demolishing Greece 92-77. While lacking star power, France's density of role players and leadership depth offers a foundation that could surprise many if the chemistry clicks.

1⃣2⃣ Bleus, 1⃣ objectif 👊

La liste des joueurs sélectionnés par Frédéric Fauthoux pour l'@EuroBasket ⚔️#TeamFranceBasket | #PassionnémentBleu | #EuroBasket pic.twitter.com/GhnQb58NRm

— Équipes de France de Basket (@FRABasketball) August 19, 2025

🇬🇷 Greece

Greece rallies behind their only true superstar: Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Milwaukee Bucks, who remains a dominant force after averaging 25.8 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 3.5 assists at the Paris Olympics. Veteran guard Kostas Sloukas returns, and Tyler Dorsey will fill the naturalised-player slot in place of the injured Thomas Walkup. However, several key contributors are missing: Nick Calathes, Giorgos Papagiannis, and Nikos Rogkavopoulos are all out. Greece won four and lost three friendlies ahead of the tournament, and Giannis looked sharp as ever. It will vastly depend on him again, but if other players step up, the Greeks could break their podium drought dating back to 2009.

🇪🇸 Spain

The reigning European champions face a rough road. Following their triumph in Berlin three years ago, they were only ninth at the World Cup and missed the playoffs at the Olympics, finishing fourth in the group behind Canada, Australia and Greece. Alberto Díaz, Lorenzo Brown, Eli Ndiay, and Alberto Abalde are all unavailable due to injuries. Forced to bring in teenage point guards Sergio de Larrea and Mario Saint-Supéry, the team has a rejuvenated but inexperienced backcourt. With only six holdovers from the 2022 championship and shaky pre-tournament form, winning just one of five preparation games, Spain's title defence looks virtually impossible. However, a highly experienced coach, Sergio Scariolo, won't throw out a white flag too early.

Santi Aldama leads the final roster for the reigning #EuroBasket champs 🇪🇸

🔗 https://t.co/2WQRgIWpE9 pic.twitter.com/h57pRMN9YE

— FIBA EuroBasket (@EuroBasket) August 22, 2025

Best EuroBasket 2025 Sleepers

The three teams mentioned below are among the top 10 contenders, but if one of them can somehow make it to the final, it will be a huge sensation. Let's have a look at our dark horses this year.

🇱🇻 Latvia

Latvia gets to compete at home as one of four tournament hosts, which adds both pressure and opportunity for a breakthrough showing. With a perfect run in qualification and still fresh memories from a strong World Cup performance, Latvia will lean heavily on Kristaps Porziņģis to carry the offence and inspire significant home-court momentum. Supporting him, veterans like Dāvis Bertāns and Andrejs Gražulis will offer balance, experience, and perimeter scoring. The injury to Rodions Kurucs was a big blow, but not a fatal one. The weight of expectations as the host nation will test Latvia's squad depth and composure, but this team can bring another surprise.

🇱🇹 Lithuania

Lithuania starts the tournament determined to claim their first medals since 2015. Anchored by veteran Jonas Valančiūnas, who remains their most reliable inside force, they seek to combine experience with emerging talent to mount a serious challenge. The three-time Olympic bronze medalists will play without two key figures in Domantas Sabonis and Matas Buzelis. Coach Rimas Kurtinaitis emphasises depth and balance, yet without Sabonis and Buzelis, the offensive burden increases on Valančiūnas. Last thing to note here are the Lithuanian fans who will come in numbers to any country and create a fantastic atmosphere.

🇱🇹 How far can Lithuania go at #EuroBasket? 👀 pic.twitter.com/Z73VUSaPQV

— FIBA EuroBasket (@EuroBasket) August 23, 2025

🇸🇮 Slovenia

Slovenia, European champions in 2017, enter EuroBasket 2025 with ambitions to recapture past glory, led once again by their NBA star, Luka Dončić. His status is a game-changer, but the roster has taken hits: both Vlatko Čančar and Josh Nebo are absent, reducing their depth. Veteran Zoran Dragić was controversially omitted from the final squad, amid allegations of unfair treatment by the coaching staff. Yet shooters like Klemen Prepelič and experienced role players such as Gregor Hrovat remain ready to complement Dončić's leadership.

EuroBasket Predictions

Starting with the winners of the tournament, the Serbians look destined for gold. While Germany and France, probably, can stop them in a single game, let's think about how many matches they will win out of ten? Two or three, at the most. That's why Serbia becoming champions at 2.35 looks a bargain.

Another decent, albeit risky, long-term bet is Spain to win Group C at 3.50. They are stronger than Italy and have better team play than Greece, who will rely solely on Giannis Antetokounmpo. Of course, the Greeks have a "home court advantage", but the odds make us think that this might be worth a shot.

Finally, we like a match-up bet that Lithuania will finish higher than Türkiye at 1.85. These two teams might meet in the last 16 already, but even if they don't, Lithuania simply looks like a stronger team with better chances of going deep into the tournament.

Betting on EuroBasket 2025 requires knowledge, research, and discipline. 

• Start by analysing team form, recent results, and key player availability, as superstars like Nikola Jokić or Giannis Antetokounmpo can dramatically shift odds. 
• Explore different markets: outright winner, group stage standings, individual game spreads, or player performance props such as points or rebounds. 
• Compare odds across multiple sportsbooks to maximise value. 
• Live betting can also be appealing, especially in games where momentum swings are common. 
• Always set a clear budget, avoid chasing losses, and prioritise informed decisions over emotional ones. 

Betting responsibly ensures that the excitement of EuroBasket remains entertaining and sustainable throughout the tournament.