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West Brom vs Middlesbrough prediction 16.01.2026 | Championship

West Bromwich Albion

West Bromwich Albion

Kick off:

Date:

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

1

2.50

X

3.30

2

2.80

  • Competition: Championship
  • Date: Friday, 16th January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich)

After securing a place in the FA Cup 1/16 Finals by beating Swansea 3:2 on penalties, West Bromwich Albion will now welcome Middlesbrough, who were eliminated from the same competition after a 3:1 defeat to Fulham. The two sides come into this match with very different objectives. West Brom are looking to move closer to mid-table and create a safer gap from the relegation zone, while Middlesbrough are aiming to hold on to second place and bounce back after losing their last two away league matches.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Championship tie.

West Bromwich Albion vs Middlesbrough Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Middlesbrough

    2 : 1

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  2. Middlesbrough

    2 : 0

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  3. West Bromwich Albion

    0 : 1

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  4. Middlesbrough

    1 : 0

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  5. West Bromwich Albion

    4 : 2

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  6. West Bromwich Albion

    2 : 0

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

These teams met in September, with Middlesbrough winning 2:1 at the Riverside Stadium. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, West Brom won just twice, while Middlesbrough secured six victories.

Regarding the number of goals, three of the last ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in five of them. 

West Bromwich Albion

West Brom team overview

After relegation from the Premier League in the 2020/21 season, West Brom haven't been great in the following four seasons, securing a playoff spot only once. However, this season has been a pure disaster as they are in 18th place with 31 points from 26 matches. The Baggies are closer to the danger zone (seven points) than the playoff spots (10 points). The main issue for the Baggies this season is their atrocious away record, with just 9 points from 14 games. That is almost 1.2  points per game less than at home.

Due to bad results, the club decided to sack coach Ryan Mason in early January and appointed Eric Ramsay on 11th January. This will be his debut as a head coach in European football, since his only experience was in Minnesota from March 2024 until January 2026. During his official interview as a WBA manager, the young coach emphasized that this team is constructed to win games, but they have to start building confidence and competitive belief. The coach also added that he has been studying WBA's matches this season to better understand the squad. 

Last matches of West Bromwich Albion

  1. Swansea City

    5 : 6

    West Bromwich Albion

    FA Cup

  2. Leicester City

    2 : 1

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  3. Swansea City

    1 : 0

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  4. West Bromwich Albion

    2 : 1

    Queens Park Rangers

    Championship

  5. West Bromwich Albion

    1 : 2

    Bristol City

    Championship

West Bromwich Albion lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 20

    Josh Griffiths

Defenders

  • 6

    George Campbell

  • 2

    Chris Mepham

  • 3

    Nat Phillips

  • 4

    Callum Styles

Midfielders

  • 27

    Alex Mowatt

  • 11

    Mikey Johnston

  • 8

    Jayson Molumby

Forwards

  • 21

    Isaac Price

  • 19

    Aune Heggebø

  • 10

    Karlan Grant

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough team overview

Middlesbrough are playing their ninth consecutive season in the Championship, where they have mostly been in the upper half of the league's table. Still, they only had two Playoff appearances. This season, the popular Boro are looking to avoid the Playoffs and secure direct promotion. Unfortunately, after a magnificent first part of the season, they had a terrible period around Christmas, winning one point in four games. They eventually stopped that with a 4:0 win over Southampton and will be looking to continue collecting points in the Championship against a motivated WBA. 

After a 3:1 loss to Fulham in the FA Cup, coach Kim Hellberg spoke to the media. He said he had mixed feelings because they had a good chance to win. "I was impressed with how we played – a lot of good things – but was disappointed we didn't win the game," the coach added.

Last matches of Middlesbrough

  1. Fulham

    3 : 1

    Middlesbrough

    FA Cup

  2. Middlesbrough

    4 : 0

    Southampton

    Championship

  3. Derby County

    1 : 0

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  4. Middlesbrough

    0 : 1

    Hull City

    Championship

  5. Middlesbrough

    0 : 0

    Blackburn Rovers

    Championship

Middlesbrough lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Sol Brynn

Defenders

  • 12

    Luke Ayling

  • 29

    Adilson Malanda

  • 40

    George McCormick

  • 3

    Matt Targett

Midfielders

  • 7

    Hayden Hackney

  • 11

    Morgan Whittaker

  • 18

    Aidan Morris

Forwards

  • 22

    Sam Silvera

  • 9

    Tommy Conway

  • 10

    Delano Burgzorg

Prediction

West Brom have been terrible recently, losing four of their last six games. During that six-game period, they scored a total of six goals - one per game. However, that is hardly a surprise, as it is around their season average of 1.11 goals per game. Also, at home, WBA is the second-best team in the league for this type of bet, as 58% of their games finished with fewer than three goals. 

Middlesbrough are also in terrible momentum, having won once in the last six matches. They have also failed to score in four of those six games and have struggled to find the net in most of their road matches. In the previous 11 road games across the competitions, they scored one or zero goals on nine occasions - 82%. 

In the previous four h2h games, we saw fewer than three goals on three occasions. Considering the trend in the previous h2h games and both teams' underwhelming offensive performances, we believe that an under 2.5 goals is the safest option for this Championship tie.

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. West Brom averages 1.11 goals per game in the Championship this season
  2. West Brom went under 2.5 goals in seven out of 12 home Championship games
  3. Middlesbrough scored one or zero goals in nine out of the last 11 road matches
  4. Three out of the previous four games ended with fewer than three goals

Main prediction West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.80

Bet here

West Bromwich Albion vs Middlesbrough standings in Championship

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Coventry City 26 15 7 4 57 - 29 +28 52
2 Middlesbrough 26 13 7 6 37 - 26 +11 46
3 Ipswich Town 25 12 8 5 42 - 24 +18 44
4 Preston North End 26 11 10 5 36 - 25 +11 43
5 Millwall 26 12 7 7 29 - 33 -4 43
6 Watford 25 11 8 6 37 - 29 +8 41
7 Hull City 25 12 5 8 40 - 38 +2 41
8 Stoke City 26 12 4 10 32 - 23 +9 40
9 Wrexham 26 10 10 6 38 - 32 +6 40
10 Bristol City 26 11 6 9 38 - 29 +9 39
11 Queens Park Rangers 26 11 5 10 38 - 39 -1 38
12 Leicester City 26 10 7 9 37 - 38 -1 37
13 Derby County 26 9 8 9 35 - 35 0 35
14 Birmingham City 26 9 7 10 35 - 36 -1 34
15 Southampton 26 8 9 9 38 - 38 0 33
16 Sheffield United 25 10 2 13 36 - 38 -2 32
17 Swansea City 26 9 5 12 27 - 33 -6 32
18 West Bromwich Albion 26 9 4 13 29 - 35 -6 31
19 Charlton Athletic 25 7 8 10 25 - 32 -7 29
20 Blackburn Rovers 25 7 7 11 24 - 30 -6 28
21 Portsmouth 24 6 7 11 21 - 35 -14 25
22 Norwich City 26 6 6 14 28 - 39 -11 24
23 Oxford United 25 5 7 13 25 - 35 -10 22
24 Sheffield Wednesday 25 1 8 16 18 - 51 -33 -7

West Brom vs Middlesbrough – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for West Brom this season?

The average xG for West Brom in the Championship this season is 1.51.

? How much is the average xG for Middlesbrough this season?

The average xG for Middlesbrough in the Championship this season is 1.60.