Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: 17th October 2025
- Kick-off: 01:30 UK / 02:30 CEST
- Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas
An intriguing contest awaits us on Friday morning, when Vitoria and Bahia face off in matchday 28 of the Brazilian top-flight campaign. The hosts are looking for a win that could see them move out of the bottom three, while Bahia could enter the top four with a win, provided that other results go their way. Read our Vitoria vs. Bahia preview for the latest team news and our predictions.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Vitória
1 : 1
Bahia
Baiano 1
-
Bahia
2 : 0
Vitória
Baiano 1
-
Bahia
0 : 0
Vitória
Baiano 1
-
Bahia
2 : 0
Vitória
Serie A
-
Vitória
2 : 2
Bahia
Serie A
-
Bahia
1 : 1
Vitória
Baiano 1
The two sides have met four times in 2025, with Vitoria failing to win any of the fixtures. Bahia won on two occasions, while two games ended in a draw. The visitors' unbeaten run against Vitoria now stretches back to April 2024 and includes four wins and three draws from seven matches.
Vitoria team overview
Before the international break, Vitoria visited Vasco da Gama, looking to secure back-to-back wins after beating Ceará 1-0 at home in their previous game.
The Conquerors' inconsistency was once again the star of the show, as they conceded four goals and lost 4:3. They have failed to win consecutive games since May 2025, losing ten of the last 21 matches.
However, Jair Ventura’s men will be motivated by the fact that 7 of the 11 games in which they didn't lose were at home. They have also avoided defeat in each of their last six games against Bahia at the Manoel Barradas Stadium.
Carlinhos and Lucas Halter will be unavailable this week due to red cards received against Vasco da Gama in their last match, while Jamerson, Ismael, Fintelman and Fabri are dealing with injuries.
Last matches of
-
Vasco da Gama
4 : 3
Vitória
Serie A
-
Gremio
3 : 1
Vitória
Serie A
-
Vitória
0 : 1
Fluminense
Serie A
-
Fortaleza
2 : 0
Vitória
Serie A
-
Vitória
1 : 0
Atletico Mineiro
Serie A
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Lucas Arcanjo
Defenders
-
66
Maykon Jesus
-
3
Zé Marcos
-
4
Camutanga
-
27
Raúl Cáceres
Midfielders
-
29
Willian Oliveira
-
44
Gabriel Baralhas
-
8
Ronald
-
33
Erick
Forwards
-
17
Aitor Cantalapiedra
-
79
Renato Kayzer
Bahia team overview
Meanwhile, Bahia went into the October international break all smiles after beating second-placed Flamengo 1-0 at home. This was the Tricolor’s second consecutive home win, but their recent away form is a cause for concern.
Indeed, Rogério Ceni’s side have not won any of their last four away games, losing three and drawing one. They also conceded an average of two goals per game during this period, so a miracle will be needed to secure a win against Vitória on Friday.
Mateo Sanabria and Jean Lucas are available again following their suspensions, but the injury list remains long, with at least five players currently sidelined.
Last matches of
-
Bahia
1 : 0
Flamengo
Serie A
-
Botafogo
2 : 1
Bahia
Serie A
-
Bahia
1 : 0
Palmeiras
Serie A
-
Ceara
1 : 1
Bahia
Serie A
-
Bahia
5 : 0
AD Confiança
Copa do Nordeste
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
96
Ronaldo
Defenders
-
2
Gilberto Moraes Júnior
-
33
David Duarte
-
5
Julio Cesar de Rezende Miranda
-
25
Iago
Midfielders
-
10
Éverton Ribeiro
-
26
Nicolás Acevedo
-
6
Jean Lucas
Forwards
-
7
Ademir
-
12
Willian José
-
77
Tiago
Prediction
Everything points towards a draw in the Vitoria vs Bahia match. Vitoria have lost only one of their last seven home games, and they have an excellent home record against Bahia who full of confidence after beating Flamengo last time out. With none of the last three home games of the Conquerors producing more than two goals, I am going for a 1-1 draw.
Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game
- Three of the last six meetings between Vitoria and Bahia at this ground ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Bets on under 2.5 goals won in three of the last six games of Bahia.
- Four of the last six games of Vitoria ended with two or fewer goals.
Main prediction -
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
vs standings in Serie A
Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Palmeiras | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 46 - 22 | +24 | 58 |
2 | Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 50 - 13 | +37 | 55 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 40 - 20 | +20 | 52 |
4 | Mirassol | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 44 - 29 | +15 | 46 |
5 | Botafogo | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37 - 23 | +14 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34 - 30 | +4 | 43 |
7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 - 33 | +1 | 38 |
8 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31 - 28 | +3 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 - 38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Ceará | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 - 24 | +2 | 34 |
11 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 42 - 41 | +1 | 33 |
12 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29 - 32 | -3 | 33 |
13 | Grêmio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28 - 33 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Atlético Mineiro | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 - 30 | -5 | 32 |
15 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32 - 38 | -6 | 32 |
16 | Santos | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 - 38 | -13 | 28 |
17 | Vitória | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 - 42 | -18 | 25 |
18 | Fortaleza | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 - 41 | -15 | 24 |
19 | Juventude | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22 - 52 | -30 | 23 |
20 | Sport Recife | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 20 - 41 | -21 | 16 |