Home Bookmakers Tips Bonuses

Vitoria vs Bahia prediction 17.10.2025 | Serie A

Kick off:

Date:

1

3.00

X

3.05

2

2.48

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: 17th October 2025
  • Kick-off: 01:30 UK / 02:30 CEST
  • Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas

An intriguing contest awaits us on Friday morning, when Vitoria and Bahia face off in matchday 28 of the Brazilian top-flight campaign. The hosts are looking for a win that could see them move out of the bottom three, while Bahia could enter the top four with a win, provided that other results go their way. Read our Vitoria vs. Bahia preview for the latest team news and our predictions.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Vitória

    1 : 1

    Bahia

    Baiano 1

  2. Bahia

    2 : 0

    Vitória

    Baiano 1

  3. Bahia

    0 : 0

    Vitória

    Baiano 1

  4. Bahia

    2 : 0

    Vitória

    Serie A

  5. Vitória

    2 : 2

    Bahia

    Serie A

  6. Bahia

    1 : 1

    Vitória

    Baiano 1

The two sides have met four times in 2025, with Vitoria failing to win any of the fixtures. Bahia won on two occasions, while two games ended in a draw. The visitors' unbeaten run against Vitoria now stretches back to April 2024 and includes four wins and three draws from seven matches.

Vitoria team overview

Before the international break, Vitoria visited Vasco da Gama, looking to secure back-to-back wins after beating Ceará 1-0 at home in their previous game.

The Conquerors' inconsistency was once again the star of the show, as they conceded four goals and lost 4:3. They have failed to win consecutive games since May 2025, losing ten of the last 21 matches.

However, Jair Ventura’s men will be motivated by the fact that 7 of the 11 games in which they didn't lose were at home. They have also avoided defeat in each of their last six games against Bahia at the Manoel Barradas Stadium.

Carlinhos and Lucas Halter will be unavailable this week due to red cards received against Vasco da Gama in their last match, while Jamerson, Ismael, Fintelman and Fabri are dealing with injuries.

Last matches of

  1. Vasco da Gama

    4 : 3

    Vitória

    Serie A

  2. Gremio

    3 : 1

    Vitória

    Serie A

  3. Vitória

    0 : 1

    Fluminense

    Serie A

  4. Fortaleza

    2 : 0

    Vitória

    Serie A

  5. Vitória

    1 : 0

    Atletico Mineiro

    Serie A

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lucas Arcanjo

Defenders

  • 66

    Maykon Jesus

  • 3

    Zé Marcos

  • 4

    Camutanga

  • 27

    Raúl Cáceres

Midfielders

  • 29

    Willian Oliveira

  • 44

    Gabriel Baralhas

  • 8

    Ronald

  • 33

    Erick

Forwards

  • 17

    Aitor Cantalapiedra

  • 79

    Renato Kayzer

Bahia team overview

Meanwhile, Bahia went into the October international break all smiles after beating second-placed Flamengo 1-0 at home. This was the Tricolor’s second consecutive home win, but their recent away form is a cause for concern.

Indeed, Rogério Ceni’s side have not won any of their last four away games, losing three and drawing one. They also conceded an average of two goals per game during this period, so a miracle will be needed to secure a win against Vitória on Friday.

Mateo Sanabria and Jean Lucas are available again following their suspensions, but the injury list remains long, with at least five players currently sidelined.

Last matches of

  1. Bahia

    1 : 0

    Flamengo

    Serie A

  2. Botafogo

    2 : 1

    Bahia

    Serie A

  3. Bahia

    1 : 0

    Palmeiras

    Serie A

  4. Ceara

    1 : 1

    Bahia

    Serie A

  5. Bahia

    5 : 0

    AD Confiança

    Copa do Nordeste

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 96

    Ronaldo

Defenders

  • 2

    Gilberto Moraes Júnior

  • 33

    David Duarte

  • 5

    Julio Cesar de Rezende Miranda

  • 25

    Iago

Midfielders

  • 10

    Éverton Ribeiro

  • 26

    Nicolás Acevedo

  • 6

    Jean Lucas

Forwards

  • 7

    Ademir

  • 12

    Willian José

  • 77

    Tiago

Prediction

Everything points towards a draw in the Vitoria vs Bahia match. Vitoria have lost only one of their last seven home games, and they have an excellent home record against Bahia who full of confidence after beating Flamengo last time out. With none of the last three home games of the Conquerors producing more than two goals, I am going for a 1-1 draw.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Three of the last six meetings between Vitoria and Bahia at this ground ended with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Bets on under 2.5 goals won in three of the last six games of Bahia.
  3. Four of the last six games of Vitoria ended with two or fewer goals.

Main prediction -

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

59% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.58

Bet here

vs standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 26 18 4 4 46 - 22 +24 58
2 Flamengo 26 16 7 3 50 - 13 +37 55
3 Cruzeiro 27 15 7 5 40 - 20 +20 52
4 Mirassol 27 12 10 5 44 - 29 +15 46
5 Botafogo 27 12 7 8 37 - 23 +14 43
6 Bahia 26 12 7 7 34 - 30 +4 43
7 Fluminense 26 11 5 10 34 - 33 +1 38
8 São Paulo 27 10 8 9 31 - 28 +3 38
9 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33 - 38 -5 36
10 Ceará 26 9 7 10 26 - 24 +2 34
11 Vasco da Gama 27 9 6 12 42 - 41 +1 33
12 Corinthians 27 8 9 10 29 - 32 -3 33
13 Grêmio 27 8 9 10 28 - 33 -5 33
14 Atlético Mineiro 26 8 8 10 25 - 30 -5 32
15 Internacional 26 8 8 10 32 - 38 -6 32
16 Santos 26 7 7 12 25 - 38 -13 28
17 Vitória 27 5 10 12 24 - 42 -18 25
18 Fortaleza 26 6 6 14 26 - 41 -15 24
19 Juventude 27 6 5 16 22 - 52 -30 23
20 Sport Recife 26 2 10 14 20 - 41 -21 16

Vitoria vs Bahia – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Friday’s Serie A encounter between Vitoria and Bahia on Sofascore.

? What is the average number of corner kicks that Vitoria win in their league home games this season?

5.31

? What is the average number of yellow cards that Bahia receive in their Serie A away games this season?

2.23