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Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Sporting CP prediction 23.12.2025 | Primeira Liga

Vitoria Guimaraes

Vitoria Guimaraes

Kick off:

Date:

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

1

8.05

X

4.61

2

1.45

  • Competition: Primeira Liga - Portugal
  • Date: 23rd December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:45 UK / 21:45 CET
  • Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitória de Guimarães host Sporting CP in Round 15 of the Liga Portugal Betclic 2025/26 season. The fixture brings us a competitive mid-table side with one of Portugal’s traditional “Big Three”. Sporting CP currently sit second in the league standings with 35 points from 14 matches, while Vitória de Guimarães are placed seventh on 21 points.

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Sporting CP

    2 : 0

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Liga Portugal

  2. Vitoria Guimaraes

    4 : 4

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  3. Sporting CP

    3 : 0

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Liga Portugal

  4. Vitoria Guimaraes

    3 : 2

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  5. Vitoria Guimaraes

    0 : 2

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  6. Sporting CP

    3 : 0

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Liga Portugal

Historically, Sporting CP have dominated this fixture. Across 53 competitive meetings, Sporting have recorded 35 wins, while Vitória de Guimarães have managed six victories, with 12 draws. A similar trend has been evident over the past few seasons, with Sporting currently unbeaten in the last three meetings (W2 D1).

Vitoria Guimaraes

Vitoria de Guimaraes team overview

Vitória de Guimarães have shown competitive resilience this season, posting a mixed run of results that includes several positive outcomes, particularly on home soil. Overall, their 2025/26 Liga Portugal record stands at six wins, three draws, and five defeats, reflecting a side capable of challenging stronger opposition on occasion. At Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, their home form has been notable, with multiple league victories and just one defeat, while matches in Guimarães have often produced goals - in 57% of home league games this season, the total goals have exceeded 2.5.

Luís Pinto’s men are currently enjoying a four-match unbeaten run in Liga Portugal, although a 1-0 defeat to AVS in the cup competition earlier this week could have a negative psychological impact heading into this fixture.

In terms of injuries, reports indicate that right-back Bruno Gaspar and centre-back Toni Borevkovic remain unavailable until mid-January, significantly limiting Guimarães’ defensive options.

Last matches of Vitoria Guimaraes

  1. Vitoria Guimaraes

    0 : 1

    AVS

    Taça De Portugal

  2. Rio Ave

    0 : 1

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Liga Portugal

  3. Vitoria Guimaraes

    0 : 0

    Gil Vicente

    Liga Portugal

  4. Porto

    1 : 3

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Taça da Liga

  5. Vitoria Guimaraes

    4 : 0

    AVS

    Liga Portugal

Vitoria Guimaraes lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Juan Castillo

Defenders

  • 2

    Miguel Maga

  • 4

    Óscar Rivas

  • 26

    Rodrigo Abascal

  • 13

    João Mendes

Midfielders

  • 16

    Beni Mukendi

  • 30

    Gonçalo Nogueira

  • 18

    Telmo Arcanjo

  • 48

    Noah Saviolo

Forwards

  • 90

    Alioune Ndoye

  • 19

    Oumar Camara

Sporting CP

Sporting CP team overview

Sporting CP enter the match with one of the strongest offensive and defensive profiles in the league. They have collected 11 wins, two draws, and just one defeat from 14 Liga Portugal fixtures, scoring an average of 2.52 goals per match while conceding fewer than one goal per game.

Sporting’s recent form includes an emphatic 6-0 league win over AVS and a hard-fought 3-2 victory against Santa Clara in Round 5 of the Portuguese Cup. They have also continued to produce competitive performances in Europe, although they were defeated away to Bayern München in the UEFA Champions League a couple of weeks ago.

Squad availability remains a concern for head coach Rui Borges, with absentees including defenders Gonçalo Inácio, Eduardo Quaresma, and Nuno Santos, as well as midfielder Daniel Bragança.

Last matches of Sporting CP

  1. Santa Clara

    0 : 1

    Sporting CP

    Taça De Portugal

  2. Sporting CP

    6 : 0

    AVS

    Liga Portugal

  3. Bayern Munich

    3 : 1

    Sporting CP

    Champions League

  4. Benfica

    1 : 1

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  5. Sporting CP

    4 : 0

    Estrela Amadora

    Liga Portugal

Sporting CP lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Rui Silva

Defenders

  • 13

    Giorgos Vagiannidis

  • 26

    Ousmane Diomande

  • 25

    Gonçalo Inácio

  • 91

    Ricardo Mangas

Midfielders

  • 14

    Giorgi Kochorashvili

  • 5

    Hidemasa Morita

  • 20

    Maximiliano Araújo

  • 10

    Geny Catamo

  • 17

    Francisco Trincão

Forwards

  • 97

    Luis Javier Suárez

Prediction

Based on current performance metrics, Sporting CP are clear favourites. Their sustained winning momentum and superior scoring efficiency suggest they are likely to control the match, particularly given Guimarães’ defensive limitations. Betting projections point towards a Sporting CP victory, with an over 2.5 goals outcome reflecting both teams’ potential to score, albeit with Sporting holding a decisive quality edge.

Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals.

Three reasons we expect Over 2.5 Goals

  1. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 57% of Vitória’s home matches this season.
  2. The same percentage of Sporting’s matches - 57% - have also seen over 2.5 goals in the league so far.
  3. Over 2.5 goals have also landed in three of the last four head-to-head meetings between the sides.

Main prediction Vitoria Guimaraes - Sporting CP

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.92

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Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP standings in Liga Portugal

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Porto 15 14 1 0 33 - 4 +29 43
2 Sporting CP 14 11 2 1 38 - 7 +31 35
3 Benfica 14 9 5 0 30 - 8 +22 32
4 Gil Vicente 15 7 5 3 19 - 9 +10 26
5 Sporting Braga 15 7 4 4 26 - 13 +13 25
6 Famalicão 14 6 5 3 18 - 9 +9 23
7 Vitória Guimarães 14 6 3 5 15 - 17 -2 21
8 Moreirense 15 6 3 6 21 - 24 -3 21
9 Estoril 15 4 5 6 23 - 25 -2 17
10 Rio Ave 15 3 8 4 19 - 24 -5 17
11 Alverca 15 5 2 8 15 - 23 -8 17
12 Nacional 15 4 4 7 17 - 21 -4 16
13 Santa Clara 15 4 4 7 11 - 15 -4 16
14 Estrela Amadora 15 3 6 6 17 - 22 -5 15
15 Casa Pia 15 3 4 8 16 - 29 -13 13
16 Arouca 15 3 4 8 15 - 37 -22 13
17 Tondela 15 2 3 10 9 - 27 -18 9
18 AVS 15 0 4 11 11 - 39 -28 4

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Sporting CP – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Vitoria de Guimaraes take on Sporting CP on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Vitoria de Guimaraes have won in the Primeira Liga 2025/26?

4.8

? What is the average number of corners Sporting CP have won in the Primeira Liga 2025/26?

7.1