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Villarreal vs Real Madrid prediction 24.01.2026 | La Liga

Villarreal

Villarreal

Kick off:

Date:

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

3.62

X

4.12

2

2.01

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Saturday, 24th January 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

The derby of the upcoming La Liga round will be played on Saturday night, with Villarreal hosting Real Madrid. Both teams are among the top three in the competition, and both will see the encounter as another good opportunity to earn points. Will we again see the high-scoring match between these two teams? Let's break down the game and find the best betting option. 

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Real Madrid

    3 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  2. Villarreal

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  4. Villarreal

    4 : 4

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Real Madrid

    4 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  6. Real Madrid

    2 : 3

    Villarreal

    La Liga

Real Madrid won four of the last five H2H matches, with one draw against Villarreal. The Yellow Submarine's previous victory against their next opponent was almost three years ago. In the only meeting this season, Real Madrid won 3-1. Also, it is worth noting that five of the last seven H2H games ended with at least four goals. 

Villarreal

Villarreal team overview

The 2025/26 season is excellent for Villarreal so far. They look well placed to maintain a top-four position in La Liga and secure another appearance in the Champions League. However, they urgently need to get back on track, as the Yellow Submarine have won only two of the last seven matches across all competitions. In the previous game, Villarreal lost 2-1 at home against Ajax. Although the contest was evenly balanced, the visitors' superior efficiency in key moments ultimately proved decisive.

Villarreal lost against Ajax, but the head coach Marcelino praised the effort of his players. He said, "I can't reproach the players for anything. They put in a huge effort and created goalscoring chances, which we always say is the most important thing. But we didn't finish them. The Champions League has been very cruel to these players. We'll take it as a lesson. It must help us grow."

Villarreal have problems with missing players. Santi Comesana and Santiago Mourino are suspended, while Pau Cabanes, Logan Costa, Thiago Fernandez, and Willy Kambwala are injured for Saturday's game against Real Madrid.

Last matches of Villarreal

  1. Villarreal

    1 : 2

    Ajax

    Champions League

  2. Real Betis

    2 : 0

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  3. Villarreal

    3 : 1

    Alaves

    La Liga

  4. Elche

    1 : 3

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  5. Villarreal

    0 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

Villarreal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Arnau Tenas

Defenders

  • 15

    Santiago Mourino

  • 4

    Rafa Marin

  • 12

    Renato Veiga

  • 23

    Sergi Cardona

Midfielders

  • 19

    Nicolas Pepe

  • 10

    Dani Parejo

  • 16

    Thomas Partey

  • 20

    Alberto Moleiro

Forwards

  • 21

    Tani Oluwaseyi

  • 22

    Ayoze Perez

Real Madrid

Real Madrid team overview

The atmosphere at Real Madrid is not the best this season, but they are still in contention for trophies in most competitions. In La Liga, the team from the Spanish capital is only one point behind league leader Barcelona. The last few weeks were turbulent with the sacking of Xabi Alonso, but the club found their best form in the last seven days with two victories. In the most recent outing, Real Madrid won 6-1 at home against Monaco. After the best performance of the season, Los Blancos will travel to Villarreal with a lot of confidence. 

The most important news from Real Madrid is that Vinicius Junior is close to signing a new contract. There was a lot of speculation about the Brazilian's future and possible transfer to Saudi Arabia, but it seems that one of the best players in the world will remain in the club. 

Aurelien Tchouameni is suspended and will not travel to Villarreal. Also, due to injuries, unavailable are Ferland Mendy, Eder Militao, and Trent Alexander-Arnold. 

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Real Madrid

    6 : 1

    Monaco

    Champions League

  2. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    Levante

    La Liga

  3. Albacete

    3 : 2

    Real Madrid

    Copa Del Rey

  4. FC Barcelona

    3 : 2

    Real Madrid

    Super Cup

  5. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    Super Cup

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Thibaut Courtois

Defenders

  • 8

    Federico Valverde

  • 17

    Raul Asencio

  • 24

    Dean Huijsen

  • 20

    Fran Garcia

Midfielders

  • 15

    Arda Guler

  • 6

    Eduardo Camavinga

  • 5

    Jude Bellingham

Forwards

  • 30

    Franco Mastantuono

  • 10

    Kylian Mbappe

  • 7

    Vinicius Junior

Prediction

Both teams are excellent in the attack. Villarreal scored seven goals in the last four matches, while Real Madrid scored 19 goals in the previous six games. Also, Los Blancos won 3-1 in the only meeting with Villarreal this season. We should have another high-scoring match on Saturday night. Our prediction: Over 3.5 goals. 

3 Reasons why we should expect at least four goals in this match

  1. Villarreal scored seven goals in the last four matches
  2. Real Madrid scored 19 goals in the previous six games
  3. Real Madrid won 3-1 in the last H2H match against Villarreal

Main prediction Villarreal - Real Madrid

Over 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

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Megapari

2.21

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Villarreal vs Real Madrid standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 20 16 1 3 54 - 22 +32 49
2 Real Madrid 20 15 3 2 43 - 17 +26 48
3 Atlético Madrid 20 12 5 3 35 - 17 +18 41
4 Villarreal 19 13 2 4 37 - 19 +18 41
5 Espanyol 20 10 4 6 23 - 22 +1 34
6 Real Betis 20 8 8 4 33 - 25 +8 32
7 Celta de Vigo 20 8 8 4 28 - 20 +8 32
8 Elche 20 5 9 6 27 - 26 +1 24
9 Real Sociedad 20 6 6 8 26 - 28 -2 24
10 Athletic Club 20 7 3 10 19 - 28 -9 24
11 Girona 20 6 6 8 20 - 34 -14 24
12 Osasuna 20 6 4 10 21 - 24 -3 22
13 Rayo Vallecano 20 5 7 8 16 - 25 -9 22
14 Sevilla 20 6 3 11 26 - 32 -6 21
15 Mallorca 20 5 6 9 24 - 30 -6 21
16 Getafe 20 6 3 11 15 - 26 -11 21
17 Valencia 20 4 8 8 19 - 31 -12 20
18 Deportivo Alavés 20 5 4 11 16 - 25 -9 19
19 Levante 19 3 5 11 21 - 32 -11 14
20 Real Oviedo 20 2 7 11 11 - 31 -20 13

Villarreal vs Real Madrid – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Villarreal this season?

The average xG for Villarreal in La Liga this season is 1.47.

? How much is the average xG for Real Madrid this season?

The average xG for Real Madrid in La Liga this season is 2.24.