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Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction 08.02.2026 | La Liga

Valencia

Valencia

Kick off:

Date:

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

6.00

X

4.50

2

1.48

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Sunday, 8th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)

After being knocked out of the Copa del Rey following a 2:1 defeat to Athletic Bilbao, Valencia returns to La Liga action with a tough home clash against 2nd-placed Real Madrid. The Bats are desperate for points to avoid slipping into the relegation zone, while Los Blancos are chasing Barcelona at the top, sitting just one point behind.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie. 

Valencia vs Real Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Real Madrid

    4 : 0

    Valencia

    La Liga

  2. Real Madrid

    1 : 2

    Valencia

    La Liga

  3. Valencia

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Valencia

    2 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Real Madrid

    5 : 1

    Valencia

    La Liga

  6. Valencia

    1 : 0

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

In the first h2h game this season, Real Madrid completely dominated the match, winning 4:0 while missing one penalty as well. Looking further back in the past ten h2h games, Real Madrid won six, while Valencia won twice. 

Regarding the number of goals, eight of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (eight). 

Valencia

Valencia team overview

Valenacia's results have consistently declined in recent seasons. However, they weren't really in danger of relegation, something that changed this season. The Bats are currently in 16th place with 23 points from 22 rounds - only one point away from the danger zone! Bookmakers are far from confident about their survival, offering odds between 4.00 and 4.35 for Valencia to be relegated and rating them as the third-most likely team to go down. Their biggest weakness has been their away form. At the moment, Valencia have the largest home-and-away split in La Liga, with a 1.00-point gap.

After a 2:1 loss against Athletic Bilbao and elimination from the Copa del Rey, coach Carlos Corberán spoke to the media. He said they are disappointed and hurt, describing the result as a blow because they wanted to reach the semifinals. The coach said they failed to take advantage of playing at Mestalla nd didn't convert their chances. 

Last matches of Valencia

  1. Valencia

    1 : 2

    Athletic Bilbao

    Copa Del Rey

  2. Real Betis

    2 : 1

    Valencia

    La Liga

  3. Valencia

    3 : 2

    Espanyol

    La Liga

  4. Getafe

    0 : 1

    Valencia

    La Liga

  5. Burgos

    0 : 2

    Valencia

    Copa Del Rey

Valencia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Stole Dimitrievski

Defenders

  • 20

    Dimitri Foulquier

  • 24

    Eray Cömert

  • 3

    José Copete

  • 21

    Jesús Vázquez

Midfielders

  • 11

    Luis Rioja

  • 18

    Pepelu

  • 23

    Filip Ugrinic

  • 7

    Arnaut Danjuma

Forwards

  • 6

    Umar Sadiq

  • 15

    Lucas Beltrán

Real Madrid

Real Madrid team overview

With the arrival of coach Xabi Alonso, most football fans expected a lot from Real Madrid this season. Unfortunately, Los Blancos weren't as consistent as expected, and the 44-year-old was sacked in mid-January, following their Super Cup loss to Barcelona. The appointment of Alvaro Arbeloa did little to stabilize the team, as Los Blancos were knocked out of the Copa del Rey by Albacete and slipped to ninth place in the Champions League league phase after losing their final match, forcing them into an additional knockout-round tie. On the other hand, Los Blancos won three La Liga games and are only one point behind 1st-placed Barcelona. 

After a 2:1 win against Rayo Vallecano, coach Álvaro Arbeloa spoke to the media. He said he isn't a magician who can suddenly fix everything and that they need consistency, hard work, and commitment rather than just quality on the pitch. The coach noted the quality alone isn't enough to win games. 

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  2. Benfica

    4 : 2

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

  3. Villarreal

    0 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Real Madrid

    6 : 1

    Monaco

    Champions League

  5. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    Levante

    La Liga

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Thibaut Courtois

Defenders

  • 8

    Federico Valverde

  • 17

    Raúl Asencio

  • 24

    Dean Huijsen

  • 6

    Eduardo Camavinga

Midfielders

  • 15

    Arda Güler

  • 14

    Aurélien Tchouaméni

  • 5

    Jude Bellingham

Forwards

  • 30

    Franco Mastantuono

  • 10

    Kylian Mbappé

  • 7

    Vinicius Junior

Prediction

Valencia went over 2.5 goals in the last three games across competitions. They have massive problems defensively, allowing two goals in each of their last games against Espanyol, Real Betis, and Athletic Bilbao. So, it is unreal to expect they can stop Real Madrid from scoring two or three goals. 

Since the arrival of coach Álvaro Arbeloa, Real Madrid went over 2.5 goals in four of six games across competitions, while the remaining two games finished with two goals each. Their offensive capabilities are unquestioned, and they proved that by scoring two (or more) goals in each of their six games. However, their defense hasn't been on point, especially on the road, allowing seven goals in the last three matches.

Also, the last five h2h games ended with three or more goals. Considering the trend in the previous h2h games and all the above, we believe that an over 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this La Liga tie.

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Valencia went over 2.5 goals in the past three games
  2. Real Madrid went over 2.5 goals in four of the past six games under new head coach
  3. The last five h2h games ended with three or more goals

Main prediction Valencia - Real Madrid

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.68

Bet here

Valencia vs Real Madrid standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 22 18 1 3 60 - 23 +37 55
2 Real Madrid 22 17 3 2 47 - 18 +29 54
3 Atlético Madrid 22 13 6 3 38 - 17 +21 45
4 Villarreal 21 13 3 5 39 - 23 +16 42
5 Real Betis 22 9 8 5 36 - 28 +8 35
6 Espanyol 22 10 4 8 26 - 27 -1 34
7 Celta de Vigo 23 8 9 6 30 - 25 +5 33
8 Osasuna 23 8 5 10 28 - 28 0 29
9 Real Sociedad 22 7 7 8 30 - 30 0 28
10 Deportivo Alavés 22 7 4 11 20 - 27 -7 25
11 Athletic Club 22 7 4 11 21 - 31 -10 25
12 Girona 22 6 7 9 21 - 36 -15 25
13 Elche 22 5 9 8 30 - 32 -2 24
14 Mallorca 22 6 6 10 28 - 34 -6 24
15 Sevilla 22 7 3 12 29 - 37 -8 24
16 Getafe 22 6 5 11 16 - 27 -11 23
17 Valencia 22 5 8 9 23 - 35 -12 23
18 Rayo Vallecano 22 5 7 10 18 - 30 -12 22
19 Levante 21 4 6 11 24 - 34 -10 18
20 Real Oviedo 22 3 7 12 12 - 34 -22 16

Valencia vs Real Madrid – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Valencia this season?

The average xG for Valencia in La Liga this season is 1.24.

? How much is the average xG for Real Madrid this season?

The average xG for Real Madrid in La Liga this season is 2.21.