Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction 06.12.2025 | Ligue 1
Toulouse
1 - 0
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Half time: 1 - 0
Full time: 1 - 0
Kick off:
Date:
Strasbourg
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Contents
- Competition: Ligue 1
- Date: 6th December, 2025
- Kickoff: 18:00 UK / 19:00 CET
- Venue: Stadium de Toulouse
Toulouse host Strasbourg at the Stadium de Toulouse on Saturday in a fixture that carries important mid-table implications: both sides sit in or around the top half and are chasing consistency as the season approaches its winter break. For Toulouse, this is a prime opportunity to finally break away from a six-game winless run, while Strasbourg will be seeking their first away league win since late September.
Toulouse vs Strasbourg Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
1 : 2
Strasbourg
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
0 : 0
Strasbourg
Ligue 1
-
Strasbourg
2 : 0
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
Strasbourg
1 : 2
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
2 : 2
Strasbourg
Ligue 1
Historically, this fixture has favoured Strasbourg. Across multiple meetings tracked since the mid-2000s, Strasbourg have won roughly half of the encounters, while Toulouse have managed only a handful of victories. More recently, the head-to-head trend has been heavily in Strasbourg’s favour: they have collected three wins from a possible four since early 2023 and have not lost against Toulouse for over two years.
Toulouse team overview
Toulouse’s 2025/26 campaign has been middling; they currently sit 9th in the league with a record of approximately 4 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. Despite their mid-table safety, their performances over the past five weeks have been disappointing. Christian Martinez’s men have failed to record a single victory since beating a ten-man Metz side on 19 October, though there are a few positives to take from this six-game winless run - Toulouse have only lost twice, drawing the remaining four matches. Their home record is slightly stronger than their away form (1.29 PPG compared with 1.14 away), but they have still failed to win any of their last three home league fixtures.
Last matches of Toulouse
-
Marseille
2 : 2
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
0 : 1
Angers
Ligue 1
-
Lorient
1 : 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
0 : 0
Le Havre
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
2 : 2
Rennes
Ligue 1
Toulouse lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Guillaume Restes
Defenders
-
3
Mark McKenzie
-
4
Charlie Cresswell
-
2
Rasmus Nicolaisen
-
19
Djibril Sidibé
-
24
Dayann Methalie
Midfielders
-
45
Alexis Vossah
-
23
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
-
15
Aron Dønnum
-
9
Frank Magri
Forwards
-
20
Emersonn
Strasbourg team overview
Strasbourg arrive in broadly inconsistent league form. Data for the 2025/26 season shows 7 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, with 25 goals scored and a significantly stronger home record than away (2.14 PPG at home compared with just 1.00 PPG on the road). Although they have not endured a prolonged winless stretch in recent weeks, they have struggled to build momentum, registering two wins and three defeats in their last five Ligue 1 matches. Their away form has been especially poor, with no victories in their last four trips and just one point collected from a possible 12. However, their positive head-to-head record against Toulouse should provide a morale boost ahead of Saturday’s match.
Last matches of Strasbourg
-
Strasbourg
1 : 2
Brest
Ligue 1
-
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Crystal Palace
Europa Conference League
-
RC Lens
1 : 0
Strasbourg
Ligue 1
-
Strasbourg
2 : 0
Lille
Ligue 1
-
Hacken
1 : 2
Strasbourg
Europa Conference League
Strasbourg lineup
Goalkeeper
-
39
Mike Penders
Defenders
-
22
Guéla Doué
-
2
Andrew Omobamidele
-
23
Mamadou Sarr
-
3
Ben Chilwell
-
27
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Midfielders
-
29
Samir El Mourabet
-
6
Ismael Doukouré
-
19
Julio Enciso
-
16
Kendry Páez
Forwards
-
9
Joaquin Panichelli
Prediction
Statistically, this is shaping up to be a low-variance encounter. Toulouse’s tendency to draw matches, combined with Strasbourg’s slightly better win rate, suggests a tight contest with few clear-cut chances. Under 2.5 goals appears a realistic expectation given recent head-to-head trends and both teams’ defensive metrics. With Toulouse winless in six consecutive league games and Strasbourg unbeaten in four straight meetings with the hosts, the visitors look well-positioned to take at least a point on Saturday.
Prediction: Strasbourg not to lose (double chance x2).
Three reasons we expect Double chance x2
- Toulouse are winless in six consecutive Ligue 1 matches (D4 L2).
- Strasbourg are undefeated in four successive head-to-head meetings with Toulouse, winning three of the last four.
- Although not in a brilliant form, Strasbourg have still managed to win two of their last five Ligue 1 fixtures.
Main prediction Toulouse - Strasbourg
Strasbourg win or draw (X2)
Toulouse vs Strasbourg standings in Ligue 1
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 - 14 | +21 | 36 |
| 2 | Lens | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 26 - 13 | +13 | 34 |
| 3 | Olympique Marseille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 35 - 15 | +20 | 29 |
| 4 | LOSC Lille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 - 17 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 | Rennes | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 27 - 24 | +3 | 27 |
| 6 | Olympique Lyonnais | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 - 16 | +5 | 24 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 - 19 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 | Monaco | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 - 26 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 - 20 | +5 | 22 |
| 10 | Angers SCO | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 - 18 | -1 | 22 |
| 11 | Brest | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 - 27 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Nice | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 - 27 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Lorient | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19 - 28 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 | Paris | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 - 29 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 - 21 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 - 21 | -10 | 12 |
| 17 | Nantes | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 - 28 | -14 | 11 |
| 18 | Metz | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17 - 37 | -20 | 11 |