Toulouse vs Monaco prediction 25.04.2026 | Ligue 1

Toulouse return to Ligue 1 action after a painful 4:1 defeat against Lens in the Coupe de France semi-finals earlier this week. Trailing 3:1 at the interval, Adrien Thomasson’s late goal put the seal on a comfortable victory for the in-form home side.

Carles Martínez’s side have endured a poor run of results in the past month, with each of their last four games ending in defeat. The home side now sit 11th in Ligue 1, 12 points clear of the drop zone.

A leaky Toulouse defence conceded 12 goals in those defeats. Those defensive vulnerabilities have led to several high-scoring outcomes. Five of their last six matches finished with at least three goals scored. An average of 2.76 goals per game have been scored in Toulouse’s 30 Ligue 1 matches this season.

Head coach Martinez has two confirmed absentees this weekend. Frank Magri (knee) and Rafik Messali (ankle) are both ruled out through injury.

Monaco make the trip to the Stadium de Toulouse after a frustrating 2:2 draw against Auxerre put a dent in their European qualification hopes. 

Sébastien Pocognoli’s side have picked up just one point from their last two games after an impressive run of five Ligue 1 victories between February and April. Despite those recent disappointments, Monaco remain within touching distance of the leading pack, sitting seventh in the table, just four points behind third-placed Lyon.

Usually a reliable choice for goal chasers, Les Rouge et Blancs have seen at least three goals scored in nine of their last 11 matches. An average of 3.72 goals per were scored in those fixtures. 

Head coach Pocognoli is unable to call on four first-team players this weekend. Caio Henrique (hamstring), Kassoum Ouattara (knee), Paris Brunner (hamstring) and Stanis Idumbo Muzambo (shoulder) are all ruled out through injury.