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Toulouse vs Lille prediction 12.04.2026 | Ligue 1

Toulouse

Toulouse

Kick off:

Date:

Lille

Lille

1

3.27

X

3.34

2

2.44

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Sunday, 12th April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 16:15 UK / 17:15 CEST
  • Venue: Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

On Sunday afternoon, Toulouse will welcome Lille in the 29th round of the French top-flight division. Toulouse are coming to the match after a 3:1 loss to PSG, while Lille are trying to win their third game in a row after beating two really great teams, Marseille and Lens.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.

Toulouse vs Lille Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lille

    2 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Toulouse

    1 : 2

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  3. Lille

    2 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  4. Toulouse

    3 : 1

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  5. Lille

    1 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  6. Toulouse

    0 : 2

    Lille

    Ligue 1

In the first H2H game this season, Lille won 2:1 at home, scoring twice in the final minutes. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Toulouse have won twice, while Lille have won six. 

Regarding the number of goals, seven of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (seven). 

Toulouse

Toulouse team overview

Toulouse have been a mid-table team in the previous three years, since their return to Ligue 1. This year, Les Violets are once again in their usual place, sitting in 10th place with 37 points from 28 rounds, and are without a real chance of reaching the European spots. However, Les Violets have a different route to secure Europe as they reached the Coupe de France Semi-Finals, where they will face Lens. While no one really sees them as the favorite to win the title, they already surprised everyone a couple of years ago by winning the Cup. But in Ligue 1, they have no real motive, as they cannot move significantly up or down. 

Santiago Hidalgo served his one-game suspension in the previous match vs PSG. However, he will most likely miss the Lille match, as he appears to have an ankle injury. Moreover, the players who missed the previous games due to injury should remain sidelined - Frank Magri, Rafik Messali, Abu Francis, and Charlie Cresswell.

Last matches of Toulouse

  1. PSG

    3 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Toulouse

    1 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  3. Metz

    3 : 4

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  4. Toulouse

    0 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    3 : 4

    Toulouse

    Coupe de France

Toulouse lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Guillaume Restes

Defenders

  • 2

    Rasmus Nicolaisen

  • 35

    Seny Koumbassa

  • 33

    Mark McKenzie

Midfielders

  • 19

    Djibril Sidibé

  • 23

    Cristian Cásseres Jr.

  • 18

    Pape Demba Diop

  • 24

    Dayann Methalie

Forwards

  • 15

    Aron Dønnum

  • 20

    Emersonn

  • 10

    Yann Gboho

Lille

Lille team overview

With the exclusion of the 2021/22 season, Lille have been among the top five teams in France, even winning the title in 2021. This year, the Mastiffs have done very well in Ligue 1, considering they are in 3rd place with 50 points from 28 rounds. However, the next four teams are separated by only three points, and they have to keep winning to secure third place and a Champions League spot. Yet, after their elimination from the EL, they had two impressive victories over Marseille and Lens and have every reason to be optimistic about their chances. 

Winger Matias Fernandez-Pardo suffered an injury in the previous game against Lens and had to leave the field ten minutes before the end of the match. The 21-year-old has been really good this season, and his potential absence will be a factor. 

Moreover, Ousmane Toure and Hamza Igamane should remain sidelined, while Chancel Mbemba should be ready after missing the previous match due to not returning on time from international duty. 

Last matches of Lille

  1. Lille

    3 : 0

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  2. Marseille

    1 : 2

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  3. Aston Villa

    2 : 0

    Lille

    Europa League

  4. Rennes

    1 : 2

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  5. Lille

    0 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Europa League

Lille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Berke Özer

Defenders

  • 12

    Thomas Meunier

  • 3

    Nathan Ngoy

  • 23

    Aïssa Mandi

  • 15

    Romain Perraud

Midfielders

  • 6

    Nabil Bentaleb

  • 10

    Hákon Arnar Haraldsson

  • 32

    Ayyoub Bouaddi

  • 17

    Ngal'ayel Mukau

Forwards

  • 27

    Félix Correia

  • 9

    Olivier Giroud

Prediction

Toulouse haven't been great offensively throughout the season. However, that has changed lately, as they scored in four of the past five matches. Les Violets have scored against good teams like Marseille (in the Cup) and PSG. So, it is fair to expect they should score at least once at home against Lille as well. 

Lille won back-to-back games against excellent teams (Lens and Marseille), while scoring five goals. Looking further back, the Mastiffs have scored at least once in seven out of the past nine games across competitions - 78%. 

Moreover, both teams scored in five consecutive H2H games. Considering the trend in the previous H2H games and all the above, we believe that both teams to score bet is the safest option for this Ligue 1 tie. 

3 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Toulouse have scored in the past three games
  2. Lille have scored at least once in seven out of the past nine matches
  3. The past five H2H games ended with both teams scoring

Main prediction Toulouse - Lille

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.90

Bet here

Toulouse vs Lille standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 27 20 3 4 61 - 23 +38 63
2 Lens 28 19 2 7 54 - 27 +27 59
3 Olympique Marseille 29 16 4 9 58 - 38 +20 52
4 LOSC Lille 28 15 5 8 45 - 34 +11 50
5 Monaco 29 15 4 10 50 - 43 +7 49
6 Olympique Lyonnais 28 14 6 8 41 - 29 +12 48
7 Rennes 28 13 8 7 47 - 40 +7 47
8 Strasbourg 28 12 7 9 46 - 34 +12 43
9 Lorient 28 9 11 8 38 - 42 -4 38
10 Toulouse 28 10 7 11 39 - 35 +4 37
11 Brest 28 10 6 12 37 - 43 -6 36
12 Paris 29 8 11 10 37 - 45 -8 35
13 Angers SCO 28 9 6 13 24 - 37 -13 33
14 Le Havre 28 6 10 12 23 - 36 -13 28
15 Nice 28 7 6 15 33 - 55 -22 27
16 Auxerre 28 5 8 15 23 - 37 -14 23
17 Nantes 27 4 6 17 24 - 45 -21 18
18 Metz 29 3 6 20 26 - 63 -37 15

Toulouse vs Lille – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Toulouse this season?

The average xG for Toulouse in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.43.

? How much is the average xG for Lille this season?

The average xG for Lille in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.60.