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Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig prediction 15.03.2026 | Bundesliga

Stuttgart

Stuttgart

Kick off:

Date:

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

2.53

X

4.01

2

2.69

  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: Sunday, 15th March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 18:30 UK / 19:30 CET
  • Venue: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

After losing to FC Porto in the first leg of the Europa League 1/8 Finals, Stuttgart turns its attention to the Bundesliga. They will welcome RB Leipzig in a duel between two teams trying to secure a top-four finish and Champions League appearance next season. The hosts have won only one point in the past two games across competitions, while the visitors secured back-to-back wins over Augsburg and Hamburg SV.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet tie for this Bundesliga tie.

Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. RB Leipzig

    3 : 1

    Stuttgart

    Bundesliga

  2. RB Leipzig

    2 : 3

    Stuttgart

    Bundesliga

  3. Stuttgart

    3 : 1

    RB Leipzig

    DFB Pokal

  4. Stuttgart

    2 : 1

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  5. Stuttgart

    5 : 2

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  6. RB Leipzig

    5 : 1

    Stuttgart

    Bundesliga

In the first H2H game, RB Leipzig won 3:1. Looking further back, in the past ten H2H games, Stuttgart won four times and RB Leipzig five times. 

When it comes to the number of goals, we've mostly seen high-scoring games lately. They went over 2.5 goals in eight of the past ten H2H games, and over 3.5 goals in the past three games. Meanwhile, both teams scored in the last eight meetings.

Stuttgart

Stuttgart team overview

Stuttgart have been pretty inconsistent in recent seasons. From a team playing in the relegation play-off, to a Bundesliga vice-champions, and then to a Cup winner last season. This year, the Reds have been much more consistent across competitions, currently sitting in 4th place with 47 points from 25 rounds, securing the DFB Pokal Semi-Finals, and reaching the Europa League 1/8 Finals. However, it is evident they are in a bit of a slump, having won just once in the past five games across competitions. That is undoubtedly their worst stretch of games this season, at least result-wise.

After a 2:1 loss to FC Porto, coach Sebastian Hoeneß spoke to the media. He said they briefly lost their composure and allowed Porto to score twice in a short period of time. The coach added he was disappointed with the result but said they competed well and that the two-legged tie is still not decided.

Last matches of Stuttgart

  1. Stuttgart

    1 : 2

    Porto

    Europa League

  2. FSV Mainz

    2 : 2

    Stuttgart

    Bundesliga

  3. Stuttgart

    4 : 0

    VfL Wolfsburg

    Bundesliga

  4. Stuttgart

    0 : 1

    Celtic

    Europa League

  5. Heidenheim

    3 : 3

    Stuttgart

    Bundesliga

Stuttgart lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 33

    Alexander Nübel

Defenders

  • 28

    Nikolas Nartey

  • 29

    Finn Jeltsch

  • 24

    Jeff Chabot

  • 7

    Maximilian Mittelstädt

Midfielders

  • 11

    Bilal El Khannouss

  • 16

    Atakan Karazor

  • 6

    Angelo Stiller

  • 18

    Jamie Leweling

Forwards

  • 9

    Ermedin Demirovic

  • 26

    Deniz Undav

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig team overview

Last year, RB Leipzig finished 7th and missed out on Europe for the first time since their arrival in the Bundesliga in the 2016/17 season. This year, with their focus only on the domestic competitions, the Red Bulls are doing much better. Yes, they had some ups and downs across the season, but they are on level with points with 4th-placed Stuttgart and are in a good position to secure a Champions League spot next season. Unlike their next opponent, RB Leipzig is in good form, having gone undefeated in the past four games and generally in good momentum.

After a 2:1 win over Augsburg in the previous game, coach Ole Werner spoke to the media. He was pleased with the result but admitted that they did not play at their best. However, the coach said that this type of "dirty" win can be crucial late in the season for the Champions League spots. 

Last matches of RB Leipzig

  1. RB Leipzig

    2 : 1

    Augsburg

    Bundesliga

  2. Hamburger SV

    1 : 2

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  3. RB Leipzig

    2 : 2

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  4. RB Leipzig

    2 : 2

    VfL Wolfsburg

    Bundesliga

  5. Bayern Munich

    2 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    DFB Pokal

RB Leipzig lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Maarten Vandevoordt

Defenders

  • 17

    Ridle Baku

  • 4

    Willi Orbán

  • 23

    Castello Lukeba

  • 22

    David Raum

Midfielders

  • 10

    Brajan Gruda

  • 13

    Nicolas Seiwald

  • 14

    Christoph Baumgartner

Forwards

  • 49

    Yan Diomande

  • 40

    Rômulo

  • 7

    Antonio Nusa

Prediction

Both teams have had some problems defensively lately. Stuttgart allowed two goals per game in back-to-back matches against FC Porto and Mainz and had only one clean sheet in the past eight games. Meanwhile, RB Leipzig allowed two or more goals in three of the past five games and haven't kept their net intact in eight games. 

On the other hand, these two teams were excellent offensively, averaging 1.92 and 2.0 goals per game in the Bundesliga, and are the second- and third-best in the xG department. Because of that combination of great offense and mediocre defense, these teams often play high-scoring games. 

Also, five of the past six games ended with four or more goals, each time with both teams scoring. Considering all the above, we believe that an over 3.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Bundesliga tie. 

3 Reasons why we should see four or more goals

  1. Stuttgart went over 3.5 goals in five of the past seven games
  2. RB Leipzig went over 2.5 goals in the past four games
  3. We saw four or more goals in five of the past six H2H games

Main prediction Stuttgart - RB Leipzig

Over 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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2.05

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Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig standings in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 25 21 3 1 92 - 24 +68 66
2 Borussia Dortmund 25 16 7 2 53 - 26 +27 55
3 TSG Hoffenheim 25 15 4 6 53 - 33 +20 49
4 VfB Stuttgart 25 14 5 6 50 - 34 +16 47
5 RB Leipzig 25 14 5 6 48 - 34 +14 47
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 25 13 5 7 48 - 32 +16 44
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 25 9 8 8 48 - 49 -1 35
8 SC Freiburg 25 9 7 9 37 - 42 -5 34
9 FC Augsburg 25 9 4 12 31 - 43 -12 31
10 Hamburger SV 25 7 8 10 28 - 36 -8 29
11 FC Union Berlin 25 7 7 11 30 - 42 -12 28
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 26 7 7 12 30 - 43 -13 28
13 Werder Bremen 25 6 7 12 29 - 45 -16 25
14 FC Köln 25 6 6 13 34 - 43 -9 24
15 FSV Mainz 05 25 5 9 11 29 - 41 -12 24
16 St. Pauli 26 6 6 14 23 - 42 -19 24
17 VfL Wolfsburg 25 5 5 15 34 - 55 -21 20
18 Heidenheim 25 3 5 17 24 - 57 -33 14

Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Stuttgart this season?

The average xG for Stuttgart in the Bundesliga this season is 1.78.

? How much is the average xG for RB Leipzig this season?

The average xG for RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga this season is 1.79.