St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV prediction 23.01.2026 | Bundesliga

St. Pauli successfully avoided relegation last season and hopes to do the same in the current campaign. However, they are at the bottom of the standings with only 12 points from 17 league rounds and have to do much better in the coming months. St. Pauli had December without defeat in four matches across the competitions, but they lost both matches since the short winter break. In the most recent outing, Alexander Blessin's team lost 3-2 on the road against Borussia Dortmund. Although the home side dominated throughout the game, the visitors were close to one point, but Emre Can's goal late in the second half's stoppage time sealed St. Pauli's fate. 

Friday's match against Hamburger SV could prove decisive, with all eyes firmly on the fixture. St. Pauli's midfielder Joel Chima Fujita described it as a six-point game and crucial for staying up. 

St. Pauli have some problems with missing players. Danel Sinani, David Nemeth, Jackson Irvine, and Andreas Hountondji are injured and will not play on Friday. Also, Connor Metcalfe is questionable. 

Hamburger SV returned this season to the Bundesliga, and the last thing they want is another relegation. Currently, they are four points above the drop zone, and avoiding defeat on Friday night could prove crucial in keeping distance from the teams below the line. Hamburger SV haven't played well lately, with only two points in the previous four matches. Last weekend, they played 0-0 at home against Borussia Monchengladbach. The hosts probably deserved more, as they ended with xG of 1.19, while the guests had only 0.48, but inefficiency once again cost Hamburger SV points. 

Hamburger SV will be without Albert Sambi Lokonga, Warmed Omari, and Yussuf Poulsen on Friday at Millerntor-Stadion, while Fabio Balde and Nicolas Capaldo are questionable, and their status will be clearer closer to the kickoff.