Sporting Charleroi vs KV Mechelen prediction 04.12.2025 | Belgian Cup
Kick off:
Date:
1
2.20
X
3.44
2
3.10
Contents
- Competition: Belgian Cup
- Date: 4th December 2025
- Kick-off: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CET
- Venue: Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Sporting Charleroi go head to head with Mechelen on Thursday night, as the two sides battle it out for a place in the Belgian Cup quarter finals. They are separated in league play by no more than five points, so there is a bit of tension built into this tie already. Charleroi are being priced as narrow favourites but given that Mechelen are such a strong away team, there’s less predictability about this match than the market would have you believe. Here is a deeper look at how both sides have fared, whom they are missing and some betting angles that might actually make sense.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Charleroi
0 : 2
KV Mechelen
Pro League
-
Charleroi
0 : 1
KV Mechelen
Pro League
-
KV Mechelen
5 : 2
Charleroi
Pro League
-
Charleroi
3 : 1
KV Mechelen
Pro League
-
KV Mechelen
1 : 0
Charleroi
Pro League
-
KV Mechelen
2 : 2
Charleroi
Pro League
They have played each other eight times since 2023, and Mechelen has kept the better of it with four wins to two draws. Charleroi did claim two of those games, both here, which offers them something to build on ahead of Thursday. The goals have tended to flow too, their encounters averaging three a game during that time.
Sporting Charleroi team overview
Charleroi have 19 points from 16 Belgian Pro League games and are ranked tenth with the threat of relegation not too far away. It is all a little too familiar to last season, but the past few weeks have seemed slightly brighter with just two defeats in six matches.
Les Zèbres accumulated three victories in that time and, more remarkably, four clean sheets, two of them at home.
That is the sort of stability they will want to take into this cup tie. Head coach Rik De Mil is again unable to call upon Massamba Sow due to a knock, while Kevin Van Den Kerkhof continues to recover from a muscle injury.
Last matches of
-
Charleroi
0 : 0
La Louvière
Pro League
-
Club Brugge
1 : 0
Charleroi
Pro League
-
Charleroi
2 : 0
Westerlo
Pro League
-
Standard Liege
3 : 1
Charleroi
Pro League
-
RFC Liège
0 : 1
Charleroi
Belgian Cup
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
30
Mohamed Koné
Defenders
-
27
Lewin Blum
-
32
Mehdi Boukamir
-
95
Cheick Keita
-
24
Mardochee Nzita
Midfielders
-
22
Yacine Titraoui
-
14
Patrick Pflücke
-
5
Etienne Camara
Forwards
-
17
Antoine Bernier
-
21
Aurelien Scheidler
-
10
Parfait Guiagon
KV Mechelen team overview
Mechelen come into this in fifth place after a run that has seen them lose only twice in seven matches across league and cup.
A cup win against Lierse was a highlight of that run, but the more telling victories were on the road against Dender and Genk – not least the latter.
Frederik Vanderbiest’s men have been great travellers recently, losing just once in their last five away and that has to give them confidence here.
The injury puzzle is still severe however, with the likes of Amine Ouahabi, Ortwin De Wolf and Ryan Teague as well as Redouane Halhal all out.
Defender Daan Dierckx is also out for the visitors after dislocating his shoulder in the Belgian Pro League clash with Standard last weekend.
Last matches of
-
KV Mechelen
0 : 1
Standard Liege
Pro League
-
Genk
0 : 1
KV Mechelen
Pro League
-
KV Mechelen
1 : 1
Union Saint-Gilloise
Pro League
-
Anderlecht
3 : 1
KV Mechelen
Pro League
-
KV Mechelen
2 : 1
Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring
Belgian Cup
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
13
Nacho Miras
Defenders
-
33
Tommy St. Jago
-
8
Mory Konaté
-
18
Ian Struyf
-
23
Moncef Zekri
Midfielders
-
7
Thérence Koudou
-
17
Mathis Servais
-
3
José Marsà
Forwards
-
20
Lion Lauberbach
-
9
Myron van Brederode
-
14
Benito Raman
Prediction
This feels like the cup tie that could play itself out to a cagey 0-0. Charleroi have recorded four clean sheets in their last six games, while Mechelen’s last four away matches saw them keep two clean sheets. Both sides are lacking key players, and recent meetings at this ground have tended to be tight, so a goalless draw seems entirely reasonable.
Three reasons we expect under 3.5 goals in this game
- Three of the last four meetings between Charleroi and Mechelen at this ground ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Only one of the last six games of KV Mechelen produced more than three goals.
- Five of the last six games of Sporting Charleroi ended with under 2.5 goals.
Main prediction -
Under 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Melbet
1.36
