Shelbourne vs Derry City prediction 20.06.2025 | Premier Division

• Competition: Premier Division
• Date: Friday, 20th June, 2025
• Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
• Venue: Tolka Park (Dublin)

Last year, Shelbourne managed to stop Shamrock Rovers' four-year domination and won the title, their 14th ever. However, they failed to build on that success and don't appear to be a team capable of competing with Shamrock Rovers, considering they are already 12 points behind them. Currently, they are in fifth place but remain close to the European spots. The desired third place is not far - only a point away. However, it is crucial to start winning more points at home, and this game against out-of-form Derry City is the perfect opportunity.

Derry City have been among the best teams in Ireland in recent several seasons, finishing in the top four spots in the last four years and seven of the previous nine seasons. This year, they are once again around their usual point-per-game average. Yes, they are sitting in sixth place, but with two games fewer than most of the teams ahead of them. The third-placed Drogheda and the European spots are only three points away. Still, their form is pretty worrisome, and a game against Shelbourne is a good opportunity to turn things around.

Shelbourne vs Derry City pick: Under 2.5 goals

Shelbourne are the best team in the league for this bet, with 13 of their 21 games finished with fewer than three goals - 62%. In recent matches, they have been relatively inefficient, scoring one or zero goals in five of their last six matches across all competitions.

Derry City are in terrible form, having won two points in the last four games while scoring three goals. One of the reasons for their poor recent performance is a pretty tough schedule. However, the match vs Shelbourne at Tolka Park shouldn't be any easier, and we do not trust them to offer a good offensive performance.

In the last h2h game, Derry City won 2:0. Additionally, we constantly saw low-scoring games between these teams in the past, with 10 of the previous 11 finishing under 2.5 goals - 91%. Considering the trend in the previous h2h games and all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Premier Division tie.