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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction 11.04.2026 | La Liga

Sevilla

Sevilla

Kick off:

Date:

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

3.10

X

3.15

2

2.34

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: 11th April 2026
  • Kick-off: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla host Atletico Madrid on Saturday night. It comes with a slightly uneasy feel. Sevilla sit just three points above danger. You can imagine how tense that makes things. Simeone’s side, meanwhile, are fourth and fairly comfortable. The gap is big, yet the pressure leans toward the hosts.

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 0

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  2. Sevilla

    1 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Atletico Madrid

    4 : 3

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  4. Sevilla

    1 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 0

    Sevilla

    Copa Del Rey

  6. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 0

    Sevilla

    La Liga

Recent meetings lean heavily one way. Atletico Madrid have won seven of the last ten encounters, including the previous three. Sevilla managed just one win in that run, with two draws. Goals tend to appear as well, around 2.9 per game, so it is rarely a cagey matchup.

Sevilla

Sevilla team overview

Sevilla’s situation feels oddly familiar. Maybe a bit too familiar, if you have watched them lately. After scraping through last season, you might have expected some stability. Instead, Luis García’s side are hovering just above the drop again, which is not encouraging.

Three straight defeats have not helped. No wins in five, and you can sense the tension building. The lack of goals stands out more each week. Two matches without scoring puts extra pressure on a team already struggling.

At home, that silence feels louder. Supporters tend to expect at least a reaction, something to hold onto. Defensively, it is not much better. One clean sheet in fifteen games tells its own story.

Nianzou is suspended after that red card. Moreover, injuries to Marcão and Azpilicueta leave the back line looking thin.

Last matches of Sevilla

  1. Real Oviedo

    1 : 0

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  2. Sevilla

    0 : 2

    Valencia

    La Liga

  3. FC Barcelona

    5 : 2

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  4. Sevilla

    1 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  5. Real Betis

    2 : 2

    Sevilla

    La Liga

Sevilla lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Odysseas Vlachodimos

Defenders

  • 36

    Oso

  • 4

    Kike Salas

  • 12

    Gabriel Suazo

  • 2

    José Ángel Carmona

Midfielders

  • 20

    Djibril Sow

  • 6

    Nemanja Gudelj

  • 19

    Batista Mendy

Forwards

  • 11

    Rubén Vargas

  • 9

    Akor Adams

  • 16

    Juanlu Sánchez

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid team overview

Simeone’s side come into this with a very different kind of energy. That win at Camp Nou in midweek, ending a long drought there, felt significant. Not just for the result, but for belief. However, it also raises a question. How much does that take out of them physically?

With an 11-point cushion over fifth place, Atletico have some room to rotate. Changes seem likely. Even without rotation, away form has not been particularly strong.

Just two wins from their last seven on the road is not what you usually associate with Los Colchoneros. Nicolás González is suspended, while Jan Oblak, Rodrigo Mendoza and Pablo Barrios are all sidelined. It is not a full-strength squad, which might just give Sevilla a small opening.

Last matches of Atletico Madrid

  1. FC Barcelona

    0 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  2. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    3 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Tottenham Hotspur

    3 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  5. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 0

    Getafe

    La Liga

Atletico Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Juan Musso

Defenders

  • 3

    Matteo Ruggeri

  • 17

    Dávid Hancko

  • 24

    Robin Le Normand

  • 4

    Rodri Mendoza

Midfielders

  • 8

    Marc Pubill

  • 10

    Álex Baena

  • 6

    Koke

Forwards

  • 22

    Ademola Lookman

  • 9

    Alexander Sørloth

  • 11

    Thiago Almada

Prediction

A 2-2 draw feels quite realistic here, even if it sounds a bit bold at first. Sevilla rarely keep clean sheets, just one in their last 15 says enough. Still, Atletico are not exactly solid away from home, with only two wins in seven. Add the midweek effort, and it starts to feel like a game where both sides trade goals.

Three reasons we expect over 2.5 goals

  1. Sevilla finished only one of their last 15 games without conceding.
  2. Atletico Madrid boast only two clean sheets from their last eight matches.
  3. All the last three meetings between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid finished with 3+ goals.

Main prediction Sevilla - Atletico Madrid

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

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2.20

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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 30 25 1 4 80 - 29 +51 76
2 Real Madrid 30 22 3 5 64 - 28 +36 69
3 Villarreal 30 18 4 8 54 - 35 +19 58
4 Atlético Madrid 30 17 6 7 50 - 30 +20 57
5 Real Betis 30 11 12 7 44 - 37 +7 45
6 Celta de Vigo 30 11 11 8 44 - 37 +7 44
7 Real Sociedad 30 11 8 11 46 - 45 +1 41
8 Getafe 30 12 5 13 27 - 31 -4 41
9 Osasuna 30 10 8 12 36 - 37 -1 38
10 Espanyol 30 10 8 12 36 - 44 -8 38
11 Athletic Club 30 11 5 14 32 - 43 -11 38
12 Girona 30 9 10 11 32 - 44 -12 37
13 Rayo Vallecano 30 8 11 11 29 - 35 -6 35
14 Valencia 30 9 8 13 34 - 45 -11 35
15 Deportivo Alavés 30 8 8 14 32 - 43 -11 32
16 Mallorca 30 8 7 15 36 - 48 -12 31
17 Sevilla 30 8 7 15 37 - 50 -13 31
18 Elche 30 6 11 13 38 - 47 -9 29
19 Levante 30 6 8 16 34 - 50 -16 26
20 Real Oviedo 30 5 9 16 21 - 48 -27 24

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Saturday’s game.

? How many corners do Sevilla usually win at home?

Around 4.93 per league match, which feels modest.

? What about bookings for Simeone’s side away?

About 2.03 yellow cards on average, so discipline can slip a bit.