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Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano prediction 12.03.2026 | Conference League

Samsunspor

Samsunspor

Kick off:

Date:

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

3.35

X

3.38

2

2.29

  • Competition: Conference League
  • Date: Thursday, 12th March 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Two teams in shaky form, Samsunspor and Rayo Vallecano, will meet on Thursday evening in the Conference League 1/8 final. The Spanish sides are favorites to win in the upcoming clash, but also in the whole matchup, but can Samsunspor stop them at least Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu? Let's find the best betting option for this tie. 

Samsunspor

Samsunspor team overview

Samsunspor are not at the level they were last season when they ended third in the Turkish Super Lig. The team from Samsun is eighth in the domestic competition in the current campaign, and it is unrealistic for them to compete in any European cups next season. Samsunspor won only three of the last eight matches. In the previous game, they lost 3-2 on the road against Fenerbahce. The visitors were close to victory, but the hosts scored two goals late in the second half and left Samsunspor empty-handed.

Although Samsunspor lost against Fenerbahce, the head coach Torsten Fink was very satisfied. After the game, he commented, "Honestly, we were good as a team. I am proud of the performance, I am proud of my team. Our team's plan worked very well from the first minute. Maybe our possession rate could have been better."

Samsunspor have some problems with missing players. They will be without Jaures Assoumou, Bedirhan Cetin, Afonso Sousa, and Ali Badra Diabbate.

Last matches of Samsunspor

  1. Fenerbahce

    3 : 2

    Samsunspor

    Super Lig

  2. Antalyaspor

    0 : 2

    Samsunspor

    Turkish Cup

  3. Samsunspor

    0 : 0

    Gaziantep

    Super Lig

  4. Samsunspor

    4 : 0

    Skendija 79

    Europa Conference League

  5. Fatih Karagumruk

    0 : 0

    Samsunspor

    Super Lig

Samsunspor lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Okan Kocuk

Defenders

  • 55

    Yunus Emre Cift

  • 37

    Lubomir Satka

  • 4

    Rick van Drongelen

  • 17

    Logi Tomasson

Midfielders

  • 5

    Celil Yuksel

  • 29

    Antoine Makoumbou

  • 10

    Olivier Ntcham

Forwards

  • 2

    Joe Mendes

  • 9

    Marius Mouandilmadji

  • 21

    Carlo Holse

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano team overview

Last season was probably the best for Rayo Vallecano in the 21st century. They finished eighth in La Liga and qualified for the European cups after more than 25 years. In the current campaign, Inigo Perez's team has not quite reached that same level, but they still look solid enough to finish comfortably in mid-table. Rayo Vallecano struggled for consistency lately, as they won only in two of the last nine matches. In the previous game, Perez's team played 1-1 on the road against Sevilla. The teams were fairly even, so splitting points was probably the fairest outcome.

Rayo Vallecano's problem lately has been games on the road. They have not won any of their last five away matches. While Inigo Perez's side is probably the stronger team on paper than Samsunspor, they cannot afford a poor performance in Turkey on Thursday evening.

Rayo Vallecano's head coach, Inigo Perez, was satisfied after a draw against Sevilla. He said, "The draw is fair. We lacked aggression in the first half. Then we gradually got into the game and found the net in a setting we like. In the end, it was clear that both teams wanted to take a point."

Pathe Ciss and Diego Mendez are injured and will not travel to Samsun. We should expect the head coach, Inigo Perez, to field a pretty similar starting lineup that avoided defeat in La Liga for the weekend.

Last matches of Rayo Vallecano

  1. Sevilla

    1 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  2. Rayo Vallecano

    3 : 0

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  3. Rayo Vallecano

    1 : 1

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  4. Real Betis

    1 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  5. Rayo Vallecano

    3 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

Rayo Vallecano lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Augusto Batalla

Defenders

  • 2

    Andrei Ratiu

  • 24

    Florian Lejeune

  • 32

    Nobel Mendy

  • 22

    Alfonso Espino

Midfielders

  • 15

    Gerard Gumbau

  • 7

    Isi Palazon

  • 23

    Oscar Valentin

Forwards

  • 14

    Carlos Martin

  • 19

    Jorge de Frutos

  • 21

    Fran Perez

Prediction

Samsunspor have been excellent at the back lately, conceding only three goals in their last six matches. On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano allowed three goals in the previous five games. With both teams doing excellently in defense, we will unlikely see more than two goals in the upcoming match. 

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Samsunspor conceded three goals in the last six matches
  2. There were two or fewer goals in four of the previous six Samsunspor games
  3. Rayo Vallecano allowed three goals in the last five matches
  4. There were two or fewer goals in three of the previous four Rayo Vallecano games

Main prediction Samsunspor - Rayo Vallecano

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.81

Bet here

Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano standings in Europa Conference League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 11 - 5 +6 16
2 Raków Częstochowa 6 4 2 0 9 - 2 +7 14
3 AEK Athens 6 4 1 1 14 - 7 +7 13
4 Sparta Praha 6 4 1 1 10 - 3 +7 13
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 13 - 7 +6 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 4 1 1 10 - 5 +5 13
7 FSV Mainz 05 6 4 1 1 7 - 3 +4 13
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 7 - 1 +6 12
9 Lausanne Sport 6 3 2 1 6 - 3 +3 11
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 11 - 6 +5 10
11 Lech Poznań 6 3 1 2 12 - 8 +4 10
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 10 - 6 +4 10
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 8 - 7 +1 10
14 AZ 6 3 1 2 7 - 7 0 10
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 8 - 5 +3 9
16 Rijeka 6 2 3 1 5 - 2 +3 9
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6 2 3 1 5 - 4 +1 9
18 Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 2 5 - 4 +1 8
19 Noah 6 2 2 2 6 - 7 -1 8
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 4 - 8 -4 8
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 6 - 5 +1 7
22 Skendija 79 6 2 1 3 4 - 5 -1 7
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 8 - 10 -2 7
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 7 - 9 -2 7
25 Universitatea Craiova 6 2 1 3 6 - 8 -2 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6 2 1 3 7 - 15 -8 7
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 9 - 9 0 6
28 Legia Warszawa 6 2 0 4 8 - 8 0 6
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 5 - 9 -4 6
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 6 - 11 -5 5
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 7 - 13 -6 4
32 Häcken 6 0 3 3 5 - 8 -3 3
33 Hamrun Spartans 6 1 0 5 4 - 11 -7 3
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 0 - 7 -7 2
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 3 - 14 -11 2
36 SK Rapid 6 0 1 5 3 - 14 -11 1

Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the beIN Sports channel.

? How much is the average xG for Samsunspor this season?

The average xG for Samsunspor in the Conference League this season is 1.53.

? How much is the average xG for Rayo Vallecano this season?

The average xG for Rayo Vallecano in the Conference League this season is 1.95.