Roma vs Como prediction 15.12.2025 | Serie A
Kick off:
Date:
1
2.23
X
3.30
2
3.80
Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: 15th December, 2025
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico
AS Roma host Como in Round 15 of the 2025/26 Serie A season. Roma arrive as the strongest defensive unit of the division but have also shown intermittent attacking output under Gian Piero Gasperini; they sit inside the top four with 27 points, while Como occupy sixth on 24 points - a tight mid-table cluster that makes this fixture highly relevant for both sides’ European ambitions.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
AS Roma
2 : 1
Como
Serie A
-
Como
2 : 0
AS Roma
Serie A
The recent head-to-head sample between the two clubs is small: since 2024 the sides have met only a handful of times, with Roma and Como have each taken wins from their encounters (Roma two wins and Como two wins).
Roma team overview
Roma have been defensively consistent in 2025/26. League metrics show they boast the lowest goals-conceded rate in Serie A to date (0.57 goals conceded per game), with multiple clean sheets underpinning their top-four position (six clean sheets in 14 matches). However, despite this impressive defensive record, Roma have suffered back-to-back Serie A defeats in the last two rounds, both by narrow 1-0 margins against Napoli and Cagliari. A similar pattern can be observed in their home form, where they have recorded three defeats from seven matches, all of which ended 0-1.
Offensively, Gian Piero Gasperini’s side have struggled for continuity. Roma have failed to score in consecutive league fixtures in recent matchdays, highlighting ongoing conversion issues. Expected-goals data points to a noticeable gap between chances created and goals scored, with the Giallorossi failing to find the net in five of their 14 Serie A fixtures so far this season.
Regarding injuries and suspensions, Zeki Çelik is suspended following his red card in the 1-0 defeat to Cagliari last weekend. In addition, Roma lack a standout attacking contributor at this stage of the campaign, with Evan Ferguson the only player to have scored more than once, registering two goals from 14 appearances.
Last matches of
-
Celtic
0 : 3
AS Roma
Europa League
-
Cagliari
1 : 0
AS Roma
Serie A
-
AS Roma
0 : 1
Napoli
Serie A
-
AS Roma
2 : 1
Midtjylland
Europa League
-
Cremonese
1 : 3
AS Roma
Serie A
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
99
Mile Svilar
Defenders
-
23
Gianluca Mancini
-
5
Evan Ndicka
-
22
Mario Hermoso
-
43
Wesley
-
12
Konstantinos Tsimikas
Midfielders
-
4
Bryan Cristante
-
17
Manu Koné
-
7
Lorenzo Pellegrini
-
18
Matías Soulé
Forwards
-
21
Paulo Dybala
Como team overview
Como have been one of Serie A’s surprise packages throughout the autumn, deploying a possession-heavy approach that has generated strong expected-goals figures and a low goals-conceded rate relative to matches played. However, last weekend they suffered their heaviest defeat of the season - a 4-0 loss away to Inter Milan. Remarkably, this was only Como’s second league defeat of the 2025/26 campaign, with only AC Milan having suffered fewer losses to date.
Inter’s victory also brought an end to Como’s impressive 11-match unbeaten run in Serie A, exposing some vulnerability when confronted with elite counter-pressing intensity and vertical attacking transitions.
In terms of availability, Máximo Perrone will miss the trip to Rome due to yellow-card accumulation. Nico Paz has been the driving force in Como’s attack this season and remains their leading scorer with five goals.
Last matches of
-
Inter Milan
4 : 0
Como
Serie A
-
Como
2 : 0
Sassuolo
Serie A
-
Torino
1 : 5
Como
Serie A
-
Como
0 : 0
Cagliari
Serie A
-
Napoli
0 : 0
Como
Serie A
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Jean Butez
Defenders
-
27
Stefan Posch
-
34
Diego Carlos
-
14
Jacobo Ramón
-
3
Álex Valle
Midfielders
-
33
Lucas Da Cunha
-
6
Maxence Caqueret
-
42
Jayden Addai
-
17
Jesús Rodriguez
-
10
Nico Paz
Forwards
-
11
Anastasios Douvikas
Prediction
Tactically, this fixture sets Roma’s structured pressing and defensive compactness against Como’s possession-based, xG-driven approach. Roma’s superior defensive metrics and home advantage make them favourites; however, Como’s efficient chance creation and strong form prior to the Inter defeat suggest an upset remains possible if Roma fail to suppress the visitors’ build-up play.
That said, Roma’s defensive resilience at the Stadio Olimpico has been a defining feature in the months leading up to this fixture. Over 2.5 goals have landed in just 14% of Roma’s league matches this season, and with both sides prioritising control, this encounter is likely to be a low-scoring affair on Monday.
Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals.
Three reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals
- Under 2.5 goals have landed in 12 of Roma’s last 14 Serie A matches.
- Under 2.5 goals have occurred in 4 of Como’s last 7 away matches in the Serie A.
- Under 2.5 goals have landed in 6 of Roma’s last 7 Serie A home matches.
Main prediction -
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
22bet
1.73
vs standings in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 34 - 14 | +20 | 33 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 24 - 13 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 - 13 | +9 | 31 |
| 4 | Roma | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 15 - 8 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 | Bologna | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 - 12 | +11 | 25 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 - 11 | +8 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 - 14 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 | Lazio | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 - 11 | +6 | 22 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 - 19 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 - 22 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 - 18 | 0 | 20 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 - 18 | +1 | 19 |
| 13 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 - 26 | -11 | 17 |
| 14 | Lecce | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 - 19 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 - 21 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 - 23 | -7 | 14 |
| 17 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 - 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Hellas Verona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 - 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 - 20 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 12 - 26 | -14 | 6 |