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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo prediction 07.02.2026 | La Liga

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1

1.83

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3.60

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5.23

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: 7th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 13:00 UK / 14:00 CET
  • Venue: Estadio de Vallecas

In Round 23 of the 2025/26 La Liga season, Rayo Vallecano host Real Oviedo in a fixture that pits two struggling sides against each other. Rayo, currently 18th in the table with a mixed return of results, are seeking to end a recent slide down the league table, while Real Oviedo sit bottom (20th) with significant challenges on both ends of the pitch.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Real Oviedo

    0 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  2. Rayo Vallecano

    4 : 1

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga 2

  3. Real Oviedo

    0 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga 2

  4. Rayo Vallecano

    1 : 1

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga 2

  5. Real Oviedo

    2 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga 2

  6. Rayo Vallecano

    2 : 2

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga 2

Home advantage at Vallecas has slightly skewed dynamics, with Rayo claiming more wins there, but several fixtures have ended in stalemates, including a 0-0 draw in their last league meeting in November 2025.

Rayo Vallecano team overview

Rayo’s 2025/26 campaign has been characterised by inconsistency. The south-east Madrid side have dropped into the bottom three of the La Liga standings for the first time this season following a prolonged run of poor results, having suffered three consecutive league defeats since 18 January. Victories have been a rarity for Rayo over the past couple of months, as they have failed to collect all three points in 11 of their last 12 league outings.

Rayo’s home form does offer some reassurance, however. The club have gone unbeaten in 17 of their last 20 home matches and have kept three clean sheets in their last seven league fixtures at the Estadio de Vallecas. This relative resilience on home soil will be crucial as they look to halt their slide further down the table.

Heading into this fixture, Rayo will be without a couple of key players. Pathé Ismaël Ciss and Josep Chavarría are both suspended and will therefore be unavailable for selection.

Last matches of

  1. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  2. Rayo Vallecano

    1 : 3

    Osasuna

    La Liga

  3. Celta Vigo

    3 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  4. Alaves

    2 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    Copa Del Rey

  5. Rayo Vallecano

    2 : 1

    Mallorca

    La Liga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Augusto Batalla

Defenders

  • 2

    Andrei Rațiu

  • 24

    Florian Lejeune

  • 32

    Nobel Mendy

  • 22

    Alfonso Espino

Midfielders

  • 4

    Pedro Díaz

  • 23

    Óscar Valentín

  • 7

    Isi Palazón

Forwards

  • 18

    Álvaro García

  • 12

    Ilias Akhomach

  • 19

    Jorge de Frutos

Real Oviedo team overview

Real Oviedo are enduring a difficult return to La Liga following a historic promotion and currently sit 20th in the standings. That said, Oviedo finally ended a 14-game winless league run last weekend by claiming a much-needed 1-0 home victory over Girona at the Carlos Tartiere.

Nonetheless, their struggles quickly resurface when analysing their away performances. In their last 15 league fixtures on the road, Oviedo have failed to win 12, and persistent attacking issues have seen them draw blanks in several of those matches.

Recent transfer activity saw Josip Brekalo depart late in the January window, potentially leaving a gap in attacking options, although loan reinforcements have since arrived. Meanwhile, Jorge de Frutos remains Rayo Vallecano’s most reliable attacking outlet, having contributed seven league goals so far this season.

Last matches of

  1. Real Oviedo

    1 : 0

    Girona

    La Liga

  2. FC Barcelona

    3 : 0

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  3. Osasuna

    3 : 2

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  4. Real Oviedo

    1 : 1

    Real Betis

    La Liga

  5. Alaves

    1 : 1

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Aarón Escandell

Defenders

  • 22

    Nacho Vidal

  • 4

    David Costas

  • 16

    David Carmo

  • 25

    Javi López

Midfielders

  • 11

    Santiago Colombatto

  • 6

    Kwasi Sibo

  • 5

    Alberto Reina

Forwards

  • 7

    Ilyas Chaira

  • 15

    Thiago Fernández

  • 9

    Federico Viñas

Prediction

A close, low-scoring victory for the home side is probable, reflecting defensive solidity and the visitors’ scoring struggles. However, as a safe bet, we predict the match to end with an under 2.5 goals total.

Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals.

Three reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals

  1. Real Oviedo have failed to score in four of their last six La Liga away trips.
  2. Eight of Rayo’s last ten league home matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
  3. The reverse fixture between Rayo and Oviedo earlier in the season ended 0-0.

Main prediction -

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

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vs standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 22 18 1 3 60 - 23 +37 55
2 Real Madrid 22 17 3 2 47 - 18 +29 54
3 Atlético Madrid 22 13 6 3 38 - 17 +21 45
4 Villarreal 21 13 3 5 39 - 23 +16 42
5 Real Betis 22 9 8 5 36 - 28 +8 35
6 Espanyol 22 10 4 8 26 - 27 -1 34
7 Celta de Vigo 22 8 9 5 29 - 23 +6 33
8 Real Sociedad 22 7 7 8 30 - 30 0 28
9 Osasuna 22 7 5 10 26 - 27 -1 26
10 Deportivo Alavés 22 7 4 11 20 - 27 -7 25
11 Athletic Club 22 7 4 11 21 - 31 -10 25
12 Girona 22 6 7 9 21 - 36 -15 25
13 Elche 22 5 9 8 30 - 32 -2 24
14 Mallorca 22 6 6 10 28 - 34 -6 24
15 Sevilla 22 7 3 12 29 - 37 -8 24
16 Getafe 22 6 5 11 16 - 27 -11 23
17 Valencia 22 5 8 9 23 - 35 -12 23
18 Rayo Vallecano 22 5 7 10 18 - 30 -12 22
19 Levante 21 4 6 11 24 - 34 -10 18
20 Real Oviedo 22 3 7 12 12 - 34 -22 16

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Rayo Vallecano take on Real Oviedo on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Rayo Vallecano have won in the La Liga 2025/26?

5.9

? What is the average number of corners Real Oviedo have won in the La Liga 2025/26?

4.0