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PSV vs Ajax prediction 21.09.2025 | Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

2 - 2

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 1 - 1

Full time: 2 - 2

Kick off:

Date:

Ajax

Ajax

match ended

The match has ended, you can view today's football predictions and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Eredivisie
  • Date: Sunday, 21st September 2025
  • Kickoff: 13:30 UK / 14:30 CEST
  • Venue: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)

On Sunday afternoon in Eindhoven, PSV will host Ajax in one of the biggest derbies in the Netherlands. Both teams should be in contention for the title this season. However, the recent Champions League ties were far from perfect for either of the teams. Can Ajax continue their good run against PSV? Let's break down the matchup and find the best betting option. 

PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. PSV Eindhoven

    0 : 2

    Ajax

    Eredivisie

  2. Ajax

    3 : 2

    PSV Eindhoven

    Eredivisie

  3. Ajax

    1 : 1

    PSV Eindhoven

    Eredivisie

  4. PSV Eindhoven

    5 : 2

    Ajax

    Eredivisie

  5. Ajax

    1 : 1

    PSV Eindhoven

    KNVB Beker

  6. PSV Eindhoven

    3 : 0

    Ajax

    Eredivisie

Historically, PSV are better than Ajax in the H2H matches. However, the team from Eindhoven won only one of the last five games against their big rival. Last season, Ajax won both matches, 2-0 in Eindhoven and 3-2 in Amsterdam. 

PSV Eindhoven

PSV team overview

Last season, PSV won its 26th Eredivisie title. The race was extremely close, but the team from Eindhoven ended with one point more than Ajax and lifted the trophy. PSV opened the season with the trophy in the Super Cup and three victories in the national league, but after that, Peter Bozs' team lost two of three games in all competitions. In the previous match, PSV lost 3-1 at home in the Champions League against Union SG. 

PSV's Myron Boadu came off the bench in the Champions League tie against Union SG, but he lasted only six minutes before suffering a hamstring injury. According to the reports, Boadu will not play for the next four to six months. Besides him, PSV will also be without Kiliann Sildillia, Alassane Plea, Mauro Junior, and Wessel Kuhn on Sunday afternoon against Ajax. 

Last matches of PSV Eindhoven

  1. PSV Eindhoven

    1 : 3

    Union Saint-Gilloise

    Champions League

  2. NEC Nijmegen

    3 : 5

    PSV Eindhoven

    Eredivisie

  3. PSV Eindhoven

    0 : 2

    Telstar

    Eredivisie

  4. PSV Eindhoven

    4 : 2

    FC Groningen

    Eredivisie

  5. Twente

    0 : 2

    PSV Eindhoven

    Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 32

    Matej Kovar

Defenders

  • 8

    Sergino Dest

  • 6

    Ryan Flamingo

  • 4

    Armando Obispo

  • 3

    Yarek Gasiorowski

Midfielders

  • 22

    Jerdy Schouten

  • 34

    Ismael Saibari

  • 23

    Joey Veerman

Forwards

  • 5

    Ivan Perisic

  • 9

    Ricardo Pepi

  • 7

    Ruben van Bommel

Ajax

Ajax team overview

Ajax are the most successful Dutch team with 36 league titles, but their last one came three years ago. The legendary club in the previous year was very close, but they lost the trophy in the final Eredivisie rounds. This year, they started the league with three wins and two draws before they lost 2-0 at the home stadium in the Champions League against Inter Milan. According to the stats, the teams ended with pretty similar xG, but the guests' much better efficiency was enough for victory. 

Ajax's Kenneth Taylor and Youri Regeer suffered injuries in the recent game against Inter Milan. However, the head coach, Johnny Heitinga, said that both players should be available for Sunday's derby in Eindhoven. Heitinga also said that Steven Berghuis, who missed the Champions League tie, has a chance to play, but his status will be clearer closer to the kickoff. If Berghuis can't play, he will join already unavailable Branco van den Boomen. 

Last matches of Ajax

  1. Ajax

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Champions League

  2. Ajax

    3 : 1

    PEC Zwolle

    Eredivisie

  3. FC Volendam

    1 : 1

    Ajax

    Eredivisie

  4. Ajax

    2 : 0

    Heracles Almelo

    Eredivisie

  5. Go Ahead Eagles

    2 : 2

    Ajax

    Eredivisie

Ajax lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Vitezslav Jaros

Defenders

  • 3

    Anton Gaaei

  • 4

    Ko Itakura

  • 15

    Youri Baas

  • 5

    Owen Wijndal

Midfielders

  • 8

    Kenneth Taylor

  • 6

    Youri Regeer

  • 18

    Davy Klaasen

Forwards

  • 17

    Oliver Edvardsen

  • 25

    Wout Weghorst

  • 11

    Mika Godts

Prediction

Both teams, PSV and Ajax, have had some bad games recently. However, the two sides had one other thing in common: they were in a very good attacking form. PSV scored 17 goals in five Eredivisie matches, while Ajax scored a solid ten goals. Although the only H2H game from the previous season that was played in Eindhoven was low-scoring, with both sides in good attacking form, we should expect at least four goals on Sunday afternoon. Our prediction: Over 3.5 goals. 

3 Reasons why we should expect four or more goals in this match

  1. PSV scored 17 goals in five Eredivisie rounds
  2. There were four or more goals in three of the previous four PSV games
  3. Ajax scored ten goals in five Eredivisie matches

Main prediction PSV Eindhoven - Ajax

Over 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

52% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax standings in Eredivisie

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 PSV 28 22 2 4 78 - 37 +41 68
2 Feyenoord 28 16 5 7 61 - 40 +21 53
3 NEC Nijmegen 28 14 8 6 69 - 47 +22 50
4 Ajax 28 12 12 4 53 - 35 +18 48
5 FC Twente 28 12 11 5 47 - 30 +17 47
6 AZ 28 12 6 10 47 - 45 +2 42
7 FC Utrecht 28 11 8 9 42 - 31 +11 41
8 SC Heerenveen 28 11 8 9 49 - 46 +3 41
9 Sparta Rotterdam 28 12 5 11 35 - 47 -12 41
10 FC Groningen 28 11 5 12 40 - 37 +3 38
11 Fortuna Sittard 28 10 5 13 43 - 52 -9 35
12 PEC Zwolle 28 8 9 11 38 - 53 -15 33
13 Go Ahead Eagles 28 7 11 10 45 - 45 0 32
14 Telstar 28 6 9 13 38 - 46 -8 27
15 FC Volendam 28 7 6 15 30 - 48 -18 27
16 Excelsior 28 7 6 15 29 - 47 -18 27
17 NAC Breda 28 5 8 15 29 - 50 -21 23
18 Heracles Almelo 28 5 4 19 33 - 70 -37 19

PSV vs Ajax – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for PSV this season?

The average xG for PSV in Eredivisie this season is 2.27.

? How much is the average xG for Ajax this season?

The average xG for Ajax in Eredivisie this season is 2.10.