PSV vs Ajax prediction 21.09.2025 | Eredivisie
Kick off:
Date:
1
1.72
X
4.10
2
4.61
Contents
- Competition: Eredivisie
- Date: Sunday, 21st September 2025
- Kickoff: 13:30 UK / 14:30 CEST
- Venue: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)
On Sunday afternoon in Eindhoven, PSV will host Ajax in one of the biggest derbies in the Netherlands. Both teams should be in contention for the title this season. However, the recent Champions League ties were far from perfect for either of the teams. Can Ajax continue their good run against PSV? Let's break down the matchup and find the best betting option.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
PSV Eindhoven
0 : 2
Ajax
Eredivisie
-
Ajax
3 : 2
PSV Eindhoven
Eredivisie
-
Ajax
1 : 1
PSV Eindhoven
Eredivisie
-
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 2
Ajax
Eredivisie
-
Ajax
1 : 1
PSV Eindhoven
KNVB Beker
-
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 0
Ajax
Eredivisie
Historically, PSV are better than Ajax in the H2H matches. However, the team from Eindhoven won only one of the last five games against their big rival. Last season, Ajax won both matches, 2-0 in Eindhoven and 3-2 in Amsterdam.
PSV team overview
Last season, PSV won its 26th Eredivisie title. The race was extremely close, but the team from Eindhoven ended with one point more than Ajax and lifted the trophy. PSV opened the season with the trophy in the Super Cup and three victories in the national league, but after that, Peter Bozs' team lost two of three games in all competitions. In the previous match, PSV lost 3-1 at home in the Champions League against Union SG.
PSV's Myron Boadu came off the bench in the Champions League tie against Union SG, but he lasted only six minutes before suffering a hamstring injury. According to the reports, Boadu will not play for the next four to six months. Besides him, PSV will also be without Kiliann Sildillia, Alassane Plea, Mauro Junior, and Wessel Kuhn on Sunday afternoon against Ajax.
Last matches of
-
PSV Eindhoven
1 : 3
Union Saint-Gilloise
Champions League
-
NEC Nijmegen
3 : 5
PSV Eindhoven
Eredivisie
-
PSV Eindhoven
0 : 2
Telstar
Eredivisie
-
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 2
FC Groningen
Eredivisie
-
Twente
0 : 2
PSV Eindhoven
Eredivisie
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
32
Matej Kovar
Defenders
-
8
Sergino Dest
-
6
Ryan Flamingo
-
4
Armando Obispo
-
3
Yarek Gasiorowski
Midfielders
-
22
Jerdy Schouten
-
34
Ismael Saibari
-
23
Joey Veerman
Forwards
-
5
Ivan Perisic
-
9
Ricardo Pepi
-
7
Ruben van Bommel
Ajax team overview
Ajax are the most successful Dutch team with 36 league titles, but their last one came three years ago. The legendary club in the previous year was very close, but they lost the trophy in the final Eredivisie rounds. This year, they started the league with three wins and two draws before they lost 2-0 at the home stadium in the Champions League against Inter Milan. According to the stats, the teams ended with pretty similar xG, but the guests' much better efficiency was enough for victory.
Ajax's Kenneth Taylor and Youri Regeer suffered injuries in the recent game against Inter Milan. However, the head coach, Johnny Heitinga, said that both players should be available for Sunday's derby in Eindhoven. Heitinga also said that Steven Berghuis, who missed the Champions League tie, has a chance to play, but his status will be clearer closer to the kickoff. If Berghuis can't play, he will join already unavailable Branco van den Boomen.
Last matches of
-
Ajax
0 : 2
Inter Milan
Champions League
-
Ajax
3 : 1
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie
-
FC Volendam
1 : 1
Ajax
Eredivisie
-
Ajax
2 : 0
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie
-
Go Ahead Eagles
2 : 2
Ajax
Eredivisie
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Vitezslav Jaros
Defenders
-
3
Anton Gaaei
-
4
Ko Itakura
-
15
Youri Baas
-
5
Owen Wijndal
Midfielders
-
8
Kenneth Taylor
-
6
Youri Regeer
-
18
Davy Klaasen
Forwards
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen
-
25
Wout Weghorst
-
11
Mika Godts
Prediction
Both teams, PSV and Ajax, have had some bad games recently. However, the two sides had one other thing in common: they were in a very good attacking form. PSV scored 17 goals in five Eredivisie matches, while Ajax scored a solid ten goals. Although the only H2H game from the previous season that was played in Eindhoven was low-scoring, with both sides in good attacking form, we should expect at least four goals on Sunday afternoon. Our prediction: Over 3.5 goals.
3 Reasons why we should expect four or more goals in this match
- PSV scored 17 goals in five Eredivisie rounds
- There were four or more goals in three of the previous four PSV games
- Ajax scored ten goals in five Eredivisie matches
Main prediction -
Over 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
22bet
2.12
vs standings in Eredivisie
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 - 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 2 | PSV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 - 8 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | FC Groningen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 - 9 | +3 | 12 |
| 4 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 - 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 5 | AZ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 - 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 - 9 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 - 9 | +8 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Utrecht | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 - 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 - 16 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Twente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 - 8 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 - 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 - 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 - 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 - 13 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 - 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 - 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | SC Heerenveen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 - 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 - 18 | -15 | 0 |