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PSG vs Strasbourg prediction 17.10.2025 | Ligue 1

PSG

PSG

Kick off:

Date:

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

1

1.36

X

5.71

2

9.60

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Friday, 17th October, 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Parc des Princes (Paris)

On Friday evening, last year's champs, PSG, will welcome Strasbourg to Parc des Princes in Paris. We anticipate an interesting duel considering a very good start from both teams in Ligue 1. PSG comes to this match after winning two of the last three games, while Strasbourg comes after back-to-back wins across the competitions. 

PSG vs Strasbourg Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. PSG

    4 : 2

    Strasbourg

    Ligue 1

  2. Strasbourg

    1 : 2

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  3. PSG

    3 : 0

    Strasbourg

    Ligue 1

  4. Strasbourg

    1 : 1

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  5. PSG

    2 : 1

    Strasbourg

    Ligue 1

  6. Strasbourg

    3 : 3

    PSG

    Ligue 1

Last season, both teams won their home games. Strasbourg won 2:1 and PSG won 4:2. Looking further back, over the previous ten h2h games, PSG won seven times and Strasbourg only once. In those matches, PSG covered the -1.5 AH spread on five out of those seven wins.

Regarding the number of goals, the last four h2h games ended with three or more goals. Moreover, nine of the last ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in eight out of the previous ten meetings. 

PSG

PSG team overview

PSG came to this season after a historic one where they secured a triple by winning both domestic competitions and the Champions League as well. Considering they kept most of their key players (except Donnarumma), it is fair to expect a similar season from them. For now, they are doing fine, as they sit in the top spot after seven rounds. They also managed to win both Champions League vs Atalanta and Barcelona. So, more than a fine start. However, some football pundits say the Parisians are not at last year's level. 

Somewhat weaker performances could be attributed to injuries of some key players. The ones who missed the previous games will most likely remain sidelined - Ousmane Dembele, Desire Doue, Marquinhos, Joao Neves, and Fabian Ruiz. Yes, they have a deep team, but those absences are undoubtedly a big factor. 

Last matches of PSG

  1. Lille

    1 : 1

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  2. FC Barcelona

    1 : 2

    PSG

    Champions League

  3. PSG

    2 : 0

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

  4. Marseille

    1 : 0

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  5. PSG

    4 : 0

    Atalanta

    Champions League

PSG lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 30

    Lucas Chevalier

Defenders

  • 33

    Warren Zaïre-Emery

  • 51

    Willian Pacho

  • 4

    Lucas Beraldo

  • 21

    Lucas Hernández

Midfielders

  • 19

    Kang-in Lee

  • 24

    Senny Mayulu

  • 17

    Vitinha

Forwards

  • 49

    Ibrahim Mbaye

  • 9

    Gonçalo Ramos

  • 29

    Bradley Barcola

Strasbourg

Strasbourg team overview

Strasbourg's results have constantly improved in recent years. From a team battling against relegation to one securing Europe last year. They finished seventh, but their season could have been much better as two losses in the final two rounds cost them the Champions League. This year, they proved the last season wasn't a fluke as they are playing a fantastic season. "The Blue and Whites" are sitting in 3rd place with 15 points, only one point away from PSG and the top spot! Besides, they also won both of their Conference League games. 

After a 5:0 win over Angers, coach Liam Rosenior spoke to the media. He was very happy with a win but emphasized they need to stay focused and grounded. Still, he did not want to praise the team too much and said the players need to remain humble in order to continue with such good results.

Last matches of Strasbourg

  1. Strasbourg

    5 : 0

    Angers

    Ligue 1

  2. Slovan Bratislava

    1 : 2

    Strasbourg

    Europa Conference League

  3. Strasbourg

    1 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  4. Paris FC

    2 : 3

    Strasbourg

    Ligue 1

  5. Strasbourg

    1 : 0

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

Strasbourg lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 39

    Mike Penders

Defenders

  • 22

    Guela Doue

  • 6

    Ismael Doukoure

  • 24

    Lucas Hogsberg

Midfielders

  • 42

    Abdoul Ouattara

  • 29

    Samir El Mourabet

  • 32

    Valentin Barco

  • 7

    Diego Moreira

  • 80

    Felix Lemarachal

Forwards

  • 20

    Martial Godo

  • 9

    Joaquin Panichelli

Prediction

PSG are a better team, no doubt about that. However, they are dealing with a lot of injuries to their key players and weren't really that great in covering the -1.5 AH spread this season. In nine games across the competitions, they did it "only" four times - 44%. And lately, their results have plummeted a bit as they have won two, drawn one, and lost one, which is pretty bad considering they had five wins in a row before those results.

Strasbourg are playing excellent football this season, and it seems they are only getting better, as a 5:0 win in the last game vs Angers was their best performance of the season. In 10 games this season, they have only lost twice, but both times by just one goal difference. 

Considering all the above, we expect a close match and the visitors to cover the +1.5 AH spread. 

3 Reasons why Strasbourg should cover the +1.5 AH spread

  1. PSG covered the -1.5 AH spread just once in the last four matches
  2. Strasbourg haven't lost a game by more than one goal difference this season
  3. Strasbourg won four out of the last five games

Main prediction PSG - Strasbourg

AH2 (+1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

57% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

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2

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PSG vs Strasbourg standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 7 5 1 1 13 - 5 +8 16
2 Olympique Marseille 7 5 0 2 15 - 5 +10 15
3 Strasbourg 7 5 0 2 14 - 7 +7 15
4 Olympique Lyonnais 7 5 0 2 9 - 5 +4 15
5 Monaco 7 4 1 2 16 - 12 +4 13
6 Lens 7 4 1 2 10 - 6 +4 13
7 LOSC Lille 7 3 2 2 14 - 10 +4 11
8 Paris 7 3 1 3 12 - 13 -1 10
9 Toulouse 7 3 1 3 11 - 12 -1 10
10 Rennes 7 2 4 1 9 - 10 -1 10
11 Brest 7 2 2 3 11 - 11 0 8
12 Nice 7 2 2 3 9 - 12 -3 8
13 Lorient 7 2 1 4 9 - 16 -7 7
14 Auxerre 7 2 0 5 5 - 10 -5 6
15 Le Havre 7 1 3 3 8 - 10 -2 6
16 Nantes 7 1 3 3 5 - 7 -2 6
17 Angers SCO 7 1 2 4 3 - 11 -8 5
18 Metz 7 0 2 5 5 - 16 -11 2

PSG vs Strasbourg – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for PSG this season?

The average xG for PSG in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.90.

? How much is the average xG for Strasbourg this season?

The average xG for Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.43.