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PSG vs Marseille prediction 08.02.2026 | Ligue 1

PSG

PSG

Kick off:

Date:

Marseille

Marseille

1

1.48

X

5.13

2

6.81

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Sunday, 8th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Parc des Princes (Paris)

On Sunday evening, two of France's giants, PSG and Marseille, will go head-to-head in a blockbuster Ligue 1 showdown. PSG are coming to the match having won 2:1 on the road against Strasbourg, while Marseille beat Rennes 3:0 and secured their place in the Coupe de France Quarter Finals. The hosts will be aiming to secure all three points to remain on top of the table, while Marseille are desperate for a victory that would cut the gap between the two sides to just six points.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.

PSG vs Marseille Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. PSG

    4 : 1

    Marseille

    Super Cup

  2. Marseille

    1 : 0

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  3. PSG

    3 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  4. Marseille

    0 : 3

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    0 : 2

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  6. PSG

    4 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

In the first h2h game in the league, Marseille won 1:0. That PSG loss was one of the only two Ligue 1 losses this season. These two teams met in the Super Cup in January, with the game ending 2:2 in regular time. PSG eventually secured the title after a penalty shootout. Looking at the previous ten h2h games, PSG have won seven times, while Marseille won just twice.

Regarding the number of goals, we saw three or more goals in seven of the past ten h2h games, while both teams scored in four of those ten matches.

PSG

PSG team overview

PSG had a magnificent last season, dominantly winning the triple. This season, the Parisians aren't as dominant as expected and won't be able to replicate last season's success, as they have already been eliminated from the domestic Cup. Meanwhile, in the Ligue 1, despite being at the top, Lens are just two points behind them. In the last season(s), no one was even remotely as close to PSG in Ligue 1. Generally speaking, the Parisians aren't bad, but they have shown big flaws recently, having "only" won three of the past seven games (in regular time). That is way below their expectations.

The team's captain, Achraf Hakimi, received a red card and will be suspended for the Marseille game. That is a big blow for the team, especially considering that Fabian Ruiz and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will most likely also miss the match due to injuries sustained recently. 

Last matches of PSG

  1. Strasbourg

    1 : 2

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  2. PSG

    1 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Champions League

  3. Auxerre

    0 : 1

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  4. Sporting CP

    2 : 1

    PSG

    Champions League

  5. PSG

    3 : 0

    Lille

    Ligue 1

PSG lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 30

    Lucas Chevalier

Defenders

  • 21

    Lucas Hernández

  • 5

    Marquinhos

  • 51

    Willian Pacho

  • 25

    Nuno Mendes

Midfielders

  • 33

    Warren Zaïre-Emery

  • 17

    Vitinha

  • 87

    João Neves

Forwards

  • 10

    Ousmane Dembélé

  • 49

    Ibrahim Mbaye

  • 29

    Bradley Barcola

Marseille

Marseille team overview

Marseille have been mostly the second or third best team in France in recent seasons. This season, "Les Phocéens" are again around their usual Ligue 1 place, considering they are currently sitting in 3rd place - nine points behind PSG and seven behind Lens. However, their Champions League campaign has been a disaster, exiting the competition in the league phase due to a worse goal difference than Benfica. That CL failure eventually led to coach De Zebi offering resignation. In one of the interviews, the coach questioned whether he is the ideal coach for Marseille. However, the board declined that resignation, at least for now.

After a 3:0 win over Rennes, coach Roberto De Zerbi spoke to the media. He expressed satisfaction with the victory and his team's reaction. The coach said it was a huge win to regain confidence after a difficult period, especially in the Champions League. 

Last matches of Marseille

  1. Marseille

    3 : 0

    Rennes

    Coupe de France

  2. Paris FC

    2 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Club Brugge

    3 : 0

    Marseille

    Champions League

  4. Marseille

    3 : 1

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    0 : 3

    Liverpool

    Champions League

Marseille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gerónimo Rulli

Defenders

  • 22

    Timothy Weah

  • 5

    Leonardo Balerdi

  • 21

    Nayef Aguerd

  • 33

    Emerson

Midfielders

  • 27

    Quinten Timber

  • 11

    Ethan Nwaneri

  • 23

    Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

Forwards

  • 10

    Mason Greenwood

  • 97

    Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

  • 9

    Amine Gouiri

Prediction

PSG had some ups and downs over the previous games, but they rarely failed to score. In fact, they managed to score in 10 of the past 11 games - 91%. At home, the Parisians have scored two or more goals in 11 of 15 games - 73%. So, it is fair to expect at least one goal in this game against Marseille, which had massive problems on the defensive end and recorded just one clean sheet in the past six games.

Marseille, incredibly, are the best offensive team in Ligue 1 with 46 goals scored in 20 rounds - 2.3 per game. They have also proved they are more than capable of scoring against PSG - scoring two in the Super Cup and one in Ligue 1. To be fair, they had some problems in recent games, but that was mostly in the Champions League. Another good thing about this bet is that PSG have also struggled to keep a clean sheet lately, recording only two in the past eight across competitions.

Considering all the above, both teams to score seems like the best option for this Ligue 1 derby. 

4 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Both teams scored in three of PSG's last four games
  2. PSG scored in 10 of the last 11 games
  3. Marseille scored five goals in the past two matches
  4. The previous h2h game ended with both teams scoring

Main prediction PSG - Marseille

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.61

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PSG vs Marseille standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 20 15 3 2 43 - 16 +27 48
2 Lens 20 15 1 4 34 - 16 +18 46
3 Olympique Marseille 20 12 3 5 46 - 22 +24 39
4 Olympique Lyonnais 20 12 3 5 33 - 20 +13 39
5 LOSC Lille 21 10 3 8 34 - 30 +4 33
6 Rennes 20 8 7 5 30 - 31 -1 31
7 Strasbourg 20 9 3 8 33 - 25 +8 30
8 Toulouse 20 8 6 6 31 - 23 +8 30
9 Lorient 20 7 7 6 27 - 31 -4 28
10 Monaco 20 8 3 9 32 - 33 -1 27
11 Angers SCO 20 7 5 8 21 - 25 -4 26
12 Brest 20 6 5 9 26 - 33 -7 23
13 Nice 20 6 4 10 27 - 38 -11 22
14 Paris 20 5 6 9 26 - 34 -8 21
15 Le Havre 20 4 8 8 16 - 25 -9 20
16 Nantes 20 3 5 12 19 - 36 -17 14
17 Auxerre 20 3 4 13 14 - 29 -15 13
18 Metz 21 3 4 14 21 - 46 -25 13

PSG vs Marseille – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for PSG this season?

The average xG for PSG in the Ligue 1 this season is 2.06.

? How much is the average xG for Marseille this season?

The average xG for Marseille in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.68.