Parma vs Fiorentina prediction 27.12.2025 | Serie A
Parma
Kick off:
Date:
Fiorentina
1
3.53
X
3.22
2
2.38
Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: Saturday, 27th December, 2025
- Kickoff: 11:30 UK / 12:30 CET
- Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
On Saturday, around noon, two relegation candidates, Parma and Fiorentina, will face off against each other in the Italian top-flight division. Parma comes into this match after a 1:0 defeat to Lazio, a game in which they had a two-man advantage. Meanwhile, Fiorentina finally claimed their first league victory of the season with a 5:1 win over Udinese.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet in this Serie A tie.
Parma vs Fiorentina Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Fiorentina
0 : 0
Parma
Serie A
-
Parma
1 : 1
Fiorentina
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
4 : 1
Parma
Coppa Italia
-
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Parma
Club Friendlies 3
-
Fiorentina
3 : 3
Parma
Serie A
-
Parma
0 : 0
Fiorentina
Serie A
In the previous season, both h2h games ended as draws. 0:0 in Florence, and 1:1 in Parma. Looking further back, we constantly saw close games, with draws in seven consecutive games. To be fair, Fiorentina won one of those seven, but after penalties in the Coppa Italia.
When it comes to the number of goals, we saw fewer than three goals in seven out of the last ten h2h games. Meanwhile, both teams scored in six out of the past ten meetings.
Parma team overview
Parma secured promotion to Serie A in the 2023/24 season and barely avoided relegation the following season. This year, the Yellow and Blues found themselves around the last season's placement. They are currently in 16th place with 14 points - just two points away from the danger zone.
Their latest 1:0 loss to Lazio, despite having two more players, was very demoralising, and it will be interesting to see how they respond. After a loss, coach Carlos Cuesta spoke to the media. He was very disappointed, saying they failed to take advantage of their numerical superiority. He stressed they must do better and keep working hard.
In the previous game vs Lazio, Gaetano Oristanio suffered an injury and had to leave the field after 70 minutes. Besides Oristanio, the players who missed the previous game should remain sidelined - Alessandro Circati, Matija Frigan, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, and Zion Suzuki.
Last matches of Parma
-
Parma
0 : 1
Lazio
Serie A
-
Pisa
0 : 1
Parma
Serie A
-
Bologna
2 : 1
Parma
Coppa Italia
-
Parma
0 : 2
Udinese
Serie A
-
Hellas Verona
1 : 2
Parma
Serie A
Parma lineup
Goalkeeper
-
40
Edoardo Corvi
Defenders
-
27
Sascha Britschgi
-
15
Enrico Delprato
-
5
Lautaro Valenti
-
14
Emanuele Valeri
Midfielders
-
10
Adrián Bernabé
-
8
Nahuel Estévez
-
16
Mandela Keita
-
17
Jacob Ondrejka
Forwards
-
9
Mateo Pellegrino
-
7
Adrian Benedyczak
Fiorentina team overview
Fiorentina, a team that has consistently been among the top eight in recent Serie A seasons and made deep runs in the Conference League, str having an absolutely terrible season. Viola are the last-placed team in the Serie A with nine points in 16 rounds - five points away from the safe zone. While there is still a lot of football to be played, Viola secured their only win in the previous round against Udinese after Udinese received a red card in the 8th minute. If it weren't for that, maybe Fiorentina would still be the only winless team in Serie A.
Central defender Luca Ranieri received his fifth yellow card in the previous game and will serve his one-game suspension. Additionally, Rolando Mandragora suffered an injury in the previous game and will most likely miss the upcoming match. Moreover, Jacopo Fazzini, Robin Gosens, Tariq Lamptey, and Pablo Mari will remain sidelined with their injuries.
Last matches of Fiorentina
-
Fiorentina
5 : 1
Udinese
Serie A
-
Lausanne Sport
1 : 0
Fiorentina
Europa Conference League
-
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Hellas Verona
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
2 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
Europa Conference League
-
Sassuolo
3 : 1
Fiorentina
Serie A
Fiorentina lineup
Goalkeeper
-
43
David de Gea
Defenders
-
2
Dodô
-
5
Marin Pongracic
-
15
Pietro Comuzzo
-
29
Niccolò Fortini
Midfielders
-
65
Fabiano Parisi
-
14
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
-
44
Nicolò Fagioli
-
27
Cher Ndour
Forwards
-
10
Albert Gudmundsson
-
20
Moise Kean
Prediction
Parma are in bad form, having lost three out of the past four matches. They struggled offensively, scoring two goals during that four-game stretch. But that poor offensive performance isn't something new, as they have the worst offensive record in Serie A with 10 scored goals in 15 games - 0.67 per game. Due to a bad offense, Parma went under 2.5 goals in ten out of 15 Serie A games.
Fiorentina finally offered a good offensive performance in their last game after a very long time. However, that was primarily because they had a player more for almost the entire game. Also, on the road, they have been really bad offensively in Serie A, scoring one or zero goals in seven out of eight games - 87.5%.
Also, both h2h games last season ended with fewer than three goals. Considering the previous h2h games, and all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Serie A tie.
4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- Parma went under 2.5 goals in ten out of 15 Serie A games
- Parma are the worst offensive team in the league, with ten goals in 15 rounds
- Fiorentina scored one or zero goals in seven out of eight road Serie A game
- The last two h2h games ended with fewer than three goals
Main prediction Parma - Fiorentina
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
22bet
1.72
Parma vs Fiorentina standings in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 34 - 14 | +20 | 33 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 24 - 13 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 - 13 | +9 | 31 |
| 4 | Roma | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 17 - 10 | +7 | 30 |
| 5 | Juventus | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21 - 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 6 | Bologna | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 - 13 | +10 | 25 |
| 7 | Como | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 - 12 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 | Lazio | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 - 11 | +6 | 23 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 - 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 - 20 | +1 | 21 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 - 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 12 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 - 27 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 - 26 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Lecce | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 - 19 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 - 23 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 - 24 | -8 | 14 |
| 17 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 - 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Hellas Verona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 - 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12 - 22 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 - 27 | -10 | 9 |