Paris FC vs Lorient prediction 03.10.2025 | Ligue 1
Kick off:
Date:
1
1.92
X
3.93
2
4.14
Contents
- Competition: Ligue 1
- Date: 3rd October, 2025
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
- Venue: Stade Sebastien Charlety
On 3 October, Paris FC host Lorient at the Stade Sebastien Charlety in an intriguing Ligue 1 fixture. Both sides have had mixed starts to the season and are currently positioned in the lower half of the league standings. Neither team has posted dominant runs, which makes this match something of a potential turning point. Paris FC will aim to exploit home advantage, while Lorient will seek to stabilise on the road, as they are yet to win away from home this season.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Paris FC
3 : 2
Lorient
Ligue 2
-
Lorient
2 : 0
Paris FC
Ligue 2
-
Lorient
2 : 1
Paris FC
Coupe de France
-
Lorient
3 : 0
Paris FC
Ligue 2
-
Paris FC
2 : 2
Lorient
Ligue 2
-
Lorient
2 : 1
Paris FC
Ligue 2
Historically, Lorient have held the upper hand in this matchup. In eight meetings to date, Paris FC have won just once, while Lorient have claimed five victories and two matches ended in draws.
Paris FC team overview
Ligue 1 debutants Paris FC have made an entertaining, if not entirely efficient, start to the 2025/26 campaign. After opening with back-to-back away defeats against Angers and Marseille, they responded with two high-scoring victories over Metz (3-2) and Brest (2-1). That brief winning streak was quickly halted, as Stéphane Gili’s men slipped to a 3-2 loss against Strasbourg and followed it up with a 1-1 draw against Nice last weekend. Statistically, their home matches tend to produce goals: they have scored five of their 10 league goals at home while conceding five of 13, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per home game.
In terms of absences, Paris FC will be without Sofiane Alakouch and Pierre-Yves Hamel due to injury.
Last matches of
-
OGC Nice
1 : 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1
-
Paris FC
2 : 3
Strasbourg
Ligue 1
-
Brest
1 : 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1
-
Paris FC
3 : 2
Metz
Ligue 1
-
Marseille
5 : 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Obed Nkambadio
Defenders
-
14
Hamari Traoré
-
6
Otávio
-
5
Moustapha Mbow
-
28
Thibault De Smet
Midfielders
-
21
Maxime López
-
33
Pierre Lees Melou
-
17
Adama Camara
Forwards
-
10
Ilan Kebbal
-
27
Moses Simon
-
9
Willem Geubbels
Lorient team overview
Lorient are currently level on points with Paris FC after six Ligue 1 fixtures, but their best performances have largely come at home. Olivier Pantaloni’s side have lost three of their opening four away games, with their only victory coming against Rennes on matchday two - a match heavily influenced by Rennes having two players sent off. Since then, Lorient have endured heavy defeats, falling 7-1 to Lille and 4-0 to Marseille, results that exposed their defensive vulnerabilities on the road, where they concede an average of 2.3 goals per game. Away from home, they remain winless after three attempts and have scored just once, in a 1-1 draw with Le Havre.
In terms of injuries, Lorient will be missing Bandiougou Fadiga, Nathaniel Adjei, and Panos Katseris in this game.
Last matches of
-
Lorient
3 : 1
Monaco
Ligue 1
-
Le Havre
1 : 1
Lorient
Ligue 1
-
Marseille
4 : 0
Lorient
Ligue 1
-
Lorient
1 : 7
Lille
Ligue 1
-
Lorient
4 : 0
Rennes
Ligue 1
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
38
Yvon Mvogo
Defenders
-
5
Bamo Meïté
-
25
Abdoulaye Faye
-
3
Montassar Talbi
-
43
Arsène Kouassi
-
11
Théo Le Bris
Midfielders
-
62
Arthur Avom Ebong
-
6
Laurent Abergel
-
15
Aiyegun Tosin
-
10
Pablo Pagis
Forwards
-
9
Mohamed Bamba
Prediction
This match has the potential to be an open, high-scoring contest. The head-to-head trends and Paris FC’s home scoring suggest goals are likely. However, Lorient’s poor away record (both in scoring and defending) gives the home side an edge.
Considering all factors, a BTTS prediction looks like a realistic outcome. Should Lorient manage to tighten their defence and score on transitions, they could make it very tight. But with Paris FC’s home output and Lorient’s vulnerabilities away, the home side are marginal favorites in what could end up as an exciting Friday night thriller.
Three reasons we expect BTTS
- For Paris FC, both teams have scored in five consecutive Ligue 1 fixtures.
- Although Lorient have managed just one goal on the road this season, Paris FC’s leaky defence - 14 goals conceded in six matches, the second-worst record in the league - leaves them vulnerable.
- Both teams to score has also occurred in two of their last three head-to-head encounters.
Main prediction -
Both Teams to Score
Best Odds:
22bet
1.7
vs standings in Ligue 1
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 - 4 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 - 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Olympique Marseille | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 - 5 | +7 | 12 |
| 4 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 - 10 | +4 | 12 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 - 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | LOSC Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 - 9 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Lens | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 - 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 - 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 - 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 - 11 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Paris | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 - 13 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 - 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 - 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 - 8 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 - 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Nantes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 - 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Angers SCO | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 - 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 - 13 | -8 | 2 |