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PAOK vs Celta Vigo Prediction 19.02.2026 | UEFA Europa League

PAOK

PAOK

Kick off:

Date:

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1

2.56

X

3.45

2

2.99

  • Competition: UEFA Europa League - intermediate stage 1st leg
  • Date: Thursday, 19th, February 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

A pulsating atmosphere awaits at the Stadio Toumbas on Thursday evening as Greek champions PAOK Thessaloniki host Spanish outfit Celta Vigo in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League knockout stage play-off.

PAOK vs Celta Vigo Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Celta Vigo

    3 : 1

    PAOK

    Europa League

The two clubs are set to renew their rivalry just a few months after meeting in the league stage, where Celta Vigo cruised to a routine 3-1 victory over PAOK on Spanish soil.

PAOK

PAOK team overview

PAOK FC approach this high-profile European showdown in outstanding domestic form, buoyed by a commanding 2-0 victory over Panathinaikos that strengthened their pursuit of the Super League crown. Currently sitting third, just three points behind leaders AEK with a game in hand, the Thessaloniki side remain firmly in the title conversation.

Under the guidance of Romanian tactician Razvan Lucescu, Toumba Stadium has become a true fortress. The Double-Headed Eagles have not tasted defeat at home since February 2025, and they remain unbeaten on their own turf this season, compiling an impressive 16 wins and five draws.

While defensive frailties were exposed during the Europa League league phase, where they conceded 14 goals in eight matches, the Black-Whites have shown marked improvement in recent weeks. They have tightened up considerably at the back, recording four consecutive shutouts across all competitions and restoring belief in their defensive structure.

However, Lucescu faces significant selection concerns ahead of the first leg. Influential playmaker Giannis Konstantelias and leading marksman Georgios Giakoumakis are both suspended, leaving a sizeable void in the attacking department and forcing tactical adjustments for this crucial European encounter.

Last matches of PAOK

  1. PAOK

    0 : 0

    AEK Athens

    Super League

  2. PAOK

    2 : 0

    Panathinaikos

    Greek Cup

  3. Aris

    0 : 0

    PAOK

    Super League

  4. Panathinaikos

    0 : 1

    PAOK

    Greek Cup

  5. PAOK

    4 : 1

    Panserraikos

    Super League

PAOK lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jiri Pavlenka

Defenders

  • 21

    Abdul Rahman Baba

  • 5

    Giannis Michailidis

  • 16

    Tomasz Kedziora

  • 3

    Jonjoe Kenny

Midfielders

  • 8

    Soualiho Meïté

  • 27

    Magomed Ozdoev

  • 14

    Andrija Zivkovic

  • 11

    Taison

  • 52

    Dimitrios Chatsidis

Forwards

  • 56

    Anestis Mythou

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo team overview

Travelling to the intimidating Toumba Stadium, Celta Vigo arrive amid a worrying dip in form, having failed to win any of their last five outings across all competitions (D3 L2) — a run that has clearly dented both confidence and momentum within the squad.

While they may draw encouragement from their earlier-season meeting with PAOK FC, where they claimed an impressive 3-1 victory, the Galician side’s recent performances on the road offer little cause for optimism. The Celestes have managed to secure maximum points in just one of their last seven away fixtures, highlighting their ongoing struggles outside their own ground.

The Spanish outfit will be determined to halt their four-game winless run on the road and take a decisive step toward the next round ahead of the return leg on home soil. However, the side led by Claudio Giráldez must overcome their recent inconsistencies if they are to produce a meaningful result in Thursday’s demanding encounter.

There is, at least, some positive news on the team front. Álvaro Núñez remains the only confirmed absentee as he continues to recover from a groin injury, leaving the head coach with an otherwise fully available squad and the opportunity to field his strongest possible lineup for this crucial European clash.

Last matches of Celta Vigo

  1. Espanyol

    2 : 2

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  2. Celta Vigo

    1 : 2

    Osasuna

    La Liga

  3. Getafe

    0 : 0

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  4. Crvena Zvezda

    1 : 1

    Celta Vigo

    Europa League

  5. Real Sociedad

    3 : 1

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

Celta Vigo lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Ionuț Radu

Defenders

  • 32

    Javi Rodríguez

  • 2

    Carl Starfelt

  • 20

    Marcos Alonso

Midfielders

  • 5

    Sergio Carreira

  • 16

    Miguel Román

  • 8

    Fer López

  • 17

    Javi Rueda

Forwards

  • 10

    Iago Aspas

  • 7

    Borja Iglesias

  • 19

    Williot Swedberg

Prediction

While the Stadio Toumbas is renowned for swallowing up visiting sides in a sea of black and white, PAOK face an uphill battle to secure a significant first-leg advantage without the suspended duo of Giannis Konstantelias and Georgios Giakoumakis. The loss of their primary creative hub and leading marksman leaves Razvan Lucescu’s side somewhat blunted in the final third, potentially forcing the Greek side into a more pragmatic approach than their usual expansive style.

Celta Vigo arrive in Greece desperate to arrest a worrying winless slump, and in Borja Iglesias and Iago Aspas, they possess the necessary clinical quality to exploit a PAOK backline that has consistently struggled for clean sheets on the continent. However, the Spanish outfit's own defensive frailties on the road suggest they are unlikely to leave Thessaloniki with a shut-out. We expect a cagey, high-intensity tactical battle that ultimately ends in a hard-fought stalemate, leaving this Europa League play-off perfectly balanced ahead of the return leg at Balaidos.

Four Reasons we expect X2 (Double Chance)

  1. PAOK have remained scoreless in two of their last three competitive matches.
  2. PAOK will be without their most creative duo, Giannis Konstantelias and Georgios Giakoumakis.
  3. Celta have avoided defeat in three of their last four outings.
  4. Celta defeated PAOK 3–1 in the league phase earlier this season.

Main prediction PAOK - Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo win or draw (X2)

Updated

clock
winrate

56% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

Best Odds:

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1.58

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PAOK vs Celta Vigo standings in Europa League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8 7 0 1 18 - 5 +13 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14 - 6 +8 21
3 FC Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18 - 8 +10 19
4 Real Betis 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
5 Porto 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
6 Sporting Braga 8 5 2 1 11 - 5 +6 17
7 SC Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10 - 4 +6 17
8 Roma 8 5 1 2 13 - 6 +7 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11 - 7 +4 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14 - 7 +7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15 - 9 +6 15
12 Ferencvárosi 8 4 3 1 12 - 11 +1 15
13 Nottingham Forest 8 4 2 2 15 - 7 +8 14
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8 3 5 0 8 - 3 +5 14
15 Crvena Zvezda 8 4 2 2 7 - 6 +1 14
16 Celta de Vigo 8 4 1 3 15 - 11 +4 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17 - 14 +3 12
18 LOSC Lille 8 4 0 4 12 - 9 +3 12
19 Fenerbahçe 8 3 3 2 10 - 7 +3 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11 - 9 +2 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13 - 15 -2 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12 - 15 -3 10
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12 - 16 -4 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9 - 11 -2 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10 - 16 -6 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5 - 11 -6 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9 - 16 -7 7
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 6 - 14 -8 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11 - 15 -4 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9 - 13 -4 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10 - 15 -5 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5 - 14 -9 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7 - 15 -8 3
34 FC Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5 - 15 -10 1
35 Malmö FF 8 0 1 7 4 - 15 -11 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2 - 22 -20 1

PAOK vs Celta Vigo – FAQ

? Who is PAOK's player to watch?

With four goals and one assist, Georgios Giakoumakis has been PAOK’s standout performer on the European stage, but he is suspended for the first leg.

? Who is Celta Vigo's player to watch?

Pablo Duran leads Celta’s attack in Europe, having scored three goals so far.