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Nottingham vs Midtjylland prediction 12.03.2026 | Europa League

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

Kick off:

Date:

Midtjylland

Midtjylland

1

1.60

X

4.46

2

5.94

  • Competition: Europa League, 1/8 Finals, 1st Leg
  • Date: Thursday, 12th March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: City Ground (Nottingham)

After securing a spot in the Landspokal Cup Finals, Midtjylland will travel to England for the first leg of the Europa League 1/8 Finals against Nottingham. Nottingham comes into the match in a terrible moment, winning only one point in the past four games across competitions, while Midtjylland will try to extend their unbeaten run to nine.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Europa League tie.

Nottingham Forest vs Midtjylland Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Nottingham Forest

    2 : 3

    Midtjylland

    Europa League

Interestingly, these teams only met once throughout history. That was in this year's regular phase in October 2025, with Midtjylland winning 3:2 on the road. It was a super interesting, close game, where a draw was possibly the fairest result.

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham team overview

Nottingham's season was an absolute disaster since coach Nuno Espirito Santo left the club. From a team that was almost secured the Champions League last season, they became a relegation candidate. Right now, after 29 rounds, they are in 17th place with 28 points, on level with 18th-placed West Ham, which are in the danger zone. Their only bright spot of the season has been in the Europa League. However, we firmly believe that survival in the Premier League is much more important than making a deer run or even winning the Europa League.

According to credible sources, owner Vangelis Marinakis sacked the sports director Edu Gaspar. This season, Marianakis has already changed three coaches and one sports director. That, on its own, says a lot about what kind of season it has been for the Forest. 

For the upcoming match, the team should have no new absences. Still, the players who missed the previous games due to injury should remain sidelined: John Victor, Nicolo Savona, Chris Wood, Stefan Ortega Moreno, and Willy Boly. 

Last matches of Nottingham Forest

  1. Manchester City

    2 : 2

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  2. Brighton & Hove Albion

    2 : 1

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  3. Nottingham Forest

    1 : 2

    Fenerbahce

    Europa League

  4. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 1

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  5. Fenerbahce

    0 : 3

    Nottingham Forest

    Europa League

Nottingham Forest lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Matz Sels

Defenders

  • 34

    Ola Aina

  • 23

    Jair Cunha

  • 31

    Nikola Milenković

  • 5

    Murillo

  • 3

    Neco Williams

Midfielders

  • 16

    Nicolás Domínguez

  • 6

    Ibrahim Sangaré

  • 8

    Elliot Anderson

Forwards

  • 10

    Morgan Gibbs-White

  • 19

    Igor Jesus

Midtjylland

Midtjylland team overview

Midtjylland are playing a very good season thus far. Besides reaching the domestic Cup Finals, they have also been the 3rd best team in the Europa League (league phase) and avoided an extra duel in the knockout round. Also, the popular Wolves are sitting in 2nd place in the Danish Superliga, just four points behind the top spot. Even though they are in second place in the Superliga, we believe they are the best team in the league, and the bookies agree. The odds of them winning the title are between 1.5-1.57, while the 1st-placed Aarhus have the odds around 2.25 despite the four-point advantage. 

Winger Darío Osorio received his third yellow card in the previous Europa League games against Dinamo Zagreb and will be suspended. The 22-year-old has been really good this season, and his absence could be a big problem. Besides suspended Osorio, the players who missed the previous games with injuries should remain sidelined - Ola Brynhildsen, Franculino, Mikel Gogorza, and Paulinho.

Last matches of Midtjylland

  1. Midtjylland

    1 : 1

    AGF Aarhus

    Landspokal Cup

  2. Midtjylland

    0 : 0

    Brondby

    Superliga

  3. Silkeborg IF

    0 : 4

    Midtjylland

    Superliga

  4. OB

    1 : 4

    Midtjylland

    Superliga

  5. AGF Aarhus

    0 : 1

    Midtjylland

    Landspokal Cup

Midtjylland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Elías Ólafsson

Defenders

  • 3

    Han-beom Lee

  • 22

    Mads Bech Sørensen

  • 6

    Martin Erlić

Midfielders

  • 43

    Kevin Mbabu

  • 8

    Philip Billing

  • 19

    Pedro Bravo

  • 55

    Victor Bak

Forwards

  • 10

    Gue-sung Cho

  • 74

    Júnior Brumado

  • 58

    Aral Şimşir

Prediction

Nottingham are in terrible momentum, having won just one point in the past four games. They also won only once in the past eight games across competitions. Moreover, there is a big question about how much the Forest are focused on the Europa League, given that they are one of the relegation candidates in the Premier League. 

Midtjylland, on the other hand, haven't lost in the past eight official games. They also lost just three times in 42 games this season - 7%! More impressively, all three losses were only by one goal difference.

In the previous H2H game in October, Midtjylland won 3:2 on the road. Considering all the above, we believe Midtjylland are capable of making this game a lot closer than the current odds suggest. 

5 Reasons why Midtjylland should cover the +1 AH spread

  1. Nottingham have won one point in the past four games
  2. Nottingham have won once in the past eight games
  3. Midtjylland are undefeated in the last eight matches
  4. Midtjylland lost only three of the 42 games this season
  5. Midtjylland won the previous H2H game 3:2

Main prediction Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland

AH2 (+1)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

7 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.90

Bet here

Nottingham Forest vs Midtjylland standings in Europa League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8 7 0 1 18 - 5 +13 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14 - 6 +8 21
3 FC Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18 - 8 +10 19
4 Real Betis 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
5 Porto 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
6 Sporting Braga 8 5 2 1 11 - 5 +6 17
7 SC Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10 - 4 +6 17
8 Roma 8 5 1 2 13 - 6 +7 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11 - 7 +4 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14 - 7 +7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15 - 9 +6 15
12 Ferencvárosi 8 4 3 1 12 - 11 +1 15
13 Nottingham Forest 8 4 2 2 15 - 7 +8 14
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8 3 5 0 8 - 3 +5 14
15 Crvena Zvezda 8 4 2 2 7 - 6 +1 14
16 Celta de Vigo 8 4 1 3 15 - 11 +4 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17 - 14 +3 12
18 LOSC Lille 8 4 0 4 12 - 9 +3 12
19 Fenerbahçe 8 3 3 2 10 - 7 +3 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11 - 9 +2 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13 - 15 -2 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12 - 15 -3 10
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12 - 16 -4 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9 - 11 -2 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10 - 16 -6 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5 - 11 -6 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9 - 16 -7 7
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 6 - 14 -8 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11 - 15 -4 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9 - 13 -4 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10 - 15 -5 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5 - 14 -9 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7 - 15 -8 3
34 FC Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5 - 15 -10 1
35 Malmö FF 8 0 1 7 4 - 15 -11 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2 - 22 -20 1

Nottingham vs Midtjylland – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Nottingham this season?

The average xG for Nottingham in the Europa League this season is 1.86.

? How much is the average xG for Midtjylland this season?

The average xG for Midtjylland in the Europa League this season is 1.79.