Contents
- Competition: World Cup Qualifiers
- Date: Monday, 17th November, 2025
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: Windsor Park (Belfast)
The World Cup Qualifiers are almost over, with only one game left. In Group A, it is still undecided which team will secure a direct World Cup appearance, as Germany and Slovakia are tied with 12 points each. On the other hand, Northern Ireland and Luxembourg have nothing to gain, considering they are firmly in third and fourth place and will remain there regardless of the outcome of the last game.
Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this World Cup Qualifier tie.
Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Luxembourg
1 : 3
Northern Ireland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Luxembourg
2 : 2
Northern Ireland
UEFA Nations League
-
Northern Ireland
2 : 0
Luxembourg
UEFA Nations League
-
Luxembourg
1 : 3
Northern Ireland
Friendly International
-
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Luxembourg
Friendly International
-
Luxembourg
3 : 2
Northern Ireland
WC Qualification Europe
In the first h2h game between these teams in the Qualifiers, Northern Ireland won 3:1 in Luxembourg. Looking further back, in the past five h2h games, Northern Ireland won four times, while the remaining game resulted in a draw.
Regarding the number of goals, we saw three or more goals in three out of the last five matches. Meanwhile, both teams scored in the same number of games (three out of five).
Northern Ireland team overview
Northern Ireland tried to secure their first World Cup appearance since 1986 in Mexico. In these Qualifiers, they started the competition well, and it seemed they are in an OK position to secure that second place. Unfortunately, the 1:0 loss against Slovakia in the last game eventually removed them from the second-place battle. Now, they will be entirely without a motive in the upcoming game, and it will be interesting to see how they respond against Luxembourg.
Still, the Green and White Army will have a chance to secure a spot in the World Cup through the Playoffs, having won their UEFA Nations League Group 3.
In the previous game against Slovakia, Daniel Ballard received a red card and will serve his one-game suspension.
Last matches of Northern Ireland
-
Slovakia
1 : 0
Northern Ireland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Northern Ireland
0 : 1
Germany
WC Qualification Europe
-
Northern Ireland
2 : 0
Slovakia
WC Qualification Europe
-
Germany
3 : 1
Northern Ireland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Luxembourg
1 : 3
Northern Ireland
WC Qualification Europe
Northern Ireland lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Bailey Peacock-Farrell
Defenders
-
13
Ruairi McConville
-
22
Ciaron Brown
-
17
Paddy McNair
-
5
Trai Hume
Midfielders
-
14
Isaac Price
-
2
Conor Bradley
-
6
George Saville
-
16
Brad Lyons
-
15
Justin Devenny
Forwards
-
9
Dion Charles
Luxembourg team overview
Luxembourg are #97 in the FIFA World Ranking List and one of the teams that have never reached any of the major tournaments. That will hardly change any time soon. Before the World Cup Qualifiers, they finished fourth (last) in Group 3 of the UEFA Nations League C and will face Malta in the Relegation Playout in March.
In these World Cup Qualifiers, Luxembourg were bad, losing all five games with a 1:12 goal difference. However, we cannot really say we were too surprised, considering their trend in the World Cup Qualifiers.
In the previous game against Germany, Florian Bohnert received his second yellow card in the Qualifiers and will be suspended for the upcoming game vs Northern Ireland.
Last matches of Luxembourg
-
Luxembourg
0 : 2
Germany
WC Qualification Europe
-
Slovakia
2 : 0
Luxembourg
WC Qualification Europe
-
Germany
4 : 0
Luxembourg
WC Qualification Europe
-
Luxembourg
0 : 1
Slovakia
WC Qualification Europe
-
Luxembourg
1 : 3
Northern Ireland
WC Qualification Europe
Luxembourg lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Anthony Moris
Defenders
-
18
Laurent Jans
-
2
Seid Korac
-
13
Dirk Carlson
-
4
Florian Bohnert
Midfielders
-
8
Christopher Martins
-
19
Mathias Olesen
-
16
Leandro Barreiro
-
15
Olivier Thill
Forwards
-
10
Danel Sinani
-
7
Aiman Dardari
Prediction
Northern Ireland weren't too bad in these Qualifiers, winning six points in five rounds. Also, they are a team that relies heavily on their home pitch. There, they won 2:0 vs Slovakia and lost 1:0 to Germany in a fairly close game. Looking further back, Northern Ireland won seven out of the last nine home games.
Luxembourg lost all five games while losing by two or more goals in four out of those five matches. Additionally, on the road, they lost seven out of the last nine matches, while losing by 2+ goals each time.
In the last five h2h games, Northern Ireland won four times. Considering the trend in previous h2h games and all the above, we expect the hosts to dominate and win by at least two goals.
3 Reasons why Northern Ireland should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread
- Northern Ireland won seven out of the last nine home games
- Luxembourg lost all five WC Qualifier games
- Northern Ireland won four out of the last five h2h games
Main prediction Northern Ireland - Luxembourg
AH1 (-1.5)
Best Odds:
Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg standings in WC Qualification Europe
| Group A | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 - 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 - 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 - 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 - 12 | -11 | 0 |