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Nice vs Lyon prediction 18.10.2025 | Ligue 1

OGC Nice

OGC Nice

Kick off:

Date:

Lyon

Lyon

1

2.56

X

3.62

2

2.86

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Saturday, 18th October 2025
  • Kickoff: 16:00 UK / 17:00 CEST
  • Venue: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Probably the biggest game of the upcoming Ligue 1 round will be played on Saturday afternoon at Allianz Riviera, where Nice will welcome Lyon. Neither team is among the best French teams, but before the season started, both had ambitions to sneak into the top four. Nice haven't played well lately, but maybe the upcoming game at the home stadium is a good opportunity to return to the right track. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

OGC Nice vs Lyon Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. OGC Nice

    0 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  2. Lyon

    4 : 1

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  3. Lyon

    1 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  4. OGC Nice

    0 : 0

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  5. OGC Nice

    3 : 1

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  6. Lyon

    1 : 1

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

Lyon were better than Nice in the previous few seasons as they won half of the last ten H2H matches. Nice won three games during the span, while two encounters ended with draws. Interestingly, three of the previous four matches between these two teams ended with two or fewer goals. 

OGC Nice

Nice team overview

Nice ended among the best five Ligue 1 teams in three of the previous four matches. The team from Allianz Riviera had the same ambitions for the 2025/26 season, but they collected only eight points in the opening seven league rounds and are much closer to the relegation zone than the desired positions. Nice are terrible lately, with five games without victory. In the previous match, they played 2-2 on the road against Monaco. The guests were playing with ten players more than half, but they found a way to get away with one point. 

Nice's Ali Abdi got a red card in the previous Ligue 1 round and will not play on Saturday against Lyon. Nice will also be without injured Mohamed Abdelmonem, Gabin Bernardeau, Moise Bombito, Dante, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, and Tanguy Ndombele. Also, Hichem Boudaoui is questionable. 

Last matches of OGC Nice

  1. Monaco

    2 : 2

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  2. Fenerbahce

    2 : 1

    OGC Nice

    Europa League

  3. OGC Nice

    1 : 1

    Paris FC

    Ligue 1

  4. OGC Nice

    1 : 2

    AS Roma

    Europa League

  5. Brest

    4 : 1

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

OGC Nice lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 80

    Yehvann Diouf

Defenders

  • 33

    Antoine Mendy

  • 37

    Kojo Peprah Oppong

  • 28

    Juma Bah

Midfielders

  • 92

    Jonathan Clauss

  • 8

    Morgan Sanson

  • 24

    Charles Vanhoutte

  • 26

    Melvin Bard

Forwards

  • 25

    Mohamed Ali Cho

  • 9

    Terem Moffi

  • 10

    Sofiane Diop

Lyon

Lyon team overview

Lyon have huge problems with the debt. They were facing an administrative relegation, but the appeal overturned decision, and although they are playing well this season, the most important thing remains to improve their horrible financial situation. Lyon are playing surprisingly well this season with only one point fewer than the league leader, PSG. Lyon played well recently, with four wins in the previous five matches. In the most recent outing, Paulo Fonseca's team lost 2-1 at home against Toulouse. The home side had 69% ball possession, but the guests' much better efficiency decided the winner. 

Although the transfer window is closed, there is a rule in Ligue 1 that clubs can sign one more player from another French club during the season. According to reports, Lyon will loan defender Hans Hateboer from Rennes. 

Lyon have some problems with missing players, too. They will be without Orel Mangala and Ernest Nuamah at Allianz Riviera, while Remy Descamps and Abner Vinicius are questionable. 

Last matches of Lyon

  1. Lyon

    1 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Lyon

    2 : 0

    Red Bull Salzburg

    Europa League

  3. Lille

    0 : 1

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  4. Utrecht

    0 : 1

    Lyon

    Europa League

  5. Lyon

    1 : 0

    Angers

    Ligue 1

Lyon lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Dominik Greif

Defenders

  • 98

    Ainsley Maitland-Niles

  • 22

    Clinton Mata

  • 19

    Moussa Niakhate

  • 3

    Nicolas Tagliafico

Midfielders

  • 23

    Tyler Morton

  • 8

    Corentin Tolisso

  • 6

    Tanner Tessmann

Forwards

  • 7

    Adam Karabec

  • 20

    Martin Satriano

  • 11

    Malick Fofana

Prediction

Nice have had problems in the attack lately as they scored seven goals in the previous six matches. On the other hand, Lyon allowed only two goals in the last five games. Also, encounters between these two teams are usually low-scoring. With everything said, it seems unlikely that we will see more than two goals on Saturday night at Allianz Riviera. Our prediction: Under 2.5 goals.

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Nice scored seven goals in the last six matches
  2. Lyon allowed two goals in the previous five games
  3. There were two or fewer goals in four of the last five Lyon matches
  4. Nice and Lyon went under 2.5 goals in three of the previous four H2H games

Main prediction OGC Nice - Lyon

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Megapari

2.12

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OGC Nice vs Lyon standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 7 5 1 1 13 - 5 +8 16
2 Olympique Marseille 7 5 0 2 15 - 5 +10 15
3 Strasbourg 7 5 0 2 14 - 7 +7 15
4 Olympique Lyonnais 7 5 0 2 9 - 5 +4 15
5 Monaco 7 4 1 2 16 - 12 +4 13
6 Lens 7 4 1 2 10 - 6 +4 13
7 LOSC Lille 7 3 2 2 14 - 10 +4 11
8 Paris 7 3 1 3 12 - 13 -1 10
9 Toulouse 7 3 1 3 11 - 12 -1 10
10 Rennes 7 2 4 1 9 - 10 -1 10
11 Brest 7 2 2 3 11 - 11 0 8
12 Nice 7 2 2 3 9 - 12 -3 8
13 Lorient 7 2 1 4 9 - 16 -7 7
14 Auxerre 7 2 0 5 5 - 10 -5 6
15 Le Havre 7 1 3 3 8 - 10 -2 6
16 Nantes 7 1 3 3 5 - 7 -2 6
17 Angers SCO 7 1 2 4 3 - 11 -8 5
18 Metz 7 0 2 5 5 - 16 -11 2

Nice vs Lyon – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Nice this season?

The average xG for Nice in Ligue 1 this season is 1.52.

? How much is the average xG for Lyon this season?

The average xG for Lyon in Ligue 1 this season is 1.37.