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Netherlands vs Finland prediction 12.10.2025 | World Cup 2026 qualifiers

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  • Competition: World Cup 2026 qualifiers
  • Date: 12/10/2025
  • KO: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CEST
  • Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena

World Cup 2026 qualifying action heats up on Sunday evening as Netherlands takes on Finland at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Both nations come into this fixture in winning form after respective victories against Malta and Lithuania on Thursday. The Dutch eased to a 4:0 road win while Finland showed their powers of recovery to claim a 2:1 comeback win against Lithuania.

The Netherlands have enjoyed dominance of this fixture in recent years, and will be expected to claim another three points in Amsterdam on Sunday.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Finland

    0 : 2

    Netherlands

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Finland

    0 : 2

    Netherlands

    Euro Qualification

  3. Netherlands

    2 : 1

    Finland

    Euro Qualification

  4. Finland

    0 : 4

    Netherlands

    WC Qualification Europe

Netherlands and Finland have met on five previous occasions since 2004. Netherlands won all five games including a 2:0 win in Helsinki earlier this year.

Netherlands team overview

Netherlands return to Amsterdam after a comfortable 4:0 win in Malta on Thursday. Cody Gakpo scored twice in a routine victory for Ronald Koeman´s side.

The Dutch have enjoyed a strong run of form in 2025, and remain unbeaten across nine previous internationals since a Nations League defeat against Germany 12 months ago. Netherlands now sit top of Group G, three points ahead of both Poland and Finland. 

High-scoring outcomes can usually be expected when Koeman's men are in action. Five of their last seven games finished with at least three goals scored. 

Head coach Koeman is unlikely to make too many changes to his first XI this weekend. Memphis Depay could earn a recall after his late arrival to the Dutch camp because of a missing passport. 

Last matches of

  1. Malta

    0 : 4

    Netherlands

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Lithuania

    2 : 3

    Netherlands

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Netherlands

    1 : 1

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Netherlands

    8 : 0

    Malta

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Finland

    0 : 2

    Netherlands

    WC Qualification Europe

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Bart Verbruggen

Defenders

  • 16

    Micky van de Ven

  • 14

    Virgil van Dijk

  • 2

    Jan Paul van Hecke

  • 22

    Denzel Dumfries

Midfielders

  • 14

    Tijjani Reijnders

  • 21

    Frenkie de Jong

  • 8

    Ryan Gravenberch

Forwards

  • 11

    Cody Gakpo

  • 18

    Donyell Malen

  • 7

    Xavi Simons

Finland team overview

Finland make the trip to Amsterdam after a hard-fought 2:1 win against Lithuania in Helsinki on Thursday. Trailing at the interval, second-half goals from Benjamin Källman and Adam Markhiev secured a much-needed victory for Jacob Friis´s side.

Six games into their qualification campaign, the Finns sit third in the section, three points behind Netherlands, while having played one game more than their Dutch hosts. 

Frequently involved in high-scoring outcomes in this section, four of Finland´s five games played in Group G finished with BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored. 

Finnish boss Friis reported no new injury issues after Friday's win against Lithuania. Experienced goalkeeper Lukas Hradecky is a notable absentee from the Finns squad. 

Last matches of

  1. Finland

    2 : 1

    Lithuania

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Poland

    3 : 1

    Finland

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Norway

    1 : 0

    Finland

    Friendly International

  4. Finland

    2 : 1

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Finland

    0 : 2

    Netherlands

    WC Qualification Europe

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Viljami Sinisalo

Defenders

  • 5

    Ville Koski

  • 15

    Miro Tenho

  • 4

    Robert Ivanov

Midfielders

  • 13

    Adam Stahl

  • 14

    Kaan Kairinen

  • 6

    Glen Kamara

  • 9

    Fredrik Jensen

Forwards

  • 7

    Oliver Antman

  • 20

    Joel Pohjanpalo

  • 21

    Topi Keskinen

Prediction

A high-scoring encounter is expected in Amsterdam, with the Dutch likely to have far too much firepower for their Finnish visitors. 

Over 2.5 goals is my best bet at the Johan Cruijff Arena.

Three Reasons Why We Expect Over 2.5 Goals

  1. Netherlands have seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches
  2. Netherlands have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 2 home matches against Finland 
  3. Finland have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 matches (World Cup qualifiers)

Main prediction -

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

57% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

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vs standings in WC Qualification Europe

Group G P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Netherlands 5 4 1 0 18 - 3 +15 13
2 Poland 5 3 1 1 8 - 4 +4 10
3 Finland 6 3 1 2 8 - 9 -1 10
4 Lithuania 6 0 3 3 6 - 9 -3 3
5 Malta 6 0 2 4 1 - 16 -15 2

Netherlands vs Finland – FAQ

? Netherlands Player to Watch

Cody Gakpo - The Liverpool forward has scored 17 goals in 43 international appearances.

? Finland Player to Watch

Benjamin Källman - The Hannover forward scored the winning goal against Lithuania on Thursday.

? Where to Watch

This match can be viewed live on UEFA.TV