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Morocco vs Mali prediction 26.12.2025 | Africa Cup of Nations

Morocco

Morocco

Kick off:

Date:

Mali

Mali

1

1.56

X

3.98

2

7.65

  • Competition: Africa Cup of Nations
  • Date: Friday, 26th December 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah (Rabat)

The second round of the Africa Cup of Nations starts on Friday, and in the day's derby, the hosts of the tournament, Morocco, will meet Mali. The home team is one of the favorites to lift the trophy, while Mali are among the teams that should at least reach the quarterfinals. Can Morocco win again? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Morocco vs Mali Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Mali

    0 : 2

    Morocco

    African Nations Championship

  2. Mali

    0 : 2

    Morocco

    African Nations Championship

  3. Mali

    0 : 0

    Morocco

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  4. Morocco

    6 : 0

    Mali

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  5. Morocco

    2 : 1

    Mali

    Friendly International

  6. Morocco

    0 : 1

    Mali

    Friendly International

Morocco has been dominant in recent years against Mali, having won three of the previous four H2H matches, with one draw. It is worth noting that the last Mali victory was in 2006. Also, interestingly, Mali didn't score in the previous three encounters against Morocco. 

Morocco

Morocco team overview

Morocco's only title in the Africa Cup of Nations came in 1976, and the fans hope that the team is now ready for another. In recent years, Morocco have become one of the prominent teams on the continent. This year, they successfully concluded the World Cup qualifications with an impressive eight wins from eight matches.

Before the Africa Cup of Nations, Morocco were on a remarkable run of six consecutive victories. They carried that momentum into the tournament, opening their campaign with a comfortable 2–0 win over Comoros. The hosts dominated the match with 70% possession and 12 shots on the goal, more than the opponent, leaving the visitors with little opportunity to claim any points.

Morocco had some problems breaking the deadlock against Comoros, but the head coach, Walid Regragui, was still satisfied. He said, "As soon as we scored our two goals, we took control. It's a good sign. It was important to win the first match in front of our supporters. It's a great way to start the tournament."

Morocco's captain, Romain Saiss, had to come out in the opening match of the tournament in the first half due to injury. If he can't play on Friday against Mali, we should expect Jawad El Yamiq to start. The good news for Morocco is that Achraf Hakimi could be ready for the upcoming game after skipping the previous match.

Last matches of Morocco

  1. Morocco

    2 : 0

    Comoros

    Africa Cup of Nations

  2. Jordan

    0 : 1

    Morocco

    Arab Cup

  3. Morocco

    3 : 0

    UAE

    Arab Cup

  4. Morocco

    1 : 0

    Syria

    Arab Cup

  5. Morocco

    1 : 0

    Saudi Arabia

    Arab Cup

Morocco lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Yassine Bounou

Defenders

  • 2

    Achraf Hakimi

  • 6

    Jawad El Yamiq

  • 5

    Nayef Aguerd

  • 3

    Noussair Mazraoui

Midfielders

  • 24

    Neil El Aynaoui

  • 4

    Sofyan Amrabat

  • 8

    Azzedine Ounahi

Forwards

  • 10

    Brahim Diaz

  • 9

    Soufiane Rahimi

  • 11

    Ismael Saibari

Mali

Mali team overview

Mali have never won the Africa Cup of Nations, but they have reached the semi-finals on six occasions. At the previous tournament, they were eliminated in the quarterfinals by the Ivory Coast. Les Aigles, as the national team is known, are once again considered among the strongest contenders to reach the latter stages of the competition.

However, although being considered one of the best teams on the continent, Mali had unsuccessful World Cup qualifiers and will not play in the USA, Mexico, and Canada next year. Tom Saintfiet's team was far from their best form recently as they won only two of the last five matches. In the opening round of the Africa Cup of Nations, Mali played 1-1 against Zambia. Saintfiet's team probably deserved all three points, but the opponents scored late in the second half and snatched a draw.

Mali's head coach, Tom Saintfiet, wasn't satisfied with a draw against Zambia. He said, "I would have preferred to take all three points against Zambia, especially after controlling the game for 90 minutes. This equaliser felt like a victory for Zambia and a defeat for us. Now we have to prepare properly for the next matches."

Mali have some injuries, too. Yves Bissouma and Sikou Niakate skipped the opening round and are uncertain for the upcoming clash against Morocco.

Last matches of Mali

  1. Mali

    1 : 1

    Zambia

    Africa Cup of Nations

  2. Jordan

    0 : 0

    Mali

    Friendly International

  3. Mali

    4 : 1

    Madagascar

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  4. Chad

    0 : 2

    Mali

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  5. Ghana

    1 : 0

    Mali

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

Mali lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Djigui Diarra

Defenders

  • 26

    Woyo Coulibaly

  • 5

    Abdoulaye Diaby

  • 15

    Mamadou Fofana

  • 3

    Amadou Dante

Midfielders

  • 20

    Mamadou Sangare

  • 19

    Kamory Doumbia

  • 23

    Aliou Dieng

Forwards

  • 17

    Lassine Sinayoko

  • 9

    El Bilal Toure

  • 7

    Dorgeles Nene

Prediction

Morocco are in impressive form lately. They won the last seven matches in a row. On the other hand, Mali won only two of the previous five games. We should expect Morocco to continue their dominance against Mali. Our prediction: Morocco to win and cover AH -1 spread. 

4 Reasons why Morocco should win and cover AH -1 spread against Mali

  1. Morocco have won seven matches in a row
  2. Morocco didn't concede any goals in the previous seven games
  3. Mali won only two of the last five matches
  4. Morocco won three of the previous four H2H games against Mali

Main prediction Morocco - Mali

AH1 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

52% winrate

wins

7 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.90

Bet here

Morocco vs Mali standings in Africa Cup of Nations

Group A P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Morocco 1 1 0 0 2 - 0 +2 3
2 Mali 1 0 1 0 1 - 1 0 1
3 Zambia 1 0 1 0 1 - 1 0 1
4 Comoros 1 0 0 1 0 - 2 -2 0

Morocco vs Mali – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much was the average xG for Morocco in the World Cup qualifications?

The average xG for Morocco in the World Cup qualifications was 1.82.

? How much was the average xG for Mali in the World Cup qualifications?

The average xG for Mali in the World Cup qualifications was 1.56.